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Policy Analysis
All Policy Analysis by Michael Herzog
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Articles & Testimony
Israel's Real Target Is Not Syria but Hezbollah
Israel's airstrikes were intended to prevent Hezbollah from upgrading its arsenal, not to influence Syria's civil war.
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Implications of Possible Chemical Weapons Use in Syria
The Syrian regime has good reasons to both use chemical weapons and disguise what it has done. Having pegged out a firm stance on such weapons, Washington should respond vigorously with defensive measures while the investigation of reported use proceeds.
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Michael Herzog
Michael Knights
Andrew J. Tabler
Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
UN Peacekeepers on the Golan at Risk
If current international inaction on Syria continues, UNDOF will face increasing difficulties, and the long-quiet Israel-Syria border could easily revert to a battlefield.
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David Schenker
Michael Herzog
Andrew J. Tabler
Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
As Syria Crumbles, Israel Prepares for Instability
Although Assad's ouster would bring welcome disruption to the Iran-Hizballah axis, Israel's leaders are focusing on the potential security risks of Syria's deterioration, including chemical and missile proliferation and jihadist border violence.
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Syrian Spillover: Perspectives from Neighboring States
As the Assad regime continues its bloody campaign to remain in power, Washington Institute scholars assess the impact of current and potential spillover on Syria's neighbors, Turkey, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, and Lebanon.
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David Schenker
Michael Herzog
Soner Cagaptay
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Changing Terrain: An Interim Assessment of the Arab Spring and Its Policy Implications
Nearly two years after the onset of the Arab Spring, four leaders have been toppled, a bloody civil war is raging in Syria with no end in sight, and the status quo in other Arab states is fragile. Where does all of this lead? In this paper, Michael Herzog assesses
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Powder Keg in Gaza
Convincing Hamas to contain Gaza's increasingly violent jihadists will likely require international pressure on the group's backers in Egypt, Turkey, and Qatar.
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Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
Beyond the Red Line
If the Iranian nuclear program is not stopped by sanctions, military threats, other means of pressure or diplomacy, Israel will return to the point of decision beginning in the spring -- and accompanied by Netanyahu's public commitment.
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Israel Debates a Strike on Iran
Israelis agree that Iran's nuclear program must be stopped, and their debate regarding a strike's cost-effectiveness, urgency, and impact on relations with the United States is coming to a head.
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Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
How to Advance Transition to a Post-Assad Future
In this paper, the former chief of staff to Israel's minister of defense argues that, in addition to the moral imperative to help the Syrian people, there are also strong strategic reasons for the West and various regional states to be more proactive in bringing about the end of the
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Sinai's Emergence as a Strategic Threat to Israel
If international awareness does not spur immediate Egyptian action to address the growing security vacuum and increased terrorist incidents on the border with Israel, the Sinai powder keg may soon explode.
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Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
How America Can Help Its Friends Make Nice
It has been more than two years since the confrontation over a Gaza-bound flotilla plunged Israeli-Turkish relations into a deep crisis. Left to their own devices, Turks and Israelis have been unable to overcome mutual suspicion and domestic obstacles to bridge their differences. These days, there is a degree of
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Michael Herzog
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
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Michael Herzog
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Back from the Threshold: The Last Chance for Diplomacy to Stop Iran
In this timely and detailed paper, Brig. Gen. Michael Herzog (IDF, Ret.) proposes ways to maximise the chances of success in P5+1 talks to move the Iranians back from their nuclear threshold capacity. Key Points Strong evidence suggests that Iran's nuclear programme is intended to actually construct nuclear weapons, not
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Washington and Israel on Iran: Unresolved Differences
Notwithstanding their differing perspectives on the subject, the less daylight seen between Washington and Israel regarding Iran, the better.
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
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Amos Yadlin
Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
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Michael Herzog
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