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Articles & Testimony
Contending with Iran's Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities
This week, the U.S. intelligence community released to Capitol Hill the unclassified key judgments of its latest National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran's nuclear intentions and capabilities. The new estimate opens with the startling judgment that Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program in the fall of 2003, which is sure
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Articles & Testimony
After Annapolis:
Next Steps in the Middle East Peace Process
The Annapolis meeting was an impressive event. It brought nearly fifty nations together ostensibly in support of Arab-Israeli peace. While the Syrians came to emphasize their agenda on the Golan Heights, the other Arab states, including Saudi Arabia, came in response to an American invitation to resume the Israeli-Palestinian negotiations
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Israeli Dialogue on Iran's Nuclear Program
The United States and Israel have long shared a "special relationship," but significant obstacles may exist to a substantive and comprehensive bilateral dialogue on issues related to the Iranian nuclear threat. On particularly sensitive issues, sovereign nations are loath to discuss openly their intentions and capabilities, even with their closest
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Chuck Freilich
Brief Analysis
How Much Does Weaponization Matter?
Judging Iran's Nuclear Program
The just-released National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), "Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities," is about weaponization, not the enrichment and fuel cycle issues that have been the focus of multiple UN Security Council and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) board resolutions regarding Iran's nuclear program. The NIE only suggests that Tehran has
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Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Speaking about the Unspeakable:
U.S.-Israeli Dialogue on Iran's Nuclear Program
Despite the longstanding and ever-evolving "special relationship" between the United States and Israel, the two allies do not appear to have engaged in substantive discussions on key facets of their most pressing mutual concern, the Iranian nuclear threat. Specifically, there has been little if any dialogue on the possibility of
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Chuck Freilich
Articles & Testimony
Changed Middle East Gives Peacemakers a Chance
The Arab-Israeli diplomatic event in Annapolis began and ended in just nine hours last Tuesday, and the media have moved quickly on to other things. But this was a significant event, not a one-day wonder. Here are five good reasons why: First, Annapolis achieved its primary goal: setting up an
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Mesopotamian Muddle
Rarely have we faced more daunting problems in the Middle east and seemed farther away from resolving or even defusing them. There is surely no more important foreign-policy priority than finding ways to ameliorate the challenges and conflicts that confront us in the region. This won't be done with slogans
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Dennis Ross
Finance as a Tool of National Security:
Update on the Effort to Combat Terror Financing
On November 29, 2007, Matthew Levitt addressed the Carnegie Council. Matthew Levitt is a senior fellow and director of the Stein Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence at The Washington Institute. The following is a transcript of his remarks. A complete transcript of the event, including Carnegie Council president Joel Rosenthal's
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Bush at Annapolis:
Hints about the Final Thirteen Months
The Annapolis summit featured an impressive display of international support for renewed Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. Beyond the headlines and photo-ops, the most significant aspect of the event was that President Bush offered little sign he plans to devote the final months of his administration to a high-stakes personal quest for a
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Holy Land Mistrial:
Judging a Designated Terrorist Entity
Recently, the Palestinian Authority (PA) shut down several Islamic charity committees in the West Bank, stating that Hamas was using them as a means to transfer funds to the group's activists there. Meanwhile, on October 22, the U.S. federal trial of the Dallas-based Holy Land Foundation (HLF) and several of
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Annapolis, Analyzed
Today, the United States will convene a large international gathering to re-launch Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. With this, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has followed through on her commitment, made early this year, to help usher in a time of peace for these two historic enemies. Originally, she intended for them to
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Day after Annapolis
Today, nearly 50 nations and organizations will convene in Annapolis, Md., to talk, in theory, about support for Israeli-Palestinian peace. I say in theory because the Syrian deputy foreign minister, for example, will have a different agenda -- an agenda related to the Syrians' insistence that only a "comprehensive settlement,"
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Elections in Lebanon:
Implications for Washington, Beirut, and Damascus
In the months leading up to the November 23 end of Lebanese president Emile Lahoud's term in office, political factions have been vying to choose the country's next chief executive. These elections pit candidates affiliated with the pro-West March 14 majority bloc against the Syrian-Iranian allied opposition led by Hizbballah
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Presidential Crisis
As the end of the Lebanese presidential term neared and then passed on November 23, domestic and international forces have ratcheted up their involvement in electing the country's new president. But the political focus of the presidential elections has shifted from democratic and constitutional ideals to concerns about preventing civil
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Confidence Building after Annapolis
In recent weeks, the United States has reduced expectations that the upcoming Annapolis peace conference will culminate in a diplomatic breakthrough for all parties after almost seven years of terror, violence, and non-engagement. Instead, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice seeks to revive the moribund 2003 Roadmap, and introduce a new
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Six Critical Questions for Annapolis and Beyond
The purpose of the Annapolis summit now is to launch negotiations within the framework of the Roadmap to Middle East peace, the dormant and often maligned plan that provides neither the Israelis nor the Palestinians a setting to establish a "political horizon" for a future Palestinian state. With lowering expectations
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Tony Blair Takes on West Bank Aid
Former British prime minister Tony Blair, now the Quartet's special Middle East envoy, has announced that he will soon determine the first set of projects meant to improve economic conditions in the West Bank, specifically mentioning projects around the town of Jericho. Although Blair will no doubt ignore calls from
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James G. Lindsay
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Annapolis:
Assessing U.S. Policy and the Peace Process
Just days before President George W. Bush hosted a Middle East peace "meeting" in Annapolis intended to provide new impetus for a two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, The Washington Institute held a special policy forum with David Makovsky and Dennis Ross to assess the evolution of the Annapolis summit
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David Makovsky
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Politics and the Annapolis Meeting
The huge turnout of an estimated 250,000 Fatah supporters at a November 12 Gaza rally commemorating the third anniversary of Yasser Arafat's death reflects not only the worsening economic conditions since Hamas's June takeover, but also the factional rivalry over who is authorized to negotiate on behalf of the Palestinians
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Mohammad Yaghi
Brief Analysis
Libel, Terrorism, and the Assault on Academic Freedom
From London to Los Angeles, an increasing number of libel lawsuits have been filed against scholars researching the financial connections behind radical Islamist terrorism. This disturbing trend threatens to have a chilling effect on the important contributions that enterprising scholars can make to the work of law enforcement and intelligence
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Judith Miller
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