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Brief Analysis
Middle East Policy Update:
Where Are We Going? How Do We Get There?
On March 1, 2002, Dennis Ross, Patrick Clawson, and Matthew Levitt addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Dr. Clawson and Ambassador Ross are, respectively, director for research and counselor/Ziegler distinguished fellow at the Institute. The following is a rapporteur's summary of their remarks. Read a summary of Mr. Levitt's
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Dennis Ross
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Middle East and the World Bank, Post–September 11
Even prior to September 11, the World Bank emphasized the links between economic development, hopelessness, acts of desperation, and terrorism. To be sure, there is no one-to-one connection between poverty and terrorism, but surely poverty feeds hopelessness, which then creates an enabling environment for terrorism. Living in a society with
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Brief Analysis
Human Rights in the Arab World:
The State Department's 2001 Country Reports
On March 6, Lorne W. Craner, assistant secretary of state for democracy, human rights, and labor, will testify before Congress on the State Department's just-released "2001 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices" covering 195 countries. How the reports characterize human rights and influence U.S. policy in the Arab world is
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Brief Analysis
Hizballah's Vision of the Lebanon-Israel Border
On February 28, Hizballah fired 57mm antiaircraft missiles at Israeli planes flying over the Shebaa Farms area. According to Hizballah information officer Hassan Azzedin, "the current line of Israeli withdrawal ('blue line') is not consistent with the international boundary and not recognized by the Lebanese government. That's why we're pursuing
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Avi Jorisch
Articles & Testimony
Who Is Responsible for the Taliban?
The roots of the Afghan civil war and the country's subsequent transformation into a safe-haven for the world's most destructive terror network began in the decades prior to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan.
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Michael Rubin
Articles & Testimony
The Afghan Aftermath in the Middle East
On 7 October, the United States began military operations against the al-Qaeda terrorist network in Afghanistan and the Taliban regime that had given them shelter. The impact of the US operation upon the Taliban could not be clearer. Just two months after the commencement of bombing, Northern Alliance forces entered
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Articles & Testimony
Iran's Burgeoning WMD Programs
On December 14, 2001, Ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, chairman of Iran's powerful Expediency Council, mounted the podium at the University of Tehran to deliver the government's official weekly sermon. Rafsanjani took the usual anti-American and anti-Israeli rhetoric one step farther than ever before. Speaking to the assembled crowd of
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Articles & Testimony
If Not Peace, Set the Stage for Possibility
Critics may be right in dismissing the possibility that Yasser Arafat and Ariel Sharon can conclude a final peace agreement with one another. Each, however, has a unique opportunity and responsibility to break taboos and set principles that will facilitate peacemaking by his successor. There is ample evidence to believe
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Hamas:
Toward a Lebanese-Style War of Attrition?
Lebanon may well have come to the West Bank and Gaza. Over the past year and a half, Hamas has adopted traditional Hizballah guerilla tactics such as roadside bombings, short-range rocket and mortar launchings, using squads of terrorists from a variety of groups, and videotaping attacks and potential suicide bombers
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
No Love Lost:
Solutions from a Past Mideast
Dozens of statesmen turned out for the 1999 funeral of King Hussein of Jordan. Few will be present at the funeral of Iraqi president Saddam Hussein, regardless of whether the Iraqi president's death comes as a result of Phase II of the war against terrorism, or two decades from now
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Articles & Testimony
Iran and the Palestinian War against Israel:
Implications of the <em>Karine-A</em> Affair
The seizure by Israel of a ship carrying 50 tons of sophisticated weaponry bound for the Palestinian Authority from Iran in early January should send a wake-up call to American policymakers. The threat of terror and war in the Middle East has never been higher. The United States defeated the
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Brief Analysis
Sharon and Buffer Zones
Recriminations between Israelis and Palestinians on whether Israel sufficiently eased restrictions yesterday on the movement of Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasir Arafat within Ramallah (in return for the arrest of three Palestinians involved in the killing of an Israeli cabinet minister) have overshadowed Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's declaration on Thursday to
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
New Arenas for Iranian-Sponsored Terrorism:
The Arab-Israeli Heartland
Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet testified before the Senate Select Intelligence Committee on February 6 that Iran continues to be "the foremost state sponsor of terrorism." Citing its attempt to transfer offensive arms to the Palestinian Authority (PA) aboard the Karine-A smuggling ship, Tenet said that there has been
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Assessing Crown Prince Abdullah's 'Normalization' Plan
On February 17, Crown Prince Abdullah bin Abdul Aziz of Saudi Arabia was quoted by New York Times columnist Thomas L. Friedman as saying that he had drafted a speech ready for delivery before next month's Arab summit, offering the "idea" of "full normalization of relations" with Israel in exchange
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
One Last Chance
A number of Israelis and Palestinians have come to me in the past few weeks seeking a way out of the ever more depressing situation in which they find themselves trapped. Each day's headlines seem to get worse. Yesterday, Israelis retaliated for the killing of six of their soldiers at
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Iranian Ticking Bomb
After US President George W. Bush declared Iran part of an "Axis of Evil," many European diplomats, American academics, and journalists ridiculed him. French Foreign Minister Hubert Vedrine called Bush's speech "simplistic." France's objections aside, the Iran of recent weeks is far from the democratizing country so many outsiders like
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Brief Analysis
Deterioration along the Israel-Lebanon Border
In the past month there have been no less than six incidents in which Hizballah's antiaircraft batteries opened fire against Israeli civilian and military aircraft flying in Israel's northern airspace. This in addition to its repeated and unprovoked attacks on Israeli outposts in the Mount Dov region, next to the
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Brief Analysis
Israeli Defense Policy:
Responding to Challenges Near and Far
"In the new world reality that emerged after September 11, it is easier for everyone to understand that there are no good terrorists and bad terrorists; it is not true that one man's terrorist—as some try to tell us—is another man's 'freedom fighter.' One man's terrorist is everyone's terrorist.
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Brief Analysis
Palestinian-Israeli Dynamics and the Future of Palestine
No matter what the outcome of the present crisis, the relationship between the Palestinians and Israelis will continue to be determined by various long-term trends and dynamic forces. Palestinian Political and Social Development The parameters and structure of Palestinian society and polity have not yet been clearly defined or recognized
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Brief Analysis
U.S.-Turkish Economic Partnership Commission:
Time to Take a Look at QIZs
The U.S.-Turkish military strategic relationship has been a strong one historically, based on the loyalty of Turkey -- a staunch NATO ally -- over the past half century. As a result of Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit's visit to Washington in January, business contacts between the United States and Turkey have
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