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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

إيران

Policy Analysis on إيران

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Articles & Testimony
Putting the Squeeze on Iran
US-Iranian relations are once again headline news after dropping off the radar for several months in the wake of the US National Intelligence Estimate in December 2007. In recent days, media and public attention has focused on the growing US diplomatic overtures to Tehran, as well as the reports about
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Brief Analysis
Thinking about Preventative Military Action against Iran
On June 20, 2008, Michael Eisenstadt and Patrick Clawson addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Mr. Eisenstadt is a senior fellow and director of the Institute's Military and Security Studies Program, and Dr. Clawson is deputy director of research at the Institute. The two recently coauthored The Last
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Strengthening the Partnership:
How to Deepen U.S.-Israel Cooperation on the Iranian Nuclear Challenge
PRESIDENTIAL TASK FORCES With the Middle East as a focal point of U.S. foreign policymaking, a complex array of regional issues now compete for the urgent attention of America's leaders. In preparation for the first presidential succession of the twenty-first century, The Washington Institute has assembled three independent Presidential Task
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In-Depth Reports
The Last Resort: Consequences of Preventive Military Action against Iran
Accepted wisdom suggests that preventive military action against Iran's nuclear program would entail significant risks and uncertain prospects of success. Much of the public debate surrounding these risks and uncertainties has focused on strictly military-technical considerations. Although important, these issues do not address the key political and contextual questions underlying
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Ahmadinezhad Deflects Critcism with Attacks on Clerics
In late May, an official close to Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad publicly accused more than forty high-ranking government officials -- including some of the country's most powerful clerics -- of economic corruption. These unprecedented revelations may signal the start of a significant power struggle inside the Iranian government, one likely
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
In-Depth Reports
Energy in Danger:
Iran, Oil, and the West
"If the Americans make a wrong move toward Iran, the shipment of energy will definitely face danger." -- Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, June 4, 2006 Every day, nearly 40 percent of the world's internationally traded oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz -- a narrow channel over which Iran
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  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Emerging Threats, Challenges, and Opportunities in the Middle East
An inside briefing on the U.S. government's current strategic assessment of the Middle East.
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  • Donald Kerr
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Syria: Between Negotiations with Israel and the Iranian Axis
The Syria-Iran alliance predated the rise to power of Saddam Hussein in Iraq. Prior to the 1979 Iranian revolution, President Hafiz Assad offered Ayatollah Khomeini sanctuary in Syria. Subsequently, Syria was the first Arab state to recognize the Shiite revolutionary regime in Tehran. Increased political pressures, a growing fiscal deficit
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How to Have Successful Negotiations
President Bush evoked considerable controversy when he compared those who call for talks with "terrorists and radicals" to Nazi appeasers. Making such a charge in the Israeli Knesset, where the lessons of the Holocaust inform every Israeli leader, was bound to give it a special weight and attention. While some
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Human Rights and the Basis for EU Sanctions against Iran
When the UN Security Council approved the third round of sanctions against Iran by adopting Resolution 1803 in March 2008, U.S. policymakers anticipated that the European Union would follow past practice and enact additional punitive measures. Almost two months later, however, Europeans are still at loggerheads on how best to
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Articles & Testimony
A New Phase Begins in Northern Iraq
In the past several months, the Kurds have grown increasingly uneasy with their situation in northern Iraq, as they begin to feel serious pressure from Iran and the Iraqi Arabs. And since many Kurds believe the United States will abandon their cause, it appears that they see Turkey as their
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Articles & Testimony
Choices and Strategies for Dealing with Iran
On April 24, 2008, Ambassador Dennis Ross testified before the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Subcommittee on Federal Financial Management, Government Information, Federal Services, and International Security. The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks. When President George W. Bush assumed office in 2001, Iran was not a
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iranian Parliamentary Elections and Ahmadinezhad's Discontents
On April 25, a second round of voting will determine the remaining eighty-eight seats of the Iranian Majlis. The first round, held on March 14, decided 202 seats and was considered a defeat for both the reformists and President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad. His reaction to the setback -- the dismissal of
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Small Island, Big Issues:
Bahrain's King Visits Washington
Tomorrow, King Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa of Bahrain visits the White House for talks and a working lunch with President Bush. The meeting promises to cover much more than the usual diplomatic pleasantries. The island state of Bahrain headquarters the U.S. Fifth Fleet and is therefore key to U.S. strategy
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Will the Turkish Constitutional Court Ban the AKP?
On March 14, Turkey's chief prosecutor, Abdurrahman Yalcinkaya, filed a case with the country's Constitutional Court asking it to shut down the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) and ban seventy-one of its members from seeking elected office for five years. He accused the party of spearheading "anti-secular activities" in
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How to Talk to Iran
When President Bush assumed office, Iran was not a nuclear power. When his successor takes the oath of office next year, however, Iran will have achieved (or be on the verge of achieving) that status. Nothing the Bush Administration or the international community is doing now is likely to alter
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran and the Road Ahead
Recently, two important developments have broken months of gridlock on the Iranian nuclear issue: a third round of UN sanctions and a new warning by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF). Although both measures are positive, their ultimate impact will depend on how aggressively and effectively key governments implement them
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  • Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Timely Reminder of Iranian Support for Terrorism
Over the past several years, Iran's nuclear activities have commanded the attention of the international community. But the recent assassination of Hizballah foreign operations chief Imad Mughniyeh is a reminder that Iran has been -- and continues to be -- a key player in global terrorism, as its explicit sponsorship
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Parliamentary Elections:
Assured Victory for the Supreme Leader
As Iran's March 14 parliamentary elections approach, the prospects for the reformist/technocratic coalition are predictably bleak. Yet, President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad is expected to lose ground as well. Although his conservative critics are likely to pick up a significant number of seats, the big winner will be Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Who Was Imad Mughniyeh?
Yesterday's assassination of arch-terrorist Imad Mughniyeh was welcome news in Washington, Buenos Aires, Tel Aviv, and, albeit quietly, Beirut and Baghdad. For Hizballah and Damascus, however, the loss of Mughniyeh -- who was a brilliant military tactician, a key contact to Tehran, and a successful political leader -- is a
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • David Schenker

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