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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Brief Analysis
Weathering Morocco's Syria Returnees
The Moroccan government should be encouraged to adopt policies that preempt citizens from joining the Syrian jihad and deradicalize eventual returnees.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Muslim Brothers Have Three Options for Moving Forward After the Ban
If the newly banned Brotherhood turns to violence, it will only validate a more thorough and perhaps permanent crackdown.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Western Media Is Fixated on the Wrong Arrest in Egypt
Too many journalists mistakenly view the Brotherhood as a normal political party rather than a highly secretive hierarchy whose most important figures often avoid the media completely.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
What If Insurgents Close the Suez Canal?
Islamist violence has chased off tourists, and now it threatens a key waterway -- and Egypt's entire economy.
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Future of Egypt's Electoral System
The system that will likely be put in place for Egypt's next parliamentary elections may sideline new parties, but this could help consolidate the country's scattered political spectrum.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan's Empathy for Morsi
The AKP sees a bit of its past in the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood's military ouster, and also a bit of its imagined future.
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Post-Qadhafi Libya at Risk
Political and fiscal pressure is pulling Libya apart at the seams and creating conditions that threaten neighboring countries.
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  • Geoff Porter
Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda in Syria: A Closer Look at ISIS (Part II)
This two-part PolicyWatch discusses how the jihadist group ISIS has gained a foothold in Syria. Part I outlined the group's recent successes; this installment describes how it could face popular discontent if it attempts to enforce its socially conservative agenda or commit high-profile abuses. Despite its successes in Syria so
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Morocco's Governing Islamists Remain Vulnerable
The Islamists who lead Morocco's current government remain in power only by the skin of their teeth, and recent events indicate they may be vulnerable in the future.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
Morocco's Islamists Rescued from Early Elections
The governing Islamist party will emerge from recent setbacks as a much weaker player, and more obstacles are likely to come.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
Helping the Dust Settle: Why Washington Cannot Cut Aid to Egypt
Cutting aid to Egypt would only hurt U.S. interests there without helping democracy, stability, or any other cause.
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Inside the Complex World of U.S. Military Assistance to Egypt
Under current conditions, suspending military assistance to Cairo would be counterproductive for U.S. interests and contractors alike.
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Political Transition on Track
With the transition plan forging ahead after recent turbulence, Egypt's focus has turned to the upcoming constitutional referendum, which will be followed by parliamentary and presidential elections that may favor emerging centrist movement al-Tayyar al-Hor.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Designates Ansar al-Sharia
Despite its longstanding reputation as a pro-extremist faction, Tunisia's governing an-Nahda party may finally be breaking with the radical fringe.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Vish Sakthivel
Articles & Testimony
In Egypt, US Is Better Off Doing Nothing
Given the administration's reluctance to act in Syria and other hotspots, President Obama is wise not to diminish US influence further by cutting ties with the Egyptian military.
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Useful Leverage, in the Right Circumstances
Saudi Arabia has been one of the most important allies of the United States. But it has also staunchly supported opposition to reform and democracy in the Gulf, and now may offer aid to the Egyptian military that could dwarf what America provides. Should the United States continue to view
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood Breakaway Factions, 1954-1981
An expert on jihadist movements compares Egypt's latest crackdown on the Brotherhood with past efforts to suppress the group.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Crackdown and ElBaradei's Resignation
Despite the vice president's resignation, the dispersal of pro-Morsi protests has received strong support among the security forces and political elite, signaling the potential for more violence in the coming days.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Articles & Testimony
The Islamic Insurgency That Could Soon Hit Egypt
By disorganizing Egypt's most cohesive Islamist group, the generals have turned hundreds of thousands of deeply ideological Muslim Brothers into free radicals who may no longer listen to their typically cautious leaders.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
'DanielGate' Sparks Moroccan Political Unrest
The Moroccan royal pardon of Spanish pedophile Daniel Galvan Vina has had a litany of political implications.
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  • Vish Sakthivel

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