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سوريا

Policy Analysis on سوريا

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Brief Analysis
Turkish-Syrian Rapprochement:
Causes and Consequences
Since October 1998, Turkey has moved from the brink of war with Syria to the brink of signing a military cooperation agreement: Syrian chief of staff Gen. Hassan al-Turkomani will pay an official visit to Turkey on June 19, the first such visit by a Syrian chief of staff. The
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Brief Analysis
Israel's Response to Lebanese Border Skirmishes
Since March 28, 2002, the first day of Operation Defensive Shield—Israel's attempt to dismantle the Palestinian terrorist infrastructure—Lebanese Hizballah fighters have attacked northern Israeli settlements and military outposts on an almost daily basis. These unprovoked attacks have included the use of antitank missiles, mortars, katyusha rockets, and antiaircraft weapons directed
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Brief Analysis
Hizballah's Vision of the Lebanon-Israel Border
On February 28, Hizballah fired 57mm antiaircraft missiles at Israeli planes flying over the Shebaa Farms area. According to Hizballah information officer Hassan Azzedin, "the current line of Israeli withdrawal ('blue line') is not consistent with the international boundary and not recognized by the Lebanese government. That's why we're pursuing
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  • Avi Jorisch
Brief Analysis
Hamas:
Toward a Lebanese-Style War of Attrition?
Lebanon may well have come to the West Bank and Gaza. Over the past year and a half, Hamas has adopted traditional Hizballah guerilla tactics such as roadside bombings, short-range rocket and mortar launchings, using squads of terrorists from a variety of groups, and videotaping attacks and potential suicide bombers
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Deterioration along the Israel-Lebanon Border
In the past month there have been no less than six incidents in which Hizballah's antiaircraft batteries opened fire against Israeli civilian and military aircraft flying in Israel's northern airspace. This in addition to its repeated and unprovoked attacks on Israeli outposts in the Mount Dov region, next to the
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Brief Analysis
Syria and the War on Terrorism (Part II):
Challenges for U.S. Policy
With its longstanding support for terrorism, both pre- and post-September 11, Syria poses a unique challenge to U.S. antiterror strategy. Unlike Iran -- whose leaders orchestrate public chants of "Death to America, death to Israel" and thereby provide rhetorical context to their sponsorship of terrorism -- Damascus proclaims its desire
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Syria and the War on Terrorism (Part I):
A Post–September 11 Assessment
As the Bush administration surveys options for the next phases in the war on terrorism, scant attention has been focused on Syria -- despite the fact that Dr. Bashar al-Asad's regime has been among the world's most active supporters of terrorism, even after September 11. Background Syria is a charter
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Syria's Accession to the UN Security Council and U.S. Policy
The internal Bush administration debate over the "broad coalition/narrow target versus narrow coalition/broad target" in the war against terrorism will be put to a test Monday, when the United Nations General Assembly is scheduled to vote in secret ballot on the nomination of Syria as a non-permanent member of the
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  • Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
Bashar's First Year:
From Ophthalmology to a National Vision
A detailed look at the first year of Bashar al-Asad's often-unpredictable regime.
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  • Yossi Baidatz
Brief Analysis
The Lebanon-Syria-Israel Triangle:
One Year after Israeli Withdrawal
While the violence in the West Bank and Gaza captures most of the attention, arguably more important developments in the last year have occurred in the Syria-Lebanon-Israel triangle. The Collapse of the Syrian-Israeli Peace Process The collapse of the Geneva summit in March 2000 formalized the demise of the negotiations
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Brief Analysis
Hariri in Washington
A preview of Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri's first visit to Washington since returning to office in September 2000.
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  • Yossi Baidatz
Brief Analysis
From Tehran to Beirut to Jerusalem:
Iran and Hizballah in the Palestinian Uprising
As Arab leaders gather in Amman for the first regular Arab summit in a decade, non-Arab Iran is keenly watching to see whether Arab heads-of-state once again make grandiose promises to support the Palestinians. If Arab leaders fail to deliver on these promises, as has been the case with Arab
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Brief Analysis
Lebanon:
Between Hong Kong and Hanoi
The behind-the-scenes conflict between liberal and illiberal forces within Lebanon's political structure is spilling into public view.
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  • Yossi Baidatz
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Foreign Policy Challenges U.S. Interests
This is the second of a two-part series marking the six months since Bashar al-Asad became president of Syria on July 17, 2000. Read Part I. For a region used to the late Hafiz al-Asad’s stodgy predictability, his son Bashar’s six-month-old presidency has displayed a surprisingly active foreign policy, including
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  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Syria under Bashar al-Asad:
The Domestic Scene and the 'Chinese Model' of Reform
This is the first of a two-part series marking the six months since Bashar al-Asad became president of Syria on July 17, 2000. Read Part II. On January 11, a petition signed by a thousand Syrian intellectuals appeared in the Lebanese press demanding -- inter alia -- freedom of expression
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  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
From Sheba’a to al-Quds:
The Evolution of Hizballah
Rather than exploiting the Israeli withdrawal from the "security zone" in May 2000 to focus on internal Lebanese politics, Hizballah is maintaining its military strategy against Israel at the risk of triggering a full-scale war.
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  • Yossi Baidatz
Brief Analysis
The Israeli-Lebanese Border Dispute and Resolution 425:
Recent Declarations by the United States and the United Nations
"The Arab leaders affirm that just, comprehensive peace will not be achieved except with . . . the restoration of all the occupied Arab territories, including full Israeli withdrawal from . . . southern Lebanon to the internationally recognized borders, including Shebaa farms, the release of Arab prisoners in Israeli
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Brief Analysis
Hizballah's Kidnapping:
An Opportunity to Test Bashar al-Asad
The kidnapping of IDF soldiers from the Israel-Lebanon border presents Washington with its first opportunity to test the intentions and capabilities of Syria's new and inexperienced president, Bashar al-Asad.
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  • Yossi Baidatz
Brief Analysis
The Hizballah Kidnapping and the Potential for a 'Second Front'
Hizballah's capture of three IDF soldiers in the disputed Lebanese-Israeli eastern Har Dov/Shebaa Farms border area Saturday marked the most serious outbreak of IDF-Hizballah hostilities since the Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon in May. The well-planned and executed ambush underscored the continued threat to Israel posed by Hizballah's highly-skilled guerrilla
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Brief Analysis
Lebanese Elections:
Syrian Key Interests Preserved, For Now
The stunning success of several prominent opposition candidates in Lebanon's recent parliamentary elections has been portrayed by much of the Western press as a "defeat" for Syrian interests in Lebanon, and a "loosening" of Syria's grip over its smaller neighbor. Now that the elections are over, the next step in
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