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سوريا

Policy Analysis on سوريا

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Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda Disaffiliates with the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham
The recent action highlights a central element in the battle for the global jihadist movement's future -- and could have important implications in the fight for Syria.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Zawahiri Aims at Israel: Behind Al Qaeda's Pivot to the Levant
The latest terrorist plot against Israel may have resulted from a need to reassert al Qaeda's position among other jihadist groups, especially in Syria, but that doesn't make the threat of attacks against the West any less real.
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Syria Cheats
The regime's long history of reneging on promises and legal obligations does not bode well for full implementation of the chemical weapons deal.
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Vocabulary of Sectarianism
Many players in Syria are pursuing a long-term sectarian dehumanization strategy because they view the war as an existential religious struggle between Sunnis and Shiites, indicating that peace conferences are unlikely to resolve the conflict.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Phillip Smyth
Video
Brief Analysis
Conflict in Syria: Geneva II and the Road Ahead
On January 27, 2014, Andrew Tabler, Jeffrey White, and Aaron Zelin addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Tabler is a senior fellow in the Institute's Program on Arab Politics and author of In the Lion's Den: An Eyewitness Account of Washington's Battle with Syria. White is a Defense
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Jeffrey White
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Israel's Growing Role in Southern Syria
Concerned about the possible drift of al-Qaeda affiliates to areas adjacent to the Golan Heights border, Israel finds itself obliged to increase its assistance to local rebel militias in southern Syria.
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  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Indecisive Inter-Rebel Fighting in Syria Benefits the Regime
The ongoing clashes between rival rebel factions will likely be protracted and indecisive, and the resultant diversion of effort is already working to the regime's advantage.
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  • Jeffrey White
Video
Syria's Spillover: Will Israel Be Drawn In?
The complexities and dynamics of the Syrian conflict make it distinctly possible that Israel could become militarily involved -- even though none of the actors are interested in that outcome.
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  • Jeffrey White
  • David Schenker
A mural of slain prime minister Rafiq Hariri in Beirut
Brief Analysis
Trials and Tribulations in Lebanon
The controversial Hariri trial will unfold amid growing sectarian violence in Lebanon, the seemingly interminable war in Syria, and a longstanding political stalemate regarding Hezbollah's role in government.
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Assad's Indispensable Foreign Legions
Assad is still standing, but he is not standing alone -- and he likely no longer makes decisions alone either.
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Avoiding Assad's Forced Solution to the Syria Crisis
Given that Assad and his backers want to gut the transition process called for in the Geneva Communique, Washington should plan to take other steps in parallel to the Geneva process.
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Video
Geneva II: High Risk, Low Reward for the United States, Syrian Rebels
The international conference on Syria is unlikely to make headway toward a transitional government and might instead undermine U.S. interests in ending the civil war.
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  • David Schenker
  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Hizb Allah at War in Syria: Forces, Operations, Effects and Implications
Hizb Allah is the most effective force on the Syrian battlefield and has been instrumental in the preservation of the Assad regime and the success of its offensive operations since spring 2013.
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
A Better Approach to Geneva: Aid the Syrian Opposition Now
Resuming direct U.S. material support for anti-Assad forces offers the only serious prospect, even if modest, for halting Syria's downward slide and its damage to U.S. interests.
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Shiite Community Becoming More Vocal in Morocco
North African Shiites are growing in number, forming organizations, and mobilizing around Syria and other causes, refuting the popular belief that Morocco is removed from the dynamics of the Gulf and Levant.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah's Ideological Crisis
There are few takers for Hezbollah's contorted logic that the Syrian rebellion is an American or Israeli scheme, so the group may eventually feel the need to rejuvenate its "resistance" credentials by confronting Israel directly.
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Russia-Syria Offshore Gas Deal Injects New Factor into Peace Talks
The announcement of the agreement, just weeks before scheduled peace negotiations in Switzerland, will be seen as an expression of extra diplomatic support for Damascus by Moscow and of gratitude by the Assad regime to an ally.
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  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
The Potential for an Assad Statelet in Syria
As the fighting in Syria continues with no signs of decisive victory on the horizon, the Assad regime may decide to abandon parts of the country entirely and form a statelet in the western governorates that remain largely under its control. Such an entity could include as much as 40
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  • Nicholas A. Heras
Brief Analysis
Foreign Jihadists in Syria: Tracking Recruitment Networks
Monitoring jihadist social-media networks reveals where fighters are coming from, where in Syria they are fighting, and how best to stem their continued recruitment in countries such as Saudi Arabia, Libya, and Tunisia.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Syrian Regime's Military Solution to the War
Victory is not assured for the regime, but trends are moving in its favor.
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  • Jeffrey White

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