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Brief Analysis
Yemen May Be the Next Regime to Fall
On March 21, several key figures reportedly defected from Yemeni president Ali Saleh's ruling coalition, including Maj. Gen. Ali Mohsen al-Ahmar, commander of the 1st Armored Division and Northwest Military District. Saleh has faced growing criticism since March 18, when as many as fifty-two protesters were killed and hundreds more
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Daniel Green
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's New 'Old Kemalists'
Using its unbridled control over the executive, legislative, and now judicial branches and the media, the AKP has eliminated Kemalists, and now aims to shape Turkish society in its own narrowly conservative and authoritarian image.
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Implementing Obama's Message Supporting Iranian Human Rights
On March 20, during his annual speech marking the Iranian New Year, President Obama crystallized recent shifts in U.S. policy toward the Islamic Republic. Tellingly, this year's message was addressed to "the people of Iran" rather than to the government, in sharp contrast to Obama's 2009 declaration "I would like
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Bahrain's Kleptocracy in the Crosshairs
The Bahrain crisis reveals that the U.S. and Saudi Arabia are no longer on the same page: Riyadh perceives the White House as demanding universal freedoms from its friends, but not from its adversaries like Iran.
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Libyan Revolution Faces Defeat without External Military Intervention
For several days now, Muammar Qadhafi's forces have notched military successes against Libya's armed opposition, making an outright victory increasingly likely. The revolution is not yet finished, but its prospects are declining rapidly in the face of superior regime capabilities and its own lack of military resources. The regime seems
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Obama to the Rescue
In the absence of a free media in Turkey, the platform offered by the foreign media may become the only one in which the AKP's voice of disagreement with the U.S. can be heard.
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Arab Revolutions: An Israeli Perspective
Israel has been watching the ongoing upheaval in the Arab world with steadily growing concern. While they hope to see a happy, democratic end to the popular eruptions of protest and discontent against dictatorial regimes, Israelis are bracing themselves for a series of less optimistic outcomes. A different Middle East
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Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
The Obama Doctrine: A Modesty of Ambitions
The turmoil sweeping the Middle East could be the crucible in which a new U.S. foreign policy is forged, one that champions political and economic freedom at the cost of short-term tradeoffs.
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Bahrain's Crisis: Saudi Forces Intervene
On March 14, the Saudis dispatched military forces to Bahrain, marking a major step in the troubles that have wracked the Gulf state for the last month. Although clearly intended to help the government in Manama reduce unrest, the move also increases the risk that Iran will come to the
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Syria's Turn
The outbreak of anti-regime protests in Damascus offers the Obama administration an opportunity to reiterate America's call for universal freedoms and to push for change in a country that consistently aligns itself against Washington.
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Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
After the Itamar Massacre
Correcting the topsy-turvy narrative of U.S. peace process diplomacy
In the heyday of the Oslo peacemaking era, it would be the work of American diplomats to prevent Israeli outrage over the horrific murders Friday evening of five civilians in this West Bank settlement. But today there is little peace process to protect.
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Walking a Tightrope: Secretary Clinton Goes to Cairo
Tomorrow, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton arrives in Cairo, becoming the most senior U.S. official to visit Egypt since the fall of former president Hosni Mubarak. She lands at a sensitive time, just days ahead of a controversial constitutional referendum, and in a political atmosphere characterized by deepening anxiety about
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J. Scott Carpenter
Articles & Testimony
The Other Turkish Model
MEMO To: The Muslim Brotherhood From: A Fellow Muslim Dear Brother, As you prepare to run in Egypt's first free elections -- Inshallah, you will win -- I am writing to make recommendations for your success, drawing from the Turkish model. Do not get me wrong; I am not referring
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Anti-European Rhetoric Challenges U.S. Policy
Late last month, two diplomatic rows erupted when French president Nicolas Sarkozy visited Turkey and Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan visited Germany. Sarkozy had an unfriendly welcome in Ankara, including a deliberately unflattering photo that showed Erdogan towering over him during a handshake. And during a speech in Dusseldorf
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia's Planned "Day of Rage"
On Friday, March 11, groups advocating greater political freedom in Saudi Arabia plan to hold a "day of rage" in the kingdom, mimicking protests that have been sweeping through much of the rest of the Arab world. These demonstrations have been scheduled despite Riyadh's announcement last month of a $36
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Ending Turkey's Nightmare
With coup allegations, the arrest of the government's opponents, and an ongoing media crackdown, an independent media is crucial to Turkey's democracy.
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Options for Military Intervention in Libya
Libya's internal conflict is entering its fourth week and shows no signs of coming to a rapid close. The fighting has reached a rough balance, with both sides possessing some strengths but neither able to achieve a decisive military advantage that could end the war. Depending on its scale and
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Obama Must Act on Libya No-Fly Zone
The Obama administration should move quickly to impose a no-fly zone and support Libyans seeking to drive the Qadhafi regime from power.
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Brief Analysis
Iraq Closes Offices of Two Political Parties
On March 6, Iraqi soldiers acting on the orders of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki shut down the Baghdad offices of two Iraqi political parties.
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Reviewing Egypt's Gains from Its Peace Treaty with Israel
The Egyptian revolution has caused much speculation on the future of the country's peace treaty and bilateral ties with Israel. Throughout the uprising, demonstrators overwhelmingly focused on political freedom without a sectarian or ideological agenda, fueling assessments that the impact on the treaty will be minimal. And in an authoritative
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David Makovsky
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