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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Also-Ran
Meet the man crazy enough to run for president against the new strongman in Cairo.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Libya's Growing Risk of Civil War
Long-simmering tensions between non-Islamist and Islamist forces have boiled over into military actions centered around Benghazi and Tripoli, entrenching the country's rival alliances and bringing them ever closer to civil war.
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  • Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood Thinks It's Winning Again
Given the Brotherhood's persistent and dangerous delusion, the existential struggle that has defined Egyptian politics since Morsi's removal will likely worsen.
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  • Eric Trager
Video
Brief Analysis
Morocco's Approach to Countering Violent Extremism
A Moroccan statesman discusses efforts to counter terrorism and violent extremism in one of the most stable parts of the region.
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  • Mohamed Salah Tamek
Brief Analysis
Shabab al-Tawhid: The Rebranding of Ansar al-Sharia in Tunisia?
Security crackdowns will not be enough to eradicate jihadist networks in Tunisia and Libya, which have the patience and ideological conviction to weather drastic reorganization.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
When Jihadists Learn How to Help
A violent Libyan jihadist group is increasingly using aid efforts and religious education to cultivate a constituency abroad, not just at home.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Egypt Emerges as a Route for Israeli Natural Gas Exports
Piping Israeli gas to liquefaction plants in Egypt is the most commercially logical option but remains politically risky.
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  • Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Islamists in Government: Do They Moderate Once in Power?
A senior State Department advisor and two Washington Institute scholars discuss what lessons can -- and cannot -- be drawn from the Islamist political experience in Egypt, Pakistan, Morocco, and other countries.
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  • Eric Trager
  • Haroon Ullah
  • Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
Resuming Military Aid to Egypt: A Strategic Imperative
Given the important strategic interests at stake and the unlikelihood of changing Cairo's short-term behavior, Secretary Kerry should be prepared to use all available options to keep the aid flowing.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Nabil Fahmy Visits Washington
The latest official Egyptian visits to Washington need to be complemented by a high-level Egyptian military delegation that engages senior U.S. policymakers, as well as a broader attempt to improve political understanding between the two countries.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Articles & Testimony
The Candidate in His Labyrinth
Egypt's president-in-waiting says he's widely loved, so why does he sleep in an undisclosed location and fear for his life?
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Tunisia's Democratic Transition: From Contention to Consensus?
As Tunisia's Islamists reaffirm their cohesiveness, the country's contentious politics have worn out many voters and dulled their interest in democratic participation, making abstention the most likely winner of this year's elections.
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  • Habib Sayah
Brief Analysis
U.S. Strategic Dialogues with Morocco and Algeria: Take Two
Secretary Kerry's visit comes amid Morocco's efforts to expand its regional influence and an upcoming vote in Algeria.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
Egypt's New Military Brass
A closer look at how the supreme military council will operate now that Field Marshal Sisi has thrown his hat into the presidential ring, including a chart illustrating the SCAF's likely new membership.
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  • Gilad Wenig
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Invisible Insurgency
Young Islamists are using Facebook to organize violent opposition.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Arms Deal with Russia: Potential Strategic Costs
Cairo's possible purchase of advanced weapons systems from Russia could become another irritant in U.S.-Egyptian relations.
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  • David Schenker
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
How Ukraine Will Shape the Future of the Middle East
By showing leadership in its response to the Russian intervention, Washington can open a new conversation with its regional allies regarding Syria, Iran, and Egypt.
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Algeria's Presidential Elections amid the Bickering of a Polarized Regime
Abdelaziz Bouteflika's decision to run for a fourth term blocks a historic opportunity to achieve a safe and peaceful transition of leadership.
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  • Yacine Boudhane
Brief Analysis
Implications of a Sisi Presidency
The military chief has some strong assets and likely staying power, but he will still face great pressure if he is elected as anticipated, since the benchmark for success will be his ability to satisfy an Egyptian polity filled with unrealistically high socioeconomic expectations.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Sisi
Articles & Testimony
Sisi the Invincible
Sisi's military background and his strong support from security and intelligence leaders make another coup less likely in the short term, but continued economic problems could trump even that advantage.
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  • Eric Trager
  • Gilad Wenig

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