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Brief Analysis
Yemen's al-Qaeda Amnesty:
Revolving Door or Evolving Strategy?
Today, Yemeni authorities announced the capture of al-Qaeda militant Mohammed Hamdi al-Ahdal. This arrest comes amid a series of statements by Yemeni president Ali Abdallah Salih declaring his intent to release dozens of suspects with links to al-Qaeda in exchange for promises that they would renounce violence. Paradoxically, Salih and
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Unforced Error
At the heart of this sleepy South American capital of Suriname stand four golden minarets of the Ahmadiyya Anjuman Isha'at Islam mosque. Next to the mosque stands a stately wooden synagogue representing one of South America's oldest Jewish communities, which came to this former Dutch colony via Holland in the
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
The War on Terror Arrives in Istanbul:
Implications for Turkey, Europe, and the United States
Last week's suicide bombings in Istanbul -- the first pair on November 15 targeting two synagogues, and a second pair on November 20 targeting the city's British consulate and a high-rise building housing a British-owned bank -- cost Turkey dearly, with 57 dead and more than 700 injured. Many of
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Ongoing Crisis with the Palestinians
Yasir Arafat is the main problem in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, not part of the solution. Despite the developments at Oslo, Camp David, and Taba, Arafat does not really want to reach an agreement with Israel. More than three years ago, he made a strategic decision to achieve his goals through
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Terrorist Attacks in Turkey
The following is a transcript of the CNN program Insight, from an episode dedicated to the terrorist attacks carried out in Istanbul on November 15 and 20, 2003. Soner Cagaptay's remarks appear in the last portion of the transcript. JONATHAN MANN, CNN HOST: Istanbul again. Turkey suffers another double bombing
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Synagogue Bombings in Istanbul:
Al-Qaeda's New Front?
On November 15, 2003, two car bombs exploded in simultaneous attacks on two synagogues in Istanbul during Sabbath services, killing 24 people and injuring more than 300. In an effort to bypass the tight security measures that the Turkish authorities had implemented around the synagogues, the attackers apparently detonated their
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Articles & Testimony
Building Arab Democracy
President Bush's speech about nourishing democracy in the Middle East was received with predictable derision by state-run Arab media. More disturbing is the fact that the speech has failed to attract much attention in this country. It is dismissed by some as mere political rhetoric and seen by others as
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Hala Mustafa
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Russian Oil to Transit Israel:
The Trans-Israel Pipeline is Reborn
Later this month, an oil tanker will leave the Israeli Red Sea port of Eilat after taking on a cargo of Russian crude oil pumped through the Trans-Israel Pipeline (Tipline). The pipeline runs between Eilat and Ashkelon, located south of Tel Aviv on Israel's Mediterranean Sea coast. The tanker will
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Resistance in Iraq:
Emerging Capabilities and Threats
The increase in resistance attacks in Iraq is not simply a matter of a few spectacular successes, such as the five coordinated suicide bombings in Baghdad on October 27, the downing of a Chinook helicopter on November 2, or the suicide bombing of the Italian base in Nasiriyah on November
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The United States and Turkey:
Mending Fences?
On November 3, 2003, Richard Holbrooke, former U.S. ambassador to the UN, delivered The Washington Institute's Sixth Annual Turgut Ozal Memorial Lecture. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks. Read a full transcript. Turkey is the new frontline state for the United States and the European Union (EU)
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Brief Analysis
The Changing Face of Fatah?
Voices of a New Generation
A Ceasefire Proposal A cycle of violence has dominated the scene since September 2000. One fact has emerged: Israelis cannot impose on the Palestinians, and Palestinians cannot impose on the Israelis. Strategies of violence have failed on both sides and are producing more victims. However, [although] the Palestinians have issued
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Articles & Testimony
Israel Needs a Palestinian Partner
Rarely has the reality between Israelis and Palestinians appeared to be so bleak. Terror continues unabated. The Israeli siege of the territories is tighter than ever. And, with the U.S. preoccupied with Iraq, there is no ongoing diplomacy. Israel faces the unpleasant reality that there is not a lot more
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Iraqi Resistance Proves Resilient
Following the official end to the Iraq war, reconstruction efforts have been hampered by increasingly sophisticated resistance from Iraqis hostile to the continued presence of coalition forces. The complexity and scope of Iraqi resistance was illustrated by a range of attacks in the 24 hours following the bombing of a
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Michael Knights
Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Turkish-American Relations:
Looking to the Future
What does the future hold for relations between the U.S. and Turkey, so recently viewed by one another as "strategic partners"? The truth is it is too soon to tell. But it is far too soon to despair. Pundits and policy-makers in both countries continue to wrestle with the implications
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Mark Parris
Articles & Testimony
Now for the Good News
The first snows are arriving in New Hampshire, but the action for the first of the US presidential primaries is still being played out elsewhere. American voters and news junkies in the rest of the world might be excused for thinking that the political battleground is Baghdad. The nightly news
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
When Rogues Defy Reason:
Bashar's Syria
Even after the extraordinary U.S.-British military display of last spring, rogue states and terrorists continue to threaten U.S. national security. While this observation may seem prosaic, the White House predicted that victory in Iraq would convince our adversaries to fall into line, i.e., moderate their ways to avoid becoming the
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Brief Analysis
Saudi Saber Rattling
By deploying F-15 strike aircraft to a northwestern airbase in March 2003 and holding large combined-arms exercises near the Gulf of Aqaba in mid-October, Saudi Arabia has indicated its desire to act more freely in asserting its territorial sovereignty vis-à-vis Israel. These actions -- which Washington and Riyadh might previously
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Impact of World Bank Loans to Iran
Testimony before the House Committee on Financial Services, Subcommittee on Domestic and International Monetary Policy, Trade, and Technology Two important considerations in judging U.S. reaction to World Bank lending to Iran are: how important is World Bank lending be to Iran, and how would lending to Iran fit with World
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Alternative Diplomacy:
Inside a Grassroots Israeli-Palestinian Peace Initiative
The identity of the state of Israel is based on two ideas: democracy and the existence of a safe home for the Jewish people. Yet, because of Israel's pressing security concerns over the past fifty-five years, the debate about how to reconcile these two ideas has never really begun. In
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Articles & Testimony
The Egyptian Underground
The roadside bomb that killed four Americans recently had to have been imported into the Gaza Strip from someplace. Odds are, it came from underground tunnels between the Gaza Strip and Egypt. Countless other weapons used in terrorist attacks against Israelis in recent years have also arrived via those same
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Jonathan Schanzer
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