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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Brief Analysis
Egypt's New Military Brass
A closer look at how the supreme military council will operate now that Field Marshal Sisi has thrown his hat into the presidential ring, including a chart illustrating the SCAF's likely new membership.
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  • Gilad Wenig
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Invisible Insurgency
Young Islamists are using Facebook to organize violent opposition.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Arms Deal with Russia: Potential Strategic Costs
Cairo's possible purchase of advanced weapons systems from Russia could become another irritant in U.S.-Egyptian relations.
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  • David Schenker
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
How Ukraine Will Shape the Future of the Middle East
By showing leadership in its response to the Russian intervention, Washington can open a new conversation with its regional allies regarding Syria, Iran, and Egypt.
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Algeria's Presidential Elections amid the Bickering of a Polarized Regime
Abdelaziz Bouteflika's decision to run for a fourth term blocks a historic opportunity to achieve a safe and peaceful transition of leadership.
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  • Yacine Boudhane
Brief Analysis
Implications of a Sisi Presidency
The military chief has some strong assets and likely staying power, but he will still face great pressure if he is elected as anticipated, since the benchmark for success will be his ability to satisfy an Egyptian polity filled with unrealistically high socioeconomic expectations.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Sisi
Articles & Testimony
Sisi the Invincible
Sisi's military background and his strong support from security and intelligence leaders make another coup less likely in the short term, but continued economic problems could trump even that advantage.
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  • Eric Trager
  • Gilad Wenig
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Defense and Foreign Ministers Visit Moscow
The Russian-Egyptian "2+2" meeting in Moscow does not signify a foreign policy realignment in Cairo.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Brief Analysis
No Time to Hit Snooze in North Africa and the Sahel
The Obama administration should demonstrate renewed resolve to counter growing extremism in the region and build lasting stability, starting with a joint U.S.-French statement during President Francois Hollande's visit to Washington this week.
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  • Joshua Burgess
Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda Disaffiliates with the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham
The recent action highlights a central element in the battle for the global jihadist movement's future -- and could have important implications in the fight for Syria.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood Will Fight On
Given the Brotherhood and the military's mutually exclusive aims, Egypt's death-match will continue, with even deadlier stakes once Sisi becomes president.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
There's Only One Real Law Now in Egypt
Washington should focus on shielding U.S. strategic interests in Egypt from the effects of persistent political instability, while also encouraging Cairo to address the root causes of this instability over time.
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  • Eric Trager
Sisi
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Multiple Power Centers
Given the limitations and internal divisions of Egypt's various power centers, neither the military nor any other single institution is solely in charge at the moment.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Brief Analysis
The New Triangle of Egypt, Israel, and Hamas
With Israeli acquiescence to de facto alterations of the 1979 peace treaty, Egypt has deployed substantial military forces into the Sinai to combat terrorists. But Israel remains hesitant about Cairo's inclination to increase pressure on Hamas in Gaza.
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  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Apaches in the Sinai
While delivering more Apache helicopters to Egypt may well increase the terrorist body count in the Sinai, Cairo must find a way to reduce the reportedly heavy collateral damage caused by such weapons.
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Shiite Community Becoming More Vocal in Morocco
North African Shiites are growing in number, forming organizations, and mobilizing around Syria and other causes, refuting the popular belief that Morocco is removed from the dynamics of the Gulf and Levant.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Articles & Testimony
Morocco's Move in Mali
What Rabat Gained in the Battle Against Islamic Extremism
Although Mali could become a satellite of another North African power, Morocco's involvement is the best chance to uproot extremism there, from the inside out.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
Salafists Are the Wild Card of Egypt's Referendum
Low Salafist turnout for this week's constitutional referendum could signal a broad base of support for growing jihadist violence against the post-Morsi government.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Iran, Syria, and Egypt
The perception that the White House is determined to include the outlawed Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt's political process could hamper the Iran and Syria negotiations, among other ill effects.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Heroic Protesters Bear Responsibility for the Mess That Followed
If Egypt's activists are to continue their righteous campaign for a non-dictatorial government, they will have to draft a concrete agenda, better engage the public, and organize beyond one traffic circle in downtown Cairo.
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  • Eric Trager

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