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شمال أفريقيا

Policy Analysis on شمال أفريقيا

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The Truth About Egypt
Michael Totten, a contributing editor for World Affairs, interviews Dr. Trager regarding the direction of Egypt's political dynamics since Morsi's ouster.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
How the Israeli Drone Strike in the Sinai Might Backfire
If Israel continues to act as Cairo's proxy terrorist hunter, it could erode the Egyptian military's reputation, undermine General Sisi's popularity, and attract even more militants looking to wage jihad from the Sinai.
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Libya's Jihadists Beyond Benghazi
The government's total failure to deliver security or basic services has given Ansar al-Sharia in Libya ample room to recover from the backlash that followed last year's consulate attack.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Are Morocco's Political Salafists Committed to Peace?
Despite apparent strategic shifts among Moroccan Salafists and the king's "wait and see" policy toward them, it remains unclear whether they will truly moderate as part of the political integration process.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Articles & Testimony
Making the Most of Limited U.S. Leverage in Egypt
Although Washington cannot dispel the existential fight between the military and the Brotherhood, it can exert influence in other ways.
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Imminent Crackdown in Egypt: Potential Consequences
Although aggressive military action could yield stability in the short term, the long-term consequences may not bode well for meaningful democratic transition.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Video
Articles & Testimony
New Evidence on Ansar al-Sharia in Libya Training Camps
Leaked videos show that although ASL's public image has been tied to its missionary work in recent months, the group is also still active in training individuals to fight in Syria.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Sisi
Articles & Testimony
Portrait of the General as a Not-So-Young Grad Student
Egypt's army chief is not an Islamist -- in fact, his work at the U.S. Army War College suggests he may be a Mubarak clone.
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
If I Were in Charge of Egypt
The Guardian website recently launched a new feature asking readers to weigh in on current affairs, then having an expert respond to them. In this edition, the editors asked Washington Institute fellow Eric Trager to assess the viability of a detailed plan (submitted by reader "2cents") for putting Egypt on
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Limited Reverberations in Morocco
Spillover from Egypt remains limited in Morocco due to discord in the country's most salient opposition movement and differences in its political culture, political economy, and security apparatus.
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  • Vish Sakthivel
Articles & Testimony
Alleged Brahmi Killer: Tracing Ties Between Aboubaker el-Hakim, Ansar al-Sharia, and Al-Qaeda
While more evidence is needed to determine whether AQIM or other jihadi factions are linked to the latest assassination of a secular politician in Tunisia, such groups will continue to play a role in the country.
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  • Andrew Lebovich
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Crisis in Egypt
Ambassador Ross addressed a Senate hearing on how Washington should respond to the latest events in Egypt. The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks; download the PDF to read the full testimony. "...There are no guarantees that even if we seek to use our leverage we will succeed
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Interim Cabinet: Challenges and Expectations
Cairo's formation of a new cabinet marks the first step toward transition to an elected government.
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  • Adel El-Adawy
Articles & Testimony
Al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb's Tunisia Strategy
During the last two years, Salafist activity has escalated in Tunisia. Much of this activity -- primarily dawa (religious outreach) designed to expand the Salafist movement -- has taken place under the auspices of Ansar al-Sharia in Tunisia (AST), headed by veteran jihadist Saifullah bin Hassine. A series of security
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Daveed Gartenstein-Ross
  • Andrew Lebovich
Brief Analysis
Moderating Islamists: Turkey's Lessons for Egypt
The Turkish coup of 1980 demonstrates that army intervention can restore democracy in some cases, while Turkey's generally successful development since then illustrates the role that the military, other institutions, and the international community can play in moderating Islamist movements.
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  • James Jeffrey
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Pakistan's Example of the Way Forward in Egypt
Pakistan's successes and stumbles suggest that the United States should enhance its involvement with Egypt in order to help manage the reemergence of a civilian-led democracy.
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Will Egypt Become the Next Algeria?
If Egypt carries out the same sort of undemocratic and misguided actions seen in Algeria during the 1990s, it will greatly reduce the revolution's prospects for success.
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  • William Lawrence
Articles & Testimony
Why the Brotherhood Won't Back Down
The Brotherhood seems bent on exploiting perceived divisions within the Egyptian military and fervent commitment among its own followers to perpetuate a fight that it may not be able to win.
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  • Eric Trager
An Egyptian guard inspects bomb damage near the Gaza border in Sinai
Brief Analysis
Deterioration in the Sinai
The uptick in Sinai attacks since Morsi's ouster has raised political and security concerns that may force Egypt's military to assert itself in the peninsula.
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  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Gulf Aid to Egypt and U.S. Policy
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait's new financial aid to Cairo should be used to facilitate a political transition and stabilize Egypt's fragile economy.
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  • Simon Henderson

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