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إيران

Policy Analysis on إيران

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Articles & Testimony
Iran Report Makes Case for Keeping Pressure On
Some analysts are arguing that because last week's National Intelligence Estimate concluded that Iran halted its covert nuclear program in 2003, sanctions against Iran are no longer necessary. In fact, the opposite conclusion could be drawn from the report, which suggests that Iran is vulnerable to outside pressure on the
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Articles & Testimony
Dealing with Iran
Why worry about Iran? Because the new U.S. intelligence report says Iran is making great progress at its huge fuel-cycle factories in producing enriched uranium, which is the fissile material at the core of a nuclear bomb. The report says Iran will have enough enriched uranium for a bomb sometime
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Brief Analysis
Unwanted Guest:
The Gulf Summit and Iran
On December 3-4, Arab leaders representing Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Oman met in the Qatari capital, Doha, for their annual Gulf Cooperative Council (GCC) summit, which for the first time was attended by an Iranian president. In November, the UAE set a precedent
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Contending with Iran's Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities
This week, the U.S. intelligence community released to Capitol Hill the unclassified key judgments of its latest National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran's nuclear intentions and capabilities. The new estimate opens with the startling judgment that Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program in the fall of 2003, which is sure
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Brief Analysis
U.S.-Israeli Dialogue on Iran's Nuclear Program
The United States and Israel have long shared a "special relationship," but significant obstacles may exist to a substantive and comprehensive bilateral dialogue on issues related to the Iranian nuclear threat. On particularly sensitive issues, sovereign nations are loath to discuss openly their intentions and capabilities, even with their closest
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  • Chuck Freilich
Brief Analysis
How Much Does Weaponization Matter?
Judging Iran's Nuclear Program
The just-released National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), "Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities," is about weaponization, not the enrichment and fuel cycle issues that have been the focus of multiple UN Security Council and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) board resolutions regarding Iran's nuclear program. The NIE only suggests that Tehran has
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  • Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Speaking about the Unspeakable:
U.S.-Israeli Dialogue on Iran's Nuclear Program
Despite the longstanding and ever-evolving "special relationship" between the United States and Israel, the two allies do not appear to have engaged in substantive discussions on key facets of their most pressing mutual concern, the Iranian nuclear threat. Specifically, there has been little if any dialogue on the possibility of
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  • Chuck Freilich
Articles & Testimony
How Europe Can Pressure Iran
Executive Summary Britain finds itself in a unique position to place tremendous pressure on Iran to desist from its nuclear activities due to the central role that the City of London along with New York plays in the international financial system. Realizing the leverage that the U.S. financial markets give
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Articles & Testimony
How Europe Can Pressure Iran
The U.S. ratcheted up the financial pressure against Tehran last week, unilaterally slapping sanctions on Iran's powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corp, three state-owned banks, and a number of key officials for their involvement in the regime's terrorist financing and WMD-related activities. Realizing the leverage that American financial markets give Washington
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Brief Analysis
Iran Sanctions:
Can They Be Effective?
Today, the State and Treasury Departments announced a new package of sweeping unilateral sanctions targeting multiple entities in Iran, including three banks, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and its Qods Force, the Ministry of Defense and Armed Forces Logistics, several IRGC-affiliated companies, and eight individuals. Can such sanctions be
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Larijani's Resignation:
Implications for Iranian Nuclear Policy and Internal Politics
The October 20 announcement of Ali Larijani's resignation as Iran's chief nuclear negotiator and secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) has intensified pressure on President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad. Faced with criticism over the resignation, Tehran ensured that Larijani attended the Iran-European Union (EU) nuclear talks in Rome on October
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
In-Depth Reports
What Does Iran Want in the Region?
On October 20, 2007, Stephen Grummon, Ahmad Rafat, Kassem Jaafar, and Brig. Gen. Mark Kimmitt addressed The Washington Institute's Weinberg Founders Conference. Mr. Grummon heads Greentree Enterprises, an international research and training firm, and is former director of the Office of Middle East Analysis in the State Department's Bureau of
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Articles & Testimony
How We Can Bring Him Down
This week, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad again darkens the doorstep of America to address the United Nations. There he is likely to express outrage that New York refused his request to visit Ground Zero. Like that visit would have been, his speech will be designed to divert attention from what
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Brief Analysis
Ahmadinezhad's Power Slipping in Iran
Two intriguing developments have unfolded in Iran over the past week: the election of a new Assembly of Experts Speaker on September 4 and the appointment of a new Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commander in chief on September 1. Both suggest the growing power of former president Ali Akbar
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Here's Why the US Might Not Attack Iran
By the spring of 1951, the United States military and its allies were in a difficult situation on the Korean Peninsula. Having pushed North Korea's army all the way to the Yalu River in 1950, Chinese military units crossed the border and mounted a ferocious counteroffensive, driving the Americans back
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  • Andrew Exum
Brief Analysis
The Smarter Way to Target Iran
On August 15, the New York Times and Washington Post reported that the Bush administration was considering sanctioning Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) for its terrorist-related activities. This designation could have a significant impact, as Iranian leaders are vulnerable to the types of "smart sanctions" that would result. Finding
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps, Inc.
Understanding the impact of Washington's expected designation of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a foreign terrorist organization requires knowing what role the Revolutionary Guards play in Iranian society. Apart from being a military force with naval, air, and ground components organized in parallel to the conventional Iranian military
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
In-Depth Reports
Deterring the Ayatollahs:
Complications in Applying Cold War Strategy to Iran
AGENDA: IRAN A new series addressing the most difficult but vital questions for U.S. policymakers confronting the Iranian nuclear challenge. FORTHCOMING 2007 TITLES * Salvation by Aggression? Apocalyptic Visions and Iran's Security Policy By Mehdi Khalaji * The Last Resort: Potential Iranian Responses to Preventive Military Action By Patrick Clawson
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Talk to Me
As someone who believes it is essential to restore statecraft to the conduct of American foreign policy, I find it reassuring, not troubling, that a debate should emerge between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama over the circumstances in which to meet or engage the leaders of rogue states. Don't
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Dangerous Partners:
Targeting the Iran-Hizballah Alliance
July 18 marked the thirteenth anniversary of Argentina's deadliest terrorist attack: a 1994 car bombing carried out by Hizballah at Iran's behest. The attack targeted the Asociacion Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA), a Jewish community organization, killing 85 and wounding more than 200. Last week also saw the release of a
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  • Matthew Levitt

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