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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Brief Analysis
Tunisia Designates Ansar al-Sharia
Despite its longstanding reputation as a pro-extremist faction, Tunisia's governing an-Nahda party may finally be breaking with the radical fringe.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Vish Sakthivel
Articles & Testimony
In Egypt, US Is Better Off Doing Nothing
Given the administration's reluctance to act in Syria and other hotspots, President Obama is wise not to diminish US influence further by cutting ties with the Egyptian military.
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Useful Leverage, in the Right Circumstances
Saudi Arabia has been one of the most important allies of the United States. But it has also staunchly supported opposition to reform and democracy in the Gulf, and now may offer aid to the Egyptian military that could dwarf what America provides. Should the United States continue to view
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood Breakaway Factions, 1954-1981
An expert on jihadist movements compares Egypt's latest crackdown on the Brotherhood with past efforts to suppress the group.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Crackdown and ElBaradei's Resignation
Despite the vice president's resignation, the dispersal of pro-Morsi protests has received strong support among the security forces and political elite, signaling the potential for more violence in the coming days.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Articles & Testimony
The Islamic Insurgency That Could Soon Hit Egypt
By disorganizing Egypt's most cohesive Islamist group, the generals have turned hundreds of thousands of deeply ideological Muslim Brothers into free radicals who may no longer listen to their typically cautious leaders.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
'DanielGate' Sparks Moroccan Political Unrest
The Moroccan royal pardon of Spanish pedophile Daniel Galvan Vina has had a litany of political implications.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
The Truth About Egypt
Michael Totten, a contributing editor for World Affairs, interviews Dr. Trager regarding the direction of Egypt's political dynamics since Morsi's ouster.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
How the Israeli Drone Strike in the Sinai Might Backfire
If Israel continues to act as Cairo's proxy terrorist hunter, it could erode the Egyptian military's reputation, undermine General Sisi's popularity, and attract even more militants looking to wage jihad from the Sinai.
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Libya's Jihadists Beyond Benghazi
The government's total failure to deliver security or basic services has given Ansar al-Sharia in Libya ample room to recover from the backlash that followed last year's consulate attack.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Are Morocco's Political Salafists Committed to Peace?
Despite apparent strategic shifts among Moroccan Salafists and the king's "wait and see" policy toward them, it remains unclear whether they will truly moderate as part of the political integration process.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Articles & Testimony
Making the Most of Limited U.S. Leverage in Egypt
Although Washington cannot dispel the existential fight between the military and the Brotherhood, it can exert influence in other ways.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Imminent Crackdown in Egypt: Potential Consequences
Although aggressive military action could yield stability in the short term, the long-term consequences may not bode well for meaningful democratic transition.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Video
Articles & Testimony
New Evidence on Ansar al-Sharia in Libya Training Camps
Leaked videos show that although ASL's public image has been tied to its missionary work in recent months, the group is also still active in training individuals to fight in Syria.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Sisi
Articles & Testimony
Portrait of the General as a Not-So-Young Grad Student
Egypt's army chief is not an Islamist -- in fact, his work at the U.S. Army War College suggests he may be a Mubarak clone.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
If I Were in Charge of Egypt
The Guardian website recently launched a new feature asking readers to weigh in on current affairs, then having an expert respond to them. In this edition, the editors asked Washington Institute fellow Eric Trager to assess the viability of a detailed plan (submitted by reader "2cents") for putting Egypt on
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Limited Reverberations in Morocco
Spillover from Egypt remains limited in Morocco due to discord in the country's most salient opposition movement and differences in its political culture, political economy, and security apparatus.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Articles & Testimony
Alleged Brahmi Killer: Tracing Ties Between Aboubaker el-Hakim, Ansar al-Sharia, and Al-Qaeda
While more evidence is needed to determine whether AQIM or other jihadi factions are linked to the latest assassination of a secular politician in Tunisia, such groups will continue to play a role in the country.
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  • Andrew Lebovich
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Crisis in Egypt
Ambassador Ross addressed a Senate hearing on how Washington should respond to the latest events in Egypt. The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks; download the PDF to read the full testimony. "...There are no guarantees that even if we seek to use our leverage we will succeed
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Interim Cabinet: Challenges and Expectations
Cairo's formation of a new cabinet marks the first step toward transition to an elected government.
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  • Adel El-Adawy

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