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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Brief Analysis
Between Democracy and State Collapse: Libya's Uncertain Future
Factional fighting in Tripoli and the declaration of an Islamic emirate in Benghazi suggest a bleak future for Libya. Can the new House of Representatives right the country's course?
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  • Andrew Engel
In-Depth Reports
Al-Adl wal-Ihsan
Inside Morocco's Islamist Challenge
Across the Middle East, a critical question for regimes and peoples alike is "Are Islamists rising or fading?" Egypt under President al-Sisi is one story; Iraq and Syria facing the ISIS challenge is another. In Morocco, the banned but highly influential Islamist opposition group al-Adl wal-Ihsan (Justice and Benevolence) is
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
Libya's Other Battle
The escalation in and around Tripoli holds troubling parallels with the tribal divisions that precipitated Libya's bloody 1936 civil war.
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  • Andrew Engel
  • Ayman Grada
Tunisian protesters in 2011
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia's Security-First Policy at a Crossroads
Unless Western countries provide assistance, the recent violence could unravel the government's progress in stemming terrorist activity.
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  • Mohamed Bechri
Articles & Testimony
Whatever Happened to the Egyptian Revolution?
Galal Amin's latest book on Egypt resorts to the unfortunate and simplistic tactic of attributing all domestic problems to foreign enemies.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Goes After Morocco's Islamists
By criticizing Morocco's various nonviolent Islamist factions online, ISIS/IS members are attempting to plant the seeds of emboldened violent opposition in the kingdom.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Articles & Testimony
Sisi's Spin Man
Even Egypt's most well-educated military officer may have trouble selling the public on Sisi's prospects for overcoming the country's immense challenges.
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  • Gilad Wenig
Articles & Testimony
Hillary: I'm Done with Crazy Egyptian Conspiracy Theories
The former secretary of state's memoirs illustrate how Egypt's misplaced focus on supposed American conspiracies has exacerbated U.S. skepticism regarding Cairo's recent political direction.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Sisi's Fearful Egypt
Despite the Muslim Brotherhood's extrication, fear is still the primary motivator of Egyptian politics, which does not bode well for fostering stability and inclusiveness.
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  • Eric Trager
Video
Brief Analysis
Toward the Sisi Era: A New Page in U.S.-Egypt Relations?
Three experts offer firsthand observations on Egypt's presidential election and its aftermath, including recommendations for the future direction of U.S. policy and aid dollars.
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  • Eric Bjornlund
  • Eric Trager
  • Michele Dunne
Brief Analysis
Egypt After the Election: Advancing the Strategic Relationship
Instead of careening between short-term objectives, U.S. policy toward Egypt should take a long-term, multilateral view that focuses on advancing security cooperation and political and economic reform simultaneously.
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  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Also-Ran
Meet the man crazy enough to run for president against the new strongman in Cairo.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Libya's Growing Risk of Civil War
Long-simmering tensions between non-Islamist and Islamist forces have boiled over into military actions centered around Benghazi and Tripoli, entrenching the country's rival alliances and bringing them ever closer to civil war.
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  • Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood Thinks It's Winning Again
Given the Brotherhood's persistent and dangerous delusion, the existential struggle that has defined Egyptian politics since Morsi's removal will likely worsen.
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  • Eric Trager
Video
Brief Analysis
Morocco's Approach to Countering Violent Extremism
A Moroccan statesman discusses efforts to counter terrorism and violent extremism in one of the most stable parts of the region.
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  • Mohamed Salah Tamek
Brief Analysis
Shabab al-Tawhid: The Rebranding of Ansar al-Sharia in Tunisia?
Security crackdowns will not be enough to eradicate jihadist networks in Tunisia and Libya, which have the patience and ideological conviction to weather drastic reorganization.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
When Jihadists Learn How to Help
A violent Libyan jihadist group is increasingly using aid efforts and religious education to cultivate a constituency abroad, not just at home.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Egypt Emerges as a Route for Israeli Natural Gas Exports
Piping Israeli gas to liquefaction plants in Egypt is the most commercially logical option but remains politically risky.
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  • Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Islamists in Government: Do They Moderate Once in Power?
A senior State Department advisor and two Washington Institute scholars discuss what lessons can -- and cannot -- be drawn from the Islamist political experience in Egypt, Pakistan, Morocco, and other countries.
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  • Eric Trager
  • Haroon Ullah
  • Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
Resuming Military Aid to Egypt: A Strategic Imperative
Given the important strategic interests at stake and the unlikelihood of changing Cairo's short-term behavior, Secretary Kerry should be prepared to use all available options to keep the aid flowing.
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  • Eric Trager

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