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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Morocco's Islamists Rescued from Early Elections

The governing Islamist party will emerge from recent setbacks as a much weaker player, and more obstacles are likely to come.

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Vish Sakthivel

Helping the Dust Settle: Why Washington Cannot Cut Aid to Egypt

Cutting aid to Egypt would only hurt U.S. interests there without helping democracy, stability, or any other cause.

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David Pollock

Inside the Complex World of U.S. Military Assistance to Egypt

Under current conditions, suspending military assistance to Cairo would be counterproductive for U.S. interests and contractors alike.

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David Schenker

Egypt's Political Transition on Track

With the transition plan forging ahead after recent turbulence, Egypt's focus has turned to the upcoming constitutional referendum, which will be followed by parliamentary and presidential elections that may favor emerging centrist movement al-Tayyar al-Hor.

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Adel El-Adawy

Tunisia Designates Ansar al-Sharia

Despite its longstanding reputation as a pro-extremist faction, Tunisia's governing an-Nahda party may finally be breaking with the radical fringe.

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Aaron Y. Zelin
Vish Sakthivel

Articles & Testimony

In Egypt, US Is Better Off Doing Nothing

Given the administration's reluctance to act in Syria and other hotspots, President Obama is wise not to diminish US influence further by cutting ties with the Egyptian military.

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Robert Satloff

Articles & Testimony

Useful Leverage, in the Right Circumstances

Saudi Arabia has been one of the most important allies of the United States. But it has also staunchly supported opposition to reform and democracy in the Gulf, and now may offer aid to the Egyptian military that could dwarf what America provides. Should the United States continue to view

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Dennis Ross

Articles & Testimony

Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood Breakaway Factions, 1954-1981

An expert on jihadist movements compares Egypt's latest crackdown on the Brotherhood with past efforts to suppress the group.

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Aaron Y. Zelin

Egypt's Crackdown and ElBaradei's Resignation

Despite the vice president's resignation, the dispersal of pro-Morsi protests has received strong support among the security forces and political elite, signaling the potential for more violence in the coming days.

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Adel El-Adawy

Articles & Testimony

The Islamic Insurgency That Could Soon Hit Egypt

By disorganizing Egypt's most cohesive Islamist group, the generals have turned hundreds of thousands of deeply ideological Muslim Brothers into free radicals who may no longer listen to their typically cautious leaders.

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Eric Trager

Articles & Testimony

'DanielGate' Sparks Moroccan Political Unrest

The Moroccan royal pardon of Spanish pedophile Daniel Galvan Vina has had a litany of political implications.

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Vish Sakthivel

The Truth About Egypt

Michael Totten, a contributing editor for World Affairs, interviews Dr. Trager regarding the direction of Egypt's political dynamics since Morsi's ouster.

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Eric Trager

Articles & Testimony

How the Israeli Drone Strike in the Sinai Might Backfire

If Israel continues to act as Cairo's proxy terrorist hunter, it could erode the Egyptian military's reputation, undermine General Sisi's popularity, and attract even more militants looking to wage jihad from the Sinai.

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David Schenker

Articles & Testimony

Libya's Jihadists Beyond Benghazi

The government's total failure to deliver security or basic services has given Ansar al-Sharia in Libya ample room to recover from the backlash that followed last year's consulate attack.

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Aaron Y. Zelin

Are Morocco's Political Salafists Committed to Peace?

Despite apparent strategic shifts among Moroccan Salafists and the king's "wait and see" policy toward them, it remains unclear whether they will truly moderate as part of the political integration process.

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Vish Sakthivel

Articles & Testimony

Making the Most of Limited U.S. Leverage in Egypt

Although Washington cannot dispel the existential fight between the military and the Brotherhood, it can exert influence in other ways.

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Eric Trager

Imminent Crackdown in Egypt: Potential Consequences

Although aggressive military action could yield stability in the short term, the long-term consequences may not bode well for meaningful democratic transition.

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Adel El-Adawy

Articles & Testimony

New Evidence on Ansar al-Sharia in Libya Training Camps

Leaked videos show that although ASL's public image has been tied to its missionary work in recent months, the group is also still active in training individuals to fight in Syria.

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Aaron Y. Zelin

Sisi

Articles & Testimony

Portrait of the General as a Not-So-Young Grad Student

Egypt's army chief is not an Islamist -- in fact, his work at the U.S. Army War College suggests he may be a Mubarak clone.

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Eric Trager

Articles & Testimony

If I Were in Charge of Egypt

The Guardian website recently launched a new feature asking readers to weigh in on current affairs, then having an expert respond to them. In this edition, the editors asked Washington Institute fellow Eric Trager to assess the viability of a detailed plan (submitted by reader "2cents") for putting Egypt on

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Eric Trager

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