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Policy Analysis on العراق

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Articles & Testimony
Withdrawal Symptoms:
What Will Happen after the US Leaves Iraq?
A major explosion in Baghdad on 19 August that killed 95 people and injured 563 raised questions about the ability of Iraq's security forces to maintain stability during the ongoing United States troop drawdown. This is particularly the case since the major bombing attack took place barely six weeks after
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Articles & Testimony
National Implications of the Kurdish Elections
The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) parliament elected in July convened for the first time on August 20, ushering in a new political era in Iraqi Kurdistan. While the bloc including the long-dominant Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) currently controls a majority of 59 out of
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Articles & Testimony
Missing in Action
It's hard to believe, but nearly three weeks into a major crisis involving Syrian sponsorship of terrorism in Iraq, the United States is feigning neutrality. That's a big mistake. Given that almost 130,000 U.S. troops remain in harm's way trying to bolster Iraq's stability, and given America's longstanding concern with
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Brief Analysis
Putting Iraq's Security Agreement to the Vote:
Risks and Opportunities
On August 17, Iraq's Council of Ministers approved a draft legislation that would require the ratification of the U.S.-Iraq Security Agreement, also known as the Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA), in a national referendum coinciding with the national elections on January 16, 2010. Out of the 275 Iraqi parliamentarians, a
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  • Michael Knights
  • Ahmed Ali
Brief Analysis
'Managed Democracy' Gives Way in Iraqi Kurdistan
On July 29, the Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC) issued the provisional results of last month's presidential and parliamentary elections in Iraqi Kurdistan. The election outcome -- the traditionally entrenched political bloc losing ground to a newly formed party -- has exposed an opening in the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG)
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Kurds Go to the Polls:
Is Change Possible?
On July 25, Iraqi Kurds go to the polls to vote in a joint parliamentary and presidential election. Although a heated competition in January produced massive change at the provincial level throughout the rest of Iraq, the electoral system produced by the incumbent Iraqi Kurdistan parliament prevents such sweeping changes
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  • J. Scott Carpenter
  • Ahmed Ali
Articles & Testimony
Foreign Pipeline Plan Matters
Two recent pieces of news from overseas deserve Americans' careful consideration: -- Austria, Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania and Turkey signed an agreement last Monday in the Turkish capital Ankara that cleared a key hurdle blocking the construction of the Nabucco natural gas pipeline, designed to stretch 2,000 miles from the Caspian
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Brief Analysis
'How This Ends':
Iraq's Uncertain Path toward National Reconciliation
During Iraqi prime minister Nouri al-Maliki's visit to Washington next week, the Obama administration will likely seek to reinvigorate that country's flagging reconciliation process as part of ongoing efforts to establish a stable political order in Iraq. Progress, however, continues to be hindered by ongoing violence, deep-seated suspicions, and partisan
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Ahmed Ali
Articles & Testimony
Foreign Fighters and Their Economic Impact:
A Case Study of Syria and al-Qaeda in Iraq
What is the economic impact of support for foreign terrorists and how can U.S. policy better combat terrorist financing?
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Settling Sons
The Sons of Iraq are not yet being systematically targeted by the government, but they are growing fearful of such intimidation once U.S. forces withdraw from the country. Demobilization and reemployment of the Sons of Iraq is likely to be fairly rapid, with fighters receiving payment until they are found
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In-Depth Reports
Gulf of Conflict:
A History of U.S.-Iranian Confrontation at Sea
Iran, a former world power and now rising regional power, has a proud military history stretching back four thousand years. For the last thirty, Iran and the United States have been locked in a hostile embrace and, on several occasions during the latter phases of the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq War, engaged
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  • David B. Crist
Articles & Testimony
Is the Job Done?
On Tuesday, U.S. troops will leave Iraqi cities in accordance with an agreement negotiated under President Bush. Although President Obama has largely endorsed the Bush timeline for reducing the U.S. military presence in Iraq, far less clear is the extent to which he has also adopted his predecessor's appreciation for
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Brief Analysis
Iraq Withdrawal Deadline:
Subtle Shift in U.S. Mission
According to the Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA), the U.S. military will complete its withdrawal from Iraqi cities on June 30, 2009. The redeployments have both real and symbolic importance, and will mark a milestone in the Obama administration's cautious drawdown of Washington's military commitment. Nonetheless, the U.S. military will
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Oil:
Baghdad Looks for a Bigger Role
At the end of June, Iraq is expected to award service contracts to international oil companies in an effort to boost production at six of the country's giant oil fields. The twenty-year contracts not only are part of a development program intended to nearly triple Iraq's oil production, they also
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Taming Iranian-backed Special Groups in Maysan Province
The growing number of weapons caches, bomb-making materiel, and rocket-launching facilities discovered by coalition forces in the Iraqi province of Maysan underscores the ongoing sophistication and scale of so-called "Special Groups." These groups consist of Shiite Arab militants who draw on Iranian cross-border logistical support, training, shelter, and funding to
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Articles & Testimony
The Status and Future of the Awakening Movements
Although Iraq is a far more stable and secure place than it was in 2007 or 2008, violence has slowly increased in 2009. According to the security company Olive Group, there were 1,242 reported security incidents in Iraq in April 2009, compared with 1,168 in March and 1,103 in February
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Brief Analysis
Stabilizing Iraq:
Intelligence Lessons for Afghanistan
After the U.S. initiation of hostilities in Iraq in 2003, Washington's focus shifted away from the conflict in Afghanistan. Until recently, U.S. policy focused on winning the war in Iraq while securing an apparent coalition victory in Afghanistan. Although this policy yielded positive results in Iraq, it led to drift
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  • Barry Harris
Brief Analysis
Intelligence Transformation: Meeting New Challenges in the Middle East and Beyond
An inside look at how the U.S. intelligence community has adapted to meet new threats in the Bush and Obama administrations.
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  • James R. Clapper, Jr.
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Populism, Authoritarianism, and National Security in al-Maliki's Iraq
An April 26 U.S. raid targeting a Jaish al-Mahdi (JAM) financier in the Iraqi city of Kut, which inadvertently killed a civilian and a policeman, may mark the first of a series of tests for the Security Agreement between the United States and the Iraqi government. Iraqi prime minister Nouri
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Kurdistan's Troubled Democracy
Shortly after taking office, President Obama congratulated Iraqis on successful provincial elections. "Millions of Iraqi citizens from every ethnic and religious group went peacefully to the polls across the country to choose new provincial councils," he declared on Jan. 31. But this was not quite the case. In the three
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