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All Policy Analysis by پاتريك كلاوسون
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Articles & Testimony
Iran Adapts to Sanctions in the Absence of New Measures
When it comes to sanctions, continuously adopting new measures is the best way to convince Iran's leaders that they must resolve the nuclear impasse.
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Potential Economic Impact of an Iran Deal
Although a nuclear agreement might encourage banks and investors to reengage with Iran, low oil prices and longstanding economic problems could affect how the deal is perceived.
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
What Difference Would an Iran Deal Make?
Implementing a nuclear agreement will be no easier than reaching one, and Washington will have little influence over what Iran decides to do over time about the deal.
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
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Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
How Iranians Might React to a Nuclear Deal
As the P5+1 and Iran negotiate about the nuclear impasse, Iranian factional politics has heated up. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has made disparaging comments about the nuclear negotiations, yet supported continuing the talks. The Rouhani government is facing a variety of criticisms: it is vigorously defending its record at
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran Can Afford to Say No to a Nuclear Deal
The Islamic Republic has taken tough measures to adjust to the new sanctions, and its economy is now positioned to grow modestly even if the sanctions remain in place.
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu and Obama to Review Progress on Iran
Recent U.S. efforts to enforce sanctions and insist on strict interpretation of the Geneva agreement provide a backdrop for the two leaders' upcoming discussion of the Iran nuclear issue.
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Why Are Congressional Democrats Considering New Iran Sanctions?
The president's fellow party members in Congress are unhappy about his perceived lack of coordination with them on various issues, leading to a potentially damaging impasse on Iran.
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
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Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
No Good Outcome:
How Israel Could Be Drawn into the Syrian Conflict
Given the complexities and dynamics of the Syrian conflict, it is distinctly possible that Israel could be drawn into the fighting. Perhaps more important, the risk of spillover will likely extend years into the future, since the war's aftermath will not include near-term peace between Syria and Israel. How can
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Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
Matthew Levitt
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Jeffrey White
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Making the Iran Nuclear Deal Work
Now that an Iran nuclear deal has been signed, the next challenge is implementation. This step will entail at least two major challenges: interpreting the agreement and progressing toward what the deal calls "the final step of a comprehensive solution."
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Iranian Consensus Does Not Necessarily Mean a Good Deal for the West
There is a broad consensus among Iran's elite that a nuclear deal with Washington would serve Iran's hegemonic objectives. In this view, the real barrier to such a nuclear accord is not the United States but Europe and Israel, supported by the Saudis. The ongoing nuclear talks are playing very
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Sanctions Relief for Iran Without Congressional Approval
If he is willing to pay the political price, President Obama can give Iran as much economic relief as he wishes by simply not enforcing existing sanctions.
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
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Patrick Clawson
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