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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

السياسة العربية والإسلامية

Policy Analysis on السياسة العربية والإسلامية

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Brief Analysis
Egypt's Parliamentary Vote:
A Democracy Test amid Regional Tension
As rumors swirl regarding a possible Arab League summit meeting in Cairo later this month, preparations are underway for a major event on the Egyptian domestic scene: the holding of parliamentary elections. This vote, set to occur over three stages from October 18 to November 14, will be the first
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Brief Analysis
The Arab World and the Millennium Summit:
Avoiding the Globalization Challenge
Unlike the nearly two hundred other world leaders who spoke at last week's Millennium Summit, virtually every Arab head of state delivered a speech that avoided the conclave's main theme--meeting the economic and political challenge of globalization. Instead, they spoke about preserving Arab rights in the context of the Israeli-Palestinian
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Brief Analysis
Statehood, Final Status, and the Future Role of the PLO:
Will the Conflict End with Independence?
Last Sunday, the world breathed a sigh of relief as the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) Central Council voted to postpone a declaration of statehood until at least November 15, 2000. Less noticed, however, has been the internal battle over what is perhaps the second most important political issue on the
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Lebanese Elections:
Syrian Key Interests Preserved, For Now
The stunning success of several prominent opposition candidates in Lebanon's recent parliamentary elections has been portrayed by much of the Western press as a "defeat" for Syrian interests in Lebanon, and a "loosening" of Syria's grip over its smaller neighbor. Now that the elections are over, the next step in
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Brief Analysis
Assessing the Arab 'Yellow Light' on a Palestinian Unilateral Declaration of Independence
President Clinton will again meet his two Camp David partners--though not yet in scheduled three-way talks during this week's Millennium Summit, six weeks after the conclusion of their inconclusive Camp David negotiations. In the August interval, each side sent leaders and diplomats jetting about Europe, Asia, and the Middle East
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Brief Analysis
Iran:
Dialogue Abroad, Violence at Home
Iranian President Muhammad Khatami's international charm offensive continues at the UN Millennium Summit, where today he hosts a "Dialogue of Civilizations" and tomorrow he speaks to the General Assembly. Meanwhile, at home, Khatami faces violence rather than dialogue, raising doubts about Iran's peaceful reform. The Iranian Charm Offensive. Last week
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Turkey:
Constitutional Clash Rocks Regime
Last week, a seemingly arcane argument produced a political crisis in Turkey that set back, at least temporarily, the government's longstanding anti-Islamist campaign. What began as a dispute over constitutional interpretation of presidential powers embittered relations between the nation's two top officials-President Ahmet Necdet Sezer and Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit-to
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  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Hizballah and the Upcoming Lebanese Elections:
Shifting Priorities
Hizballah is shifting its focus from armed resistance to internal matters in anticipation of the upcoming parliamentary elections. Hizballah hopes to translate its "victory" over the IDF and South Lebanon Army into a greater share of domestic political power. Hizballah Secretary-General Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah acknowledges the shift in priorities, stating
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In-Depth Reports
Arab Attitudes toward Israel and Peace
Previous public opinion polls conducted in the Arab East, especially in the Levant, have revealed that "inching toward peace" with Israel has not produced definitive changes in Arab perceptions. Instead, the peace process seems to have given rise to a kind of resignation born of a pervasive sense of helplessness
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  • Hilal Khashan
Brief Analysis
Presidential Study Group Trip Report:
Camp David through Middle Eastern Eyes
With a couple of minor exceptions, there was scant criticism of U.S. policy by Arab leaders. Contrary to expectation, officials from Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and the Palestinian Authority volunteered very few complaints. Israel's discontent with the relationship, on the other hand, was manifest and unmistakable. Israeli representatives from both ends
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The West's Next Test:
The Verdict of the Thirteen Jews
On July 1, Satiq Nurani, judge and prosecutor for thirteen Iranian Jews accused of espionage, reportedly will announce his verdict. The case, troubling for both procedural reasons and the dubious nature of the charges, has for more than a year been an obstacle in Iran’s relations with the West. The
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Brief Analysis
Domestic Politics and State Interests in Syria and Israel
Syria’s old power structure is giving way, and new faces are emerging. Bashar al-Asad is well on his way to becoming president. A new generation has also begun to take positions of power in the Ba‘th party hierarchy, the military, the cabinet, and the security organs. Although the old guard
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Who Rules Syria?
Bashar al-Asad and the Alawi 'Barons'
The orderly transfer of power following the death of President Hafiz al-Asad, in accordance with Syria’s constitutional succession mechanism, has highlighted the role of the formal power structures of the Syrian state: the presidency, cabinet, National Assembly, and, above all, the Ba’th party. It has, however, obscured the crucial role
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Tea (and Prejudice) with the Taliban
Afghanistan rolls out the carpet for a Jewish visitor, but it is importing a virulent strain of anti-Semitism along with radical Islam. I drank tea with Habibullah Fouzi, first secretary at the Afghan Embassy in Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan, one of only three countries that recognize the fanatic Islamic
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Brief Analysis
A New Asad—A New Syria?
Hafiz al-Asad was a cautious and calculating leader, but he had not completed the steps to guarantee a smooth succession to his son Bashar by the time of his death. Nevertheless, Bashar al-Asad will probably become Syria’s next president. There are no significant or immediate threats to his accession. Some
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Can Bashar al-Asad Hold On in Syria?
Syrian president Hafiz al-Asad had a knack for bad timing. He delayed for years making his son Bashar his formal successor, wanting to get everything just right--and then he died a week before everything was to fall into place to make Bashar the anointed one. It seems very likely Bashar
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Brief Analysis
Saudi Family Council Suggests Transition Is Imminent
The surprise announcement on June 4 of the establishment and first meeting of a Saudi royal family council indicates that the kingdom is preparing itself for a shift in full authority from the ailing King Fahd to his deputy, Crown Prince Abdullah. The change should bring to an end the
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
East vs. West:
King Abdullah and the Future of Jordan's Economic Orientation
Tonight, Jordan's King Abdullah arrives in Washington for a two-day visit that will include discussions with President Bill Clinton and appointments with chief executive officers of top U.S. technology firms. In a departure from the usual emphasis with the peace process, this visit will focus on Jordanian domestic issues, specifically
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Democracy and the Peace Process:
One Year after May 4, 1999
As Palestinian and Israeli negotiators settle into a negotiating routine in Eilat this week, the peace process quietly marks an anniversary of sorts--one year ago the Oslo-Wye diplomacy faced the threat of a unilateral Palestinian declaration of independence. That step was temporarily averted when Palestinian Authority (PA) ra'is Arafat postponed
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  • David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
Jordan:
Case Study of a Pivotal State
The stability of the Hashemite Kingdom has consistently confounded observers. Jordan’s imminent demise has been predicted time and again, only to be defied by the seemingly extraordinary capacity to endure and remain one of the most stable states in the region. If the death of King Hussein gave rise to
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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
ديفيد شينكر
ديفيد شينكر هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "توب" في معهد واشنطن ومدير "برنامج «ليندا وتوني روبين» حول السياسة العربية"، كما شغل سابقا منصب مساعد وزير الخارجية لشؤون الشرق الأدنى.
Ghaith al-Omari
غيث العمري
غيث العمري هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "مؤسسة روزاليند وآرثر جيلبيرت" ضمن "برنامج «عائلة إروين ليفي» حول العلاقات الاستراتيجية بين الولايات المتحدة وإسرائيل" في معهد واشنطن.
Hanin Ghaddar
حنين غدار
حنين غدار هي زميلة أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "فريدمان" في "برنامج «ليندا وتوني روبين» حول السياسة العربية" في معهد واشنطن، حيث تركز في عملها على السياسة الشيعية في مختلف أنحاء منطقة المشرق.
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