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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's First Colony in Libya
A local jihadist group has claimed a Libyan city in the name of ISIS, showing how the "Islamic State" could flout traditional notions of territorial contiguity by expanding its "borders" well beyond Iraq and Syria.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Elections in Tunisia: Steps Toward Democratic Consolidation
Tunisia will need U.S. support for its continuing, fragile transition away from authoritarianism.
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  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Brothers in Trouble? Gomaa Amin and the Future of the Muslim Brotherhood
Through its choice of new leadership and other actions, the group is displaying an ideological stubbornness that may threaten its long-term viability.
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  • Eric Trager
  • Gavi Barnhard
Brief Analysis
President Obama Should Meet with Sisi
The two leaders could discuss ISIS, Libya, and other regional issues, but the act of meeting alone would do much in terms of improving bilateral relations.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Battlefield Libya
As Libya's steep descent continues, its claim to sovereignty is becoming increasingly tenuous, so further acts of intervention by other countries in the region are likely.
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  • Gilad Wenig
  • Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
Algeria's Role in Solving the Libya Crisis
Aside from potential military intervention, the Algerian government can leverage its diplomatic ties to mediate between the conflicting Libyan parties, thwart a possible ISIS takeover, and eliminate the threat to the Sahel region as a whole.
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  • Yacine Boudhane
Brief Analysis
U.S. Allies Bombing Islamists: The UAE Airstrikes on Libya
A coalition of like-minded Arab states -- Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates -- is emerging to confront militant Islamism.
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  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Khalifa Haftar: Rebuilding Libya from the Top Down
As a leading Libyan military figure carries out a comprehensive campaign to uproot extremism in his country, Washington and its allies will have to find a way to balance his efforts against the need to curb growing violence and nurture a pluralistic state.
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  • Barak Barfi
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Western Security Concerns
Amid deterioration in Libya and militant attacks in Egypt's Western Desert, resuming U.S. military aid to Cairo is more crucial than ever.
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  • Eric Trager
  • Gilad Wenig
Brief Analysis
Between Democracy and State Collapse: Libya's Uncertain Future
Factional fighting in Tripoli and the declaration of an Islamic emirate in Benghazi suggest a bleak future for Libya. Can the new House of Representatives right the country's course?
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  • Andrew Engel
In-Depth Reports
Al-Adl wal-Ihsan
Inside Morocco's Islamist Challenge
Across the Middle East, a critical question for regimes and peoples alike is "Are Islamists rising or fading?" Egypt under President al-Sisi is one story; Iraq and Syria facing the ISIS challenge is another. In Morocco, the banned but highly influential Islamist opposition group al-Adl wal-Ihsan (Justice and Benevolence) is
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
Libya's Other Battle
The escalation in and around Tripoli holds troubling parallels with the tribal divisions that precipitated Libya's bloody 1936 civil war.
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  • Andrew Engel
  • Ayman Grada
Tunisian protesters in 2011
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia's Security-First Policy at a Crossroads
Unless Western countries provide assistance, the recent violence could unravel the government's progress in stemming terrorist activity.
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  • Mohamed Bechri
Articles & Testimony
Whatever Happened to the Egyptian Revolution?
Galal Amin's latest book on Egypt resorts to the unfortunate and simplistic tactic of attributing all domestic problems to foreign enemies.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Goes After Morocco's Islamists
By criticizing Morocco's various nonviolent Islamist factions online, ISIS/IS members are attempting to plant the seeds of emboldened violent opposition in the kingdom.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Articles & Testimony
Sisi's Spin Man
Even Egypt's most well-educated military officer may have trouble selling the public on Sisi's prospects for overcoming the country's immense challenges.
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  • Gilad Wenig
Articles & Testimony
Hillary: I'm Done with Crazy Egyptian Conspiracy Theories
The former secretary of state's memoirs illustrate how Egypt's misplaced focus on supposed American conspiracies has exacerbated U.S. skepticism regarding Cairo's recent political direction.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Sisi's Fearful Egypt
Despite the Muslim Brotherhood's extrication, fear is still the primary motivator of Egyptian politics, which does not bode well for fostering stability and inclusiveness.
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  • Eric Trager
Video
Brief Analysis
Toward the Sisi Era: A New Page in U.S.-Egypt Relations?
Three experts offer firsthand observations on Egypt's presidential election and its aftermath, including recommendations for the future direction of U.S. policy and aid dollars.
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  • Eric Bjornlund
  • Eric Trager
  • Michele Dunne
Brief Analysis
Egypt After the Election: Advancing the Strategic Relationship
Instead of careening between short-term objectives, U.S. policy toward Egypt should take a long-term, multilateral view that focuses on advancing security cooperation and political and economic reform simultaneously.
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  • Michael Singh

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