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11667
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Brief Analysis
Chemical and Biological Terrorism:
Threat and Response
Biological terrorism is very much a threat that we need to worry about. However, terrorists will face a number of formidable obstacles to conducting a successful biological attack. These include acquiring the agent, cultivating it and preparing it for dissemination, developing a means of dissemination, selecting and reconnoitering the target
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Brief Analysis
The State Department's 1996 Terrorism Report:
Filling in the Gaps
Last week, the Department of State released "Patterns of Global Terrorism 1996," its authoritative survey of trends and developments in international terrorism. While it remains an invaluable resource for policy makers and scholars, some of the report's analytical conclusions are deserving of intense scrutiny and debate. Most troubling in this
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Brief Analysis
Iran Sanctions Violations:
The Challenge for Washington
The April 10 German court finding that Iran's top leaders ordered the assassination of several dissidents in Berlin underscores the hollowness of Europe's policy of engagement with Iran, and presents the U.S. with a unique opportunity to make Iran's leaders pay a real economic price for their brazen disregard of
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In-Depth Reports
Jordan-Israel Peace: Taking Stock, 1994-1997
Despite the multitude of regional, bilateral, and domestic political complications frustrating efforts to build upon peace, Jordan and Israel have made substantial gains toward normalizing relations since signing their peace treaty at Wadi Araba on October 26, 1994. The treaty and more than one dozen subsequent sectoral agreements have established
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Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Brief Analysis
From Regionalism to Polarization:
Trends in Middle East Rhetoric
As security cooperation between Israel and the Palestinian Authority remains largely suspended and relations between Israelis and Palestinians continue to worsen, a deepening polarization has come to characterize the wider political environment between Israel and the Arab world. Not only have most normalization efforts—from the Multilateral Peace Talks to the
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Brief Analysis
The 'Bar-On Scandal':
Implications for the Netanyahu Government and the Peace Process
Out of the four people recommended for indictment by Israeli police, only Aryeh Deri—head of the Shas party and former minister of the interior—will probably be indicted. Although the police had "tangible suspicion" of Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Minister of Justice Tzahi Hanegbi, there was not an "irrefutable proof
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Robert Satloff
Samuel Lewis
Brief Analysis
Japan and the Persian Gulf
Peace in the Persian Gulf is crucial for international stability, including in East Asia. Moreover, a stable supply of crude oil and natural gas is essential to the United States, the European Union and the Asian countries. Nearly 80 percent of Japan's crude oil imports come from the Gulf region
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Brief Analysis
A Return to Camp David?
Accelerated 'Final-Status' Talks: A Debate
Charles Krauthammer: Israelis and Palestinians should move immediately to accelerated final status negotiations. It is the only viable alternative to a failed Oslo process. The last three years of intensive diplomacy demonstrates that Oslo's premise is erroneous, serving to diminish rather than build confidence between the parties. Incrementalism undermines trust
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Samuel Lewis
Brief Analysis
What If Iran Was Behind al-Khobar?
Planning for a U.S. Response
Evidence continues to mount of a link between Iran and the Saudi national arrested in Canada for complicity in the bombing of the al-Khobar Towers in Saudi Arabia, which killed 19 U.S. military personnel last June. Although proof is not yet conclusive, the answer to "who bombed al-Khobar" may soon
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Kenneth Pollack
Brief Analysis
Inside the Palestinian Authority:
A Situation Report
Since the beginning of the Oslo process, Israel and the United States have consistently underestimated Palestinian Authority (PA) Chairman Yasser Arafat. Arafat is a historic figure who deserves respect. In his many years as leader of the Palestinians he has learned to employ a wide range of personas and emotions
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Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy toward Egypt
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations Mr. Chairman, It is an honor to appear before this Committee to discuss Egypt and U.S. policy. In recent years, as visible signs of discord have emerged between the United States and Egypt over a wide array of issues, this topic has
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Europe's 'Critical Dialogue' with Iran:
Pressure for Change
Tomorrow, a German court will announce the verdict in the "Mykonos" trial, in which the Iranian government has been implicated in the murder in Berlin of four Kurdish leaders. The Mykonos case is one of a series of recent events suggesting a serious deterioration of European relations with Iran. Increasing
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
From Hebron to Har Homa to Hamas:
The Chimera of 'Reciprocity'
As Prime Minister Netanyahu prepares to meet President Clinton on Monday, policymakers and analysts are asking how Israeli-Palestinian relations could plummet from the optimism that surrounded the signing of the Hebron agreement in mid-January to today's violence, brinkmanship and gloominess. Explanations abound—from the controversy surrounding Har Homa construction to the
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Jordan's Agenda:
Israel, Iraq, and the Home Front
With Arab League foreign ministers, meeting in Cairo today, taking their most critical stance against Israel since the start of the Madrid peace process—"recommending" that member-states "stop all normalization" with Israel, suspend participation in the multilateral talks, and "reactivate" the Arab boycott—tomorrow's meeting between President Clinton and Jordan's King Hussein
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Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Brief Analysis
Israeli Outlook (Part II):
Politics and Economics
Behind the headlines of today's political difficulties in Israel lies a series of problems that are the product of the country's new election law. Last May, for the first time, Israel elected its prime minister through a direct mandate. As a result, the position of the prime minister is now
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Brief Analysis
Beyond 'Containment' of Iraq:
An Action Plan for U.S. Policy
On March 26, 1997, Secretary of State Madeleine Albright is scheduled to deliver her first major speech on Middle East policy-her focus, Iraq. Strengthening U.S. policy toward Iraq was a key theme of The Washington Institute's recently released Presidential Study Group report, Building for Security and Peace in the Middle
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Brief Analysis
The Arafat-Hamas Rapprochement
Hamas's suicide bombing in Tel Aviv today follows a period of improved ties between that organization and the Palestinian Authority. Over the past month, Yasser Arafat has undertaken several steps to reach a rapprochement with his Islamist opponents through personal meetings with Hamas leaders, a "National Dialogue" on February 27
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Brief Analysis
Israeli Outlook (Part I):
Israel and the Peace Process
Before Israel's elections last May, Washington warned that the peace process could fail under the leadership of a Likud-led coalition. No one expected that nine months later, Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu's government would have established almost daily contact with the Palestinian Authority (PA) and its head, Yasser Arafat, redeployed
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Brief Analysis
Israel and the Palestinian Authority:
The Security Agenda
As the stand-off over Har Homa continues, Israeli leaders and commentators are increasingly calling for a shake-up of the incremental Oslo process and an immediate move to substantive "final status" talks. According to this argument, leapfrogging over the rest of the "interim phase" has the benefit of avoiding a series
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Israeli Settlement Policy:
Past, Present, and Future
Who lives there? Most of the Jewish residents in the West Bank (Judea and Samaria) and Gaza are Israeli-born, white collar, young couples. The median age in Israel is twenty-nine, however in the territories the median age is nineteen. This high number of young people is one explanation for the
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