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Brief Analysis
Responding to Iran's New Weapons and Naval Drills in the Gulf
Renewed naval exercises, missile tests, and other developments point to a broadening threat, but their muted nature indicates that Tehran is trying to avoid popular backlash at home.
۲۱ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Is it Time to Pursue Intra-Sunni Reconciliation?
Although there is little official confirmation, reports have emerged that the Sisi government and Muslim Brotherhood representatives have begun attempting a type of reconciliation. Bloomberg first reported in February that the Egyptian government sought reconciliation in order to offset internal differences between the government and former members of the military
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Dani Tahrawi
Articles & Testimony
The Great Middle Eastern War of 2019
Far from simply replaying the 2006 Lebanon war, the next conflict on Israel’s northern frontier will likely involve many more actors on multiple fronts, raising unprecedented challenges for escalation management.
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Nadav Ben Hour
Michael Eisenstadt
Video
Brief Analysis
Turkey Sanctions: Navigating a Historic Bilateral Crisis
Three experts examine the past drivers and near-term consequences of Washington’s rapidly escalating diplomatic conflict with Ankara.
۱۷ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Amanda Sloat
Max Hoffman
Steven Cook
Brief Analysis
Iran's Passive Defense Organization: Another Target for Sanctions
Despite its nominal defense role, the NPDO has helped the regime repress citizens online, a function that Washington should counter with sanctions.
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Economy May Be in Freefall, But Erdogan’s Base Believes He Can Do No Wrong
The president has cultivated an adoring crowd of inflexible ‘Erdoganists’ who feed on the politics of resentment and reject Ataturk’s pro-Western legacy entirely.
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
'Futurism' is Shaping up as an Alternative to Islamism, and It May Need to Be Protected from Its Champions
The nation-state system in the Middle East is almost a century old and has now witnessed the rise and fall of four “grand narratives”—Modernism, Arab Nationalism, Revolutionary Socialism, and Islamism. These were frameworks that shaped cultural and political understandings of current conditions, as well as the path towards the narratives’
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurdish Cultural Freedoms are Possible in Syria—But Not Political Autonomy
From their establishment in 1957 up to the present time, Kurdish political movements in Syria have focused on demanding national rights for the Kurds, couching cultural rights within a package of political demands. With the outbreak of the Syrian revolt in 2011, the emergence of armed conflict, and the resulting
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Hussain Zaidou
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq Needs a Leader with Vision
Since the fall of Saddam Hussein’s regime, the Iraqi state has successfully weathered a series of security crises that united the public against a common enemy. For example, during the war with the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), Iraqis from different backgrounds joined forces and rallied behind the
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Hamzeh Hadad
Muhammad Al-Waeli
Brief Analysis
Setting Limits on the Saudi Air Campaign in Yemen
The United States can greatly reduce civilian deaths by asking the Saudis to cease non-battlefield airstrikes in return for greater U.S. support on defensive arrangements.
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Throwing a Tantrum but Wants a Deal
Defiant warnings aside, Tehran will eventually negotiate with President Trump—as long as Vladimir Putin mediates.
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Dennis Ross
تحلیل کوتاه
خامنهای با حمله به میانهروها آنها را منبع مشکلات ایران خواند
دیدبان سیاستگذاری ۳۰۰۲
تندروان از بازگشت ناآرامیها به عنوان بهانهای برای حمله به کارنامه اقتصادی دولت، دخالت در صلاحیتهای قانونی آن در بخشهای مختلف، و تقویت استراتژی «مقاومتی» رهبر ایران بهرهبرداری میکنند
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
مهدی خلجی
Articles & Testimony
Royal Family Politics Could Resolve Saudi Spat with Canada
The king has refused to be sidelined during the crown prince’s other recent instances of overreach, so he may intervene in this episode as well.
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Seeing Saudi Changes Up Close: A Week's Worth of Surprises
The Saudi kingdom’s grinding proxy war against Iran and its allies in Yemen, its long-delayed decision to grant women the right to drive, and most recently its bizarre feud with Canada over arrested Saudi dissidents have all captured international attention and propelled much heated discussion about the country’s internal affairs
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
David Pollock
Video
Brief Analysis
Iraq, Iran, and U.S. Strategy: A Trip Report
Three experts offer insights gleaned from their post-election fieldwork and high-level meetings in Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government.
۱۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Geneive Abdo
Nussaibah Younis
Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Assessing Jordan’s National Strategy to Combat Violent Extremism
In mid-December 2016, a terrorist cell carried out an operation in southern Jordan that began in the desert town of Qatraneh and culminated at the historic site of the Kerak Castle. The attack left four terrorists, four police personnel, three gendarmes, two civilians, and one Canadian tourist dead and dozens
۱۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Saud Al-Sharafat
Brief Analysis
Women, Minorities, and Military Aid to Egypt
As the next deadline for FMF disbursement approaches, the administration should remember that U.S. law requires it to consider Cairo’s recent track record on human rights.
۹ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Amy Austin Holmes
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
In Southern Iraq, Iran’s Intentions Backfire
Iraqi media is currently reporting that the Basra protests—which have spread to Wasit, Maysan, Dhi Qar, and Karbala provinces—resulted solely from the energy crisis and rising unemployment. However, the truth is that these major economic and political crises emerged as a result of the increase of Iranian influence in Iraq
۹ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Haitham Numan
Articles & Testimony
A Horrible Game Changer
Washington's frustration regarding UNRWA reform and budgetary issues is understandable, but cutting off aid indefinitely will only destabilize Gaza and Jordan.
۸ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Deadly Diplomats
As investigators dig more deeply into a recent plot, they will soon confirm that it is not a rogue action, but rather the action of a rogue regime.
۸ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Matthew Levitt
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