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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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Articles & Testimony
The Paris Attacks: Three Generations of Jihadists
Extremists have been importing conflicts from the Arab world into France since the 1990s, resulting in the latest tragedy.
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Brief Analysis
A Moment of Decision on Egypt
Washington is all but certain to resume its military financing to Egypt at some point, but there is little to be gained and potentially much to be lost by waiting for Cairo's Federal Reserve accounts to zero out in the meantime.
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Questions About Egypt's Syria Policy
Even if Cairo wanted to normalize relations with the Assad regime, its need to stay on good terms with Saudi Arabia and the UAE would seriously constrain how far it could go in that direction.
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  • Marc Sievers
Brief Analysis
Tunisians Vote in a Runoff
While Tunisians deserve widespread recognition for achieving a peaceful transfer of power, the need for continued U.S. engagement will only increase after this weekend's ballot.
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  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Friday's Islamist 'Uprising' in Egypt Could Be Bloody
Although past uprisings have been quickly snuffed out, the latest calls for mass protests have been more strategically savvy and explicitly violent than usual.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Tunisians Elect a President
Regardless of who enters Carthage Palace in January, a free and fair election will represent an achievement worthy of international recognition.
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  • Sarah Feuer
An Egyptian guard inspects bomb damage near the Gaza border in Sinai
Articles & Testimony
Obama Administration Should Be Helping Egypt, Not Punishing It
Helping Cairo defeat jihadis -- at minimum by delivering long-postponed weapons systems -- would be more productive than punishing it for its repressive approach in Sinai.
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  • David Schenker
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Morocco Deepens Anti-IS Gulf Ties, but Neglects Returning Jihadi Threat
Even as Rabat sends delegations abroad to garner support for its security programs, the question remains: Why is Morocco one of the largest sources of IS fighters in the Arab world?
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  • Vish Sakthivel
In-Depth Reports
Libya as a Failed State:
Causes, Consequences, Options
Is post-Qadhafi Libya destined to become a "Somalia on the Mediterranean"? Analyst Andrew Engel studies the causative factors in Libya's failed transition to democracy.
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  • Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Army of God
Islam's growing role in the military is likely part of an ideological battle to reclaim the spiritual mantle from the Muslim Brotherhood, but manipulating religion for political gain has a history of backfiring in Egypt.
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  • Gilad Wenig
Articles & Testimony
Mubarak Nostalgia Is the Winning Strategy in Egyptian Politics Right Now
In a political environment that seeks a return to the status quo ante, some Egyptians are embracing a Mubarak-era strategy of leveraging patronage networks and governmental connections for victory.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's First Colony in Libya
A local jihadist group has claimed a Libyan city in the name of ISIS, showing how the "Islamic State" could flout traditional notions of territorial contiguity by expanding its "borders" well beyond Iraq and Syria.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Elections in Tunisia: Steps Toward Democratic Consolidation
Tunisia will need U.S. support for its continuing, fragile transition away from authoritarianism.
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  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Brothers in Trouble? Gomaa Amin and the Future of the Muslim Brotherhood
Through its choice of new leadership and other actions, the group is displaying an ideological stubbornness that may threaten its long-term viability.
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  • Eric Trager
  • Gavi Barnhard
Brief Analysis
President Obama Should Meet with Sisi
The two leaders could discuss ISIS, Libya, and other regional issues, but the act of meeting alone would do much in terms of improving bilateral relations.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Battlefield Libya
As Libya's steep descent continues, its claim to sovereignty is becoming increasingly tenuous, so further acts of intervention by other countries in the region are likely.
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  • Gilad Wenig
  • Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
Algeria's Role in Solving the Libya Crisis
Aside from potential military intervention, the Algerian government can leverage its diplomatic ties to mediate between the conflicting Libyan parties, thwart a possible ISIS takeover, and eliminate the threat to the Sahel region as a whole.
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  • Yacine Boudhane
Brief Analysis
U.S. Allies Bombing Islamists: The UAE Airstrikes on Libya
A coalition of like-minded Arab states -- Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates -- is emerging to confront militant Islamism.
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  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Khalifa Haftar: Rebuilding Libya from the Top Down
As a leading Libyan military figure carries out a comprehensive campaign to uproot extremism in his country, Washington and its allies will have to find a way to balance his efforts against the need to curb growing violence and nurture a pluralistic state.
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  • Barak Barfi
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Western Security Concerns
Amid deterioration in Libya and militant attacks in Egypt's Western Desert, resuming U.S. military aid to Cairo is more crucial than ever.
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  • Eric Trager
  • Gilad Wenig

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