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العراق

Policy Analysis on العراق

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Brief Analysis
Iran's Ongoing Proxy War in Iraq
In December 2008, shortly before assuming office, President Barack Obama called for "tough but direct diplomacy with Iran." As the new administration moves forward, it must realize that U.S.-Iranian negotiations will take place while Iran is killing Americans in Iraq and increasing its support for armed Iraqi factions. Like its
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Surprises from Iraq's Provincial Elections
On February 5, Iraq's Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC) released preliminary results from last Saturday's provincial elections. With 90 percent of the votes tallied, Iraq's new political landscape and key trends are slowly emerging -- with some surprising results. By far the loudest message from Iraqi voters was that the
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
  • Ahmed Ali
Articles & Testimony
Iraqi Election Success?
Not So Fast
Iraq's Jan. 31 provincial elections, the first since 2005, may seem to have gone rather smoothly and been accompanied only by limited violence, but it's still too early to breathe a sigh of relief. Every election has losers, and losers don't always accept defeat graciously. In mature Western democracies, losers
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Brief Analysis
Provincial Elections Kick Off Iraq's Year of Choices
This week, after more than a year of anticipation, most of Iraq's governorates will hold provincial elections. The election process and its outcome will provide a strong indication of whether Iraq's democracy will continue to consolidate or begin to unravel. More worrisome than the elections, however, may be the frustrated
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Kirkuk:
A Test for the International Community
On January 31, most Iraqis will go to the polls and express their political preferences in provincial elections, but four of Iraq's provinces -- the three governorates within the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) and Kirkuk province -- will not hold elections. Kirkuk's noninclusion is a symbol of its unresolved status
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  • Ahmed Ali
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
From Gaza to Tehran:
Looking toward the Obama Administration and the Middle East
On January 9, 2009, David Brooks, Peter Beinart, and Robert Satloff addressed a Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to discuss the Obama administration and its likely approach to the Middle East. Mr. Brooks is a New York Times columnist and regular commentator on both The Newshour with Jim
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Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Year of Choices
A journalist hurling shoes at the president of the United States may be one lasting, if twisted, image of freedom from Iraq, but the multiple elections scheduled for the year ahead are sure to offer others -- and to demonstrate definitively whether Iraq's democratic experiment will be consolidated or will
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Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Elections:
What's at Stake?
The upcoming provincial elections in Iraq, scheduled for January 2009, will provide the best indicators to date of the health of Iraq's political system, the relative popularity of political parties, and Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki's prospects for re-election in national elections planned for December 2009. Iraqis have been concerned by
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Articles & Testimony
Significance of the Provincial Elections
The upcoming provincial elections in Iraq, scheduled for January, will provide the best indicators to date of the health of Iraq's political system, the relative popularity of political parties, and Prime Minister al-Maliki's prospects for re-election in national elections planned for December 2009. Iraqis have been concerned by the delay
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Brief Analysis
The New President and the Middle East:
From Campaigning to Governing
On November 6, Robert Satloff, Patrick Clawson, and David Makovsky addressed a Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute. Dr. Satloff is executive director of The Washington Institute, Dr. Clawson is the Institute's deputy director for research, and Mr. Makovsky is the director of the Institute's Project on the Middle
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Win, Lose, or Draw:
Iraq Decisions Await President-Elect
When Barack Obama assumes office on January 20, 2009, the president-elect will face many pressing issues. The strategic case for careful and active management of Iraq policy, however, remains strong. Iraq has at least 115 billion barrels of proven oil reserves (9.3 percent of the world total) and borders Iran
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Kirkuk:
The Land the Surge Forgot
Although recognized as a political flashpoint, the Iraqi province of Kirkuk is suffering from a largely overlooked security crisis that has improved little since the beginning of the 2007 U.S. military "surge." The decline in reported insurgent attacks in Kirkuk has been relatively small, dropping from a monthly average of
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Politicians Ponder Status of Forces Agreement
After months of rigorous debate, U.S. and Iraqi negotiators submitted a draft Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) to Iraq's cabinet and political leadership last week. Since then, many Iraqi politicians have publicly expressed reservations, while others have distanced themselves from the draft in an attempt to deflect blame and avoid
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  • Nazar Janabi
Brief Analysis
The Importance of Iraq's Provincial Elections
On September 22, the Iraqi parliament belatedly passed a provincial elections law, ending a long and costly deadlock. Parliament ratified the initial version of the law on July 22, but it was later vetoed by two members of Iraq's presidency council. This time it is likely that the bill will
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  • Nazar Janabi
Articles & Testimony
The Hidden Imam
Conventional wisdom holds that when Iran's supreme leader says, "Jump," millions of Shiites, from the Beirut slums to the Saudi oilfields, ask, "How high?" But a recent meeting in Baghdad between a wealthy Lebanese Sunni politician and an ascetic Shiite theologian twice his age suggests that there is a move
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  • David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
Will Iraq Be an Ally of the United States or of Iran?
Download the complete proceedings. On September 20, 2008, Ghassan Atiyyah, Reuel Marc Gerecht, and Michael Knights addressed The Washington Institute's annual Weinberg Founders Conference. Mr. Atiyyah is a former visiting fellow at the Institute and director of the Iraq Foundation for Development and Democracy. Mr. Gerecht is a resident fellow
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  • Ghassan Atiyyah
  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
America's Grand Strategy in the Middle East:
Views from the Campaign
Download the complete proceedings. On September 20, 2008, Max Boot and Richard Danzig addressed The Washington Institute's annual Weinberg Founders Conference. Mr. Boot, an advisor to the presidential campaign of Sen. John McCain, is the Jeane J. Kirkpatrick senior fellow in national security studies at the Council on Foreign Relations
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Brief Analysis
Kirkuk Derails Iraq's Election Law
On August 7, the Iraqi parliament went on summer recess after failing to pass a critical election law, delaying the country's provincial elections until sometime next year. The failure comes after the parliament successfully passed the law on July 22, only to be vetoed by the Iraqi Presidency Council in
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  • Nazar Janabi
Brief Analysis
Increasing Pressure on Iranian Opposition in Iraq
Throughout summer 2008, Iraqi politicians tied to Tehran have put increasing political pressure on the U.S. government to allow Baghdad to control Camp Ashraf, the base housing Iran's main opposition -- the Mujahedin e Khalq (MEK). Options regarding Iraqi-based MEK members are limited, but include the following: sending them to
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  • Raymond Tanter
Articles & Testimony
Implications of the Security Improvement in Iraq
In the past few months, Iraq has witnessed developments that point to a relative improvement in the security situation and a transformation toward greater regional political openness. The security improvement manifested itself in the Iraqi army operations against al-Sadr militias, especially the Mahdi army and the so-called Special Groups, which
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