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Policy Analysis
All Policy Analysis by Robert Satloff
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Brief Analysis
The King is Back, and 'Final-Status Talks' May Be Just Around the Corner
While the Tehran Islamic summit and the new Israeli spy scandal have garnered the Middle East headlines this week, important developments have taken place in Jordan that both suggest the Israeli-Palestinian peace process may be poised for progress and point to the re-engagement of a critical player—King Hussein. Diplomatic context
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Iraq Outcome:
A Hollow Victory for U.S. Policy
To the Clinton Administration, the Iraq crisis appears headed toward a satisfactory outcome. As a result of the UN Security Council's unanimous condemnation of Iraq and imposition of additional (if modest) new sanctions, Saddam seems to have succumbed to the will of the international community, with UNSCOM inspectors soon returning
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Jordan:
Politics, Peace Process, and Election Preview
This marks the third parliamentary election since 1989 and the first since the Jordan-Israel peace treaty. It is important to recall three principles when evaluating the parliamentary experience in Jordan: 1) Democratization has been, from its origin, instrumental-i.e., it was meant to serve other goals. The reconvening of parliament in
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Albright and the Middle East:
A Pre-Trip Briefing
Secretary of State Madeleine Albright will find a Middle East of changing expectations and heightened vulnerabilities for United States interests. In Egypt, she will find a country that is facing potential cuts in U.S. foreign aid; Congress has given notice that economic assistance—the symbol of the U.S.-Egypt relationship—is legitimate fare
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Robert Satloff
Samuel Lewos
Brief Analysis
The Clinton/Albright Plan—
Step 1, Fight Terror; Step 2, Make Peace Fast
The Clinton administration responded to internal and international pressure to ratchet up its role in the Arab- Israeli peace process yesterday with two important statements—a full-scale speech by Secretary of State Albright and extended comments by President Clinton at a Rose Garden press conference. The result was two key shifts
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
U.S. Policy and the Peace Process:
What (If Anything) Is to Be Done?
Six months after the signing of the Hebron protocol and the U.S.-negotiated Note for the Record, it is clear that the negotiating process is at an impasse. While the Hebron violence has subsided and the two sides have returned to the bargaining table just this week, this is clearly the
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Oslo Impasse and U.S. Policy:
Small Changes, Big Implications
On the 30th anniversary of the Six Day War, it is clear that the diplomacy designed to resolve a core element left from that conflict—the Israeli-Palestinian dispute - has reached an impasse. Not only has the security cooperation between Israel and the Palestinian Authority envisioned in the Oslo Accords broken
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The 'Bar-On Scandal':
Implications for the Netanyahu Government and the Peace Process
Out of the four people recommended for indictment by Israeli police, only Aryeh Deri—head of the Shas party and former minister of the interior—will probably be indicted. Although the police had "tangible suspicion" of Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Minister of Justice Tzahi Hanegbi, there was not an "irrefutable proof
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Robert Satloff
Samuel Lewos
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy toward Egypt
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations Mr. Chairman, It is an honor to appear before this Committee to discuss Egypt and U.S. policy. In recent years, as visible signs of discord have emerged between the United States and Egypt over a wide array of issues, this topic has
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
From Hebron to Har Homa to Hamas:
The Chimera of 'Reciprocity'
As Prime Minister Netanyahu prepares to meet President Clinton on Monday, policymakers and analysts are asking how Israeli-Palestinian relations could plummet from the optimism that surrounded the signing of the Hebron agreement in mid-January to today's violence, brinkmanship and gloominess. Explanations abound—from the controversy surrounding Har Homa construction to the
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Hebron Agreement:
A Closer Look
The weeks between the Hebron agreement and the first phase of Israel's "further redeployment" in the West Bank have already produced an uncommon still in the Israeli-Palestinian relationship, with tourism officials undertaking a joint marketing scheme under the motto: "Peace -- It's a Beautiful Sight to See." In this critical
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Alan Makovsky
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
After the Washington Summit:
Implications for Security and the Peace Process
Last week's serious crisis provides a number of important lessons. Although the Washington summit produced assurances from both sides to avoid violence, similar pledges have been made in the past and have been violated. Unless serious steps are taken by both sides, it is likely that last week's understanding will
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Zeev Schiff
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
On the Brink:
The Oslo Process and the Washington Summit
"I want to repeat here once again our commitment to security cooperation with Israel and our commitment to cooperate with Israel in all aspects in accordance with the agreement signed. This cooperation with Israel in all fields will continue irrespective of our political differences." —Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat, September
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu's Victory:
Implications for U.S. Peace Process Policy
In Israel's election, President Clinton bet heavily on Shimon Peres and lost. Now, as the Administration assesses the implications of Peres' defeat, it is weighing options of holding fast to current policy or "adapting" to a new situation, as Secretary of State Christopher has hinted. Given Benjamin Netanyahu's stunning victory
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Israeli Elections:
Domestic Politics and the Peace Process
Israel's elections are a watershed event: by a margin of less than 1 percentage point Benjamin Netanyahu will become the first directly elected prime minister in Israel's history (a full list of prime ministerial and parliamentary election results appears at the end of this article). Among Jewish Israelis, the differential
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Samuel Lewos
Robert Satloff
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Changing Assad's Incentive Structure:
Christopher in the 'Lion's Den'
As foreign ministers of seven countries descended upon Damascus and Operation Grapes of Wrath shifted into low gear, katyushas continued to fall on northern Israel over the weekend, bringing the count to nearly 500 over the past twelve days. Apparently, none of the seven -- American, French, Russian, Italian, Spanish
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Robert Satloff
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
King Hussein's Iraq Speech:
Opportunities and Challenges
In his televised address Wednesday, King Hussein defined a new policy toward Iraq that underscores his connection to the Iraqi people and armed forces, puts him at the forefront of the anti-Saddam coalition, and lays down a clear marker to Saddam that one false move would trigger the shutting down
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Robert Satloff
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Arab-Israeli Peace Process:
Politics, Policy, and Public Opinion
On, July 10, 1995, Samuel Lewis, counselor to the Washington Institute, and Robert Satloff, executive director of the Washington Institute, addressed a session of the The Washington Institute's Policy Forum on the status of the peace process and its future development. The following is a rapporteur's summary of their remarks
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Samuel Lewos
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Arab-Israeli Peace -- 1995:
A Trip Report
On December 13, 1994, four participants of The Washington Institute's study group to the Middle East addressed a Policy Forum on the prospects for the peace process in the coming year: Dr. Joseph Sisco, former undersecretary of state; Dr. Graeme Bannerman, former staff director of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee
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Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
Approaching Peace:
U.S. Interests in Israeli-Palestinian Final Status Talks
Preface Since the founding of The Washington Institute a decade ago, our work has been dedicated to assisting U.S. policymakers in their efforts to promote American interests in the Middle East, especially the pursuit of Arab-Israeli peace. When we began, comprehensive peace was a distant fixture on the horizon. Our
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Robert Satloff
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