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Brief Analysis
Iran's Fragile Economy:
Problems and Prospects
When he came into office, Iranian President Hashemi Rafsanjani promised a "new Iran" that would be prosperous and powerful; he continued to blame the West -- America, in particular -- rather than recognizing Iran's economic failings. Today, none of this vision has been fulfilled. Instead, the regime faces a deepening
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In-Depth Reports
Fighting Terrorism, Waging Peace:
Twin Challenges for Democracies and Peacemakers
Keynote addresses by Warren Christopher and Andrew McCarthy. With Ehmet Eymur, Carmi Gillon, Klaus Grunewald, and others.
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In-Depth Reports
Fighting Terrorism: Challenges for the Peacemakers
The following is a transcript of Secretary of State Warren Christopher's keynote address to The Washington Institute's 2006 Soref Symposium. It is a real pleasure to speak again to the Washington Institute. Under the leadership of Mike Stein, Barbi Weinberg, and Rob Satloff, the Institute has continued to excel as
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Warren Christopher
Brief Analysis
The Stakes in the Iraq Oil Sales Dispute
Iraq and the United Nations are in the fourth round of negotiations about terms for implementing UN Security Council Resolution 986 -- an arrangement to permit limited and controlled oil sales to provide Baghdad with funds to purchase humanitarian goods. The talks hit a snag in late April, when the
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Oman's Foreign Policy:
From Gulf Security to the Peace Process
To celebrate twenty-five years of Sultan Qaboos' reign, Oman has begun a strategic effort to develop social and economic programs for the coming twenty-five years. According to this project -- "Oman Visions for 2020" -- the sultanate will emphasize a balanced budget, private sector development, and heavy investment in human
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Brief Analysis
Politics and Religion in Post-Election Turkey
Over the past fifty years, in which center-right parties usually have been in power, a moderate state-sanctioned Islam has been gradually on the rise. Increased religious consciousness in Turkey has been fostered through state policies that encourage religious observance and Islamic education. Sufism has also contributed to the revitalization of
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Brief Analysis
Hizballah Operations:
Past Patterns, Future Prospects
An attack by Hizballah on an outpost of the South Lebanon Army last week underscores both the positive and negative outcomes of the written "understanding" negotiated by Secretary of State Warren Christopher -- namely, while northern Israel and Lebanese civilian targets should be spared further attacks, armed conflict between Israel
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Beyond the Headlines:
Long-Term Trends in Mideast Stability
Day-by-day events of the Middle East -- from conflict in South Lebanon, to terrorism in Cairo, to elections in Israel -- obscure already well-established, longer-running economic trends that are having a profound impact on the shape of the region for years to come. Increasing populations, declining oil revenues and the
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Future of U.S.-Israel Strategic Cooperation
On April 24, 1996, Shai Feldman, senior research fellow at the John F. Kennedy School of Government's Center for Science and International Affairs, presented the findings of his Washington Institute study The Future of U.S.-Israel Strategic Cooperation at the Institute's Special Policy Forum. Zalmay Khalilzad, director of the Strategy and
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In-Depth Reports
The Future of U.S.-Israel Strategic Cooperation
Executive Summary In the 1970s, the establishment of U.S.-Israel strategic ties was driven less by America's perceived strategic imperatives than by political motivations: the values shared by the United States and Israel, the cultural proximity between the two societies, the unique role and influence of the American Jewish community, and
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Brief Analysis
A Race for the Future of the Middle East:
An Address by the Israeli Prime Minister
On April 29, 1996, Israeli prime minister Shimon Peres addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following are edited excerpts from his comments, as transcribed by Federal News Service. Peace, Prosperity, and Problems on the Road Ahead For the next four years, before the end of this century, there
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Shimon Peres
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Israeli Cooperation, the Peace Process, and the Region
As a Lebanese cease-fire returns a measure of stability to Syrian-Israeli relations, a military cooperation agreement between Israel and Syria's northern neighbor -- Turkey -- is emerging as a potentially key factor in regional politics, provoking strong reactions from Damascus, Tehran, and Cairo. Just as it signals the deepening of
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Brief Analysis
Changing Assad's Incentive Structure:
Christopher in the 'Lion's Den'
As foreign ministers of seven countries descended upon Damascus and Operation Grapes of Wrath shifted into low gear, katyushas continued to fall on northern Israel over the weekend, bringing the count to nearly 500 over the past twelve days. Apparently, none of the seven -- American, French, Russian, Italian, Spanish
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Robert Satloff
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
An Address by the President of Turkey
What is Turkey's role in the new world? Whichever way you look at it, the Turkish geography is a unique one. Turkey is a European country and at the same time a part of the Balkans, the Caucasus and the Middle East. The Balkans are our access to Western Europe
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Suleyman Demirel
In-Depth Reports
Partner or Pariah?
Attitudes toward Israel in Syria, Lebanon, and Jordan
The Arab-Israeli conflict is generally considered a political and military confrontation between Israeli and neighboring Arab countries. Negotiations and agreements between the two sides therefore tend to concentrate on official matters such as diplomatic recognition, security measures, and other formal aspects of interstate relations. Unlike their Israeli counterparts, Arab citizens
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Hilal Khashan
Brief Analysis
Iran's Military Power:
Capabilities and Intentions
On March 13, 1996, Michael Eisenstadt, Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute, and Dr. Geoffrey Kemp, Director of Regional Strategic Programs at the Nixon Center for Peace and Freedom, addressed The Washington Institute's Policy Forum. Mr. Eisenstadt presented the findings of his forthcoming Policy Paper, Iran's Military Power: Capabilities and
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
King Hussein in Washington:
View from the Iraqi Opposition
With U.S. diplomats focused on ways to buttress the Arab-Israeli peace process amid a wave of anti-peace terrorism, a key Arab partner -- Jordan's King Hussein -- arrives in Washington today for talks with President Clinton. Terrorism, however, will occupy only part of their discussion. According to reports here in
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Articles & Testimony
Still Not Bomb-Proof
Five years after Operation Desert Storm, Iraq once again may not be far from producing an atomic bomb. With its known nuclear infrastructure largely dismantled, restrictive sanctions greatly complicating the acquisition of sensitive technology abroad and scores of UN weapons inspectors combing the countryside, how can this be? The fact
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Brief Analysis
Kuwait and the Gulf:
Five Years after Desert Storm
On February 21, 1996, two days before the killing of Iraqi defector Hussein Kamel, H.E. Sheikh Saud Nasir al-Sabah, Kuwaiti Minister of Information, addressed The Washington Institute's Policy Forum. He spoke about Kuwait, the Gulf, and U.S. policy on the fifth anniversary of the Gulf War. The following is a
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In-Depth Reports
Syria Beyond the Peace Process
While the pursuit of Arab-Israeli peace justly remains the dominant U.S. interest in the Levant, it is important to assess Syrian politics through a wider political lens. Since coming to power in 1970, Assad has imposed a brutal, authoritarian police state that has brought an unprecedented measure of stability to
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