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Brief Analysis
Trump’s First Steps on Syria Were Good, But Now He Must Keep China from Taking Advantage
Beijing specializes in exactly the type of infrastructure reconstruction assistance that Syria so urgently needs and may look to exploit any further delays or prohibitions stemming from U.S. export controls.
۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
Grant Rumley
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
While Other Countries Push for a Palestinian State, Israel Is Increasing Its West Bank Presence
Dramatic changes have been taking place in the West Bank, driven mainly by Israeli actions that have reduced terrorism but are simultaneously striving to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state.
۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
Neomi Neumann
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Between the Promise of Democracy and Repeated Failures of Iraq’s Electoral System
Twenty years on from the fall of Saddam Hussein, Iraq continues to suffer from a deep crisis in the practice of its democracy.
۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
Haider al-Musawi
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Strategy Toward Post-Assad Syria
To keep Moscow from simply reestablishing control in Syria, Washington needs to employ a carrot and stick approach with Damascus, facilitate Ukrainian commercial opportunities in the region, and tackle Russia’s so-called “ghost fleet,” among other initiatives.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Funding Cuts Risk Jeopardizing Counter-Islamic State Operations
The Trump administration claims it is prioritizing efforts to combat the organization, but funding cuts threaten to undermine vital operations.
Jun 4, 2025
◆
Devorah Margolin
Articles & Testimony
The Twilight of Palestinian “Armed Struggle”?
Militant groups are under growing pressure, and large-scale armed struggle seems far-fetched, yet it remains unclear if Palestinians are finally ready to give up their old battle cry.
June 2025
◆
Ehud Yaari
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Qais al-Khazali Praises His “Honorable” Role in Murder of Americans
The senior political and "resistance" figure is still trying to legitimize the cold-blooded murder of unarmed Americans in the 2007 Karbala raid.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
An “Enrichment Consortium” Is No Panacea for the Iran Nuclear Dilemma
The United States should recognize consortia concepts for what they are: face-saving steps rather than cure-alls for the nonproliferation problems created by Iran’s nuclear activities.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
Richard Nephew
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
After Assad: The Future of Syria
A former Trump administration official outlines the most important steps Washington can take to encourage Syria’s new government while systematically verifying that Damascus is living up to its commitments.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Reducing the U.S. Presence in Syria Too Quickly Could Help the Islamic State
Besides testing Syria’s new authorities on a mission they are not yet ready to handle by themselves, Washington also has an unprecedented chance to curtail the group in areas that were difficult to reach under the old regime.
۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
Ido Levy
Articles & Testimony
Israel’s Dangerous Escalation in Gaza
The IDF’s former head of strategic planning describes how politics and ideology are sidelining national security and creating a forever war.
Jun 3, 2025
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Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Defense Ties in the Middle East Poised to Rebound
Demand for Russian weapons has hardly disappeared—MENA officials would see even a limited or temporary Ukraine deal as a green light to quickly take advantage of Moscow’s new supply chains, so Washington should prepare accordingly.
June 2025
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Matt Tavares
Brief Analysis
Nuclear Talks and Iran’s Missile Program: Addressing the Overlooked Arsenal
Given Iran’s unchecked missile buildup since the last nuclear deal, any future agreement should include enforceable limits on the development and stockpiling of long-range missiles to ensure lasting regional security and nonproliferation.
۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Harakat al-Abdal
An inveterate opponent of the United States and Israel, the enigmatic Harakat al-Abdal may have become an entirely Qods Force-operated, Syria-based entity years ago, posing questions about where its fighters now reside and what became of its PMF status in Iraq.
۲ ژوئن ۲۰۲۵
◆
Sary Mumayiz
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Articles & Testimony
Is a Good Iran Deal Possible?
If carefully negotiated and given enough time to demonstrate results, a new deal could prevent a crisis in the near term and create a foundation for regional stability down the road.
May 26, 2025
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Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Foreign Minister Knows How to Speak Trump’s Language—Literally
In a bid to appease—and manipulate—the pioneer of “Twitter diplomacy,” Iran’s chief nuclear negotiator has adopted President Trump’s social media style while seeking favorable terms for the next big deal.
۳۰ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
Holly Dagres
Brief Analysis
UNIFIL’s Fork in the Road
The time for inertia is over—this summer, Security Council members will have a rare and urgent chance to break the spell of illusory “peacekeeping” and advance a model that actually helps keep the peace between Israel and Lebanon.
۲۹ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Everyday Life in the Islamic State’s Wilayat al-Raqqah
An in-depth study of how the Islamic State’s administrative apparatus and activities in its Syrian “capital” affected local residents, and how it sought to instrumentalize the populace in a quest to sustain its wider international state-building project for the long term.
May 2025
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Sides with Sudani in Power Struggle Against Eidani
The Iran-backed militant group is signaling its seriousness about elections, aiming for better results in heavily populated Basra, and seeking to keep its rivals separated.
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Setting Expectations with Syria on Countering the Islamic State
After an encouraging Trump-Sharaa meeting, Washington and its partners must now facilitate the complex work of creating timelines and implementing new security arrangements to constrain the jihadist group.
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
Devorah Margolin
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