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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

السياسة العربية والإسلامية

Policy Analysis on السياسة العربية والإسلامية

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Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood's Long Game:
Egypt's Ruling Party Plots Its Path to Power
In the 18 months since the overthrow of Hosni Mubarak, the Muslim Brotherhood has risen swiftly from the cave to the castle. It founded the now-dominant Freedom and Justice Party last April, won a massive plurality in the winter parliamentary elections, and, last week, celebrated as its candidate, Mohamed Morsi
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Syria's Eastern Front: The Iraq Factor
The United States should use its close relations with Iraq's Sunni Arab tribes to reduce the risk of spillover from Syria.
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Senior Sunni Defections in Syria
The reported defection of a senior Sunni commander and friend of Assad, if true, would be a blow to the regime and an opportunity for Washington.
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Blind in Baghdad
Something is stirring in Iraq. On July 3, car bombs ripped through mainly Shiite neighborhoods across the country, killing 36 people. It was the latest tragedy in a bloody month -- a prolonged political crisis has weakened the government in Baghdad, giving insurgent groups an opening to expand their operations
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Islamist Future
The struggle for supremacy between the Islamists and the military is second to a more important political battle: what kind of Islamic state Egypt will become.
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  • David Schenker
Eric Trager to «Al-Watan»: «Morsi’s» Hostile Statements on «Septemebr 11» Concerns Washington
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Mounting Pressure on the Syrian Army
Unless the army finds a way to relieve growing pressure on its capabilities and cohesion, it will likely collapse, sweeping away much of the regime in the process.
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  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Revolutionary Fallout: Egypt Faces Early Security Challenges
As post-revolutionary Egypt slowly shapes a new political landscape, it faces a resurgent security challenge from extremist groups. David Schenker examines recent incidents, security force capabilities, and the extent to which Islamist political blocs might influence the country's domestic and regional security posture. The following is a summary of the
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  • David Schenker
Video
Issues in Syria
David Pollock discussed Saturday's emergency meeting in Geneva on the crisis in Syria on C-SPAN's Washington Journal.
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Fluid Alliances: The Syrian Government's Support for and Complicity in Terrorism
The Syrian government's fluid relationships with terrorist groups such as Hizballah and Hamas have been further complicated by the ongoing popular uprising against Bashar al-Assad. This article dissects several of these key relationships, documenting how they evolved before and during the uprising and forecasting how they might change upon Assad's
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
The Clerics vs. Modernity:
Failure of the Islamic Republic's Soft Power
The Islamic Republic's greatest fear is neither a military attack on its shadowy nuclear program nor a forced suspension of uranium enrichment, but a cultural invasion in the form of Western modernity.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Syria's Kurds in Play as Turkey Ponders Options
Yet another dimension of the Syrian imbroglio is the role of the Kurdish population.
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Annan's Syria Action Group a Hopeful Sign
UN special envoy Kofi Annan recently issued invitations for a June 30 meeting in Geneva to deal with the Syria crisis. The participants -- whom Annan dubbed an "action group" -- include the five permanent members of the Security Council, Turkey, and Arab League members Iraq, Kuwait, and Qatar. Annan's
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Iran Confident As Sanctions Tighten
Iran sees itself in a strong position relative to the West and therefore believes it has little reason to be forthcoming in nuclear negotiations.
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood Won an Election, But Is It Really Democratic?
In the stultifying, 100-plus-degree heat of Tahrir Square on Sunday, where tens of thousands gathered to hear the results of Egypt's first relatively free presidential election, the sweaty, and occasionally fainting, masses were morbidly grim. Many in the Islamist-dominant crowd were convinced that Egypt's military junta would anoint former prime
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Syria Shoots Down Turkish Jet: Washington's Dilemma
The United States must strongly support Turkey even at the cost of diplomatic cooperation with Russia.
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Morsi's Victory in Egypt: Early Implications for America and the Broader Middle East
While the authority of Egypt's new president may be circumscribed, it is a mistake to underestimate his ability to influence political change at home and abroad. Before any further embrace of the Muslim Brotherhood leader, the Obama administration needs clarity on how Morsi's policies are likely to affect critical U.S. interests.
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Rumors of Another Egyptian Revolution Are Greatly Exaggerated
On Wednesday night, thousands of demonstrators descended onto Tahrir Square to demand an end to military rule. It was the twentieth straight night of these protests, and the Muslim Brotherhood marked the occasion by calling on its hundreds of thousands of members nationwide to join an open-ended Tahrir Square sit-in
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
The Revolution in Egypt: Turning Point?
Sixteen months on, the transition in Egypt is not over; indeed, it is just beginning. On the eve of the Muslim Brotherhood's presidential victory, former senior Defense Department official David Schenker testified on how Washington should use its limited leverage in Cairo in the near term, offering a detailed status
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  • David Schenker
Fikra Forum Interviews New Head of Syrian National Council
On June 15, 2012, the newly elected head of the Syrian National Council (SNC), Abdulbaset Sieda, gave Fikra Forum his first extended Western media interview since assuming the post on June 10. The interview was conducted by Skype, in Arabic, by Fikra Forum editor Lauren Emerson and contributors Maya Gebeily and Jehad Saleh. Key points include: 1. Sieda asserts that the SNC does not lead the FSA, and that this could lead to the "disorganized and haphazard use of weapons" and an "uncontrollable … security coup," as he says has occurred in Libya. 2. He says it would be fine to "coordinate" with the Kurdish opposition and others, rather than try and bring them back into the SNC. 3. He says there could be dialogue with regime elements "with no blood on their hands,” but only concerning "the timing and process of the fall of the regime." 4. He denies that the SNC should do anything to demonstrate its independence from the MB, which is "an essential faction of the Syrian opposition."
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Featured experts

David Schenker
ديفيد شينكر
ديفيد شينكر هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "توب" في معهد واشنطن ومدير "برنامج «ليندا وتوني روبين» حول السياسة العربية"، كما شغل سابقا منصب مساعد وزير الخارجية لشؤون الشرق الأدنى.
Ghaith al-Omari
غيث العمري
غيث العمري هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "مؤسسة روزاليند وآرثر جيلبيرت" ضمن "برنامج «عائلة إروين ليفي» حول العلاقات الاستراتيجية بين الولايات المتحدة وإسرائيل" في معهد واشنطن.
Hanin Ghaddar
حنين غدار
حنين غدار هي زميلة أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "فريدمان" في "برنامج «ليندا وتوني روبين» حول السياسة العربية" في معهد واشنطن، حيث تركز في عملها على السياسة الشيعية في مختلف أنحاء منطقة المشرق.
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