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تركيا

Policy Analysis on تركيا

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Articles & Testimony
The Turkey-Syria Military Balance
After the number of Syrian refugees entering Turkey reached 25,000 in April, public statements by senior Turkish officials began raising the possibility of military action. Specifically, Ankara has hinted at the possibility of establishing a buffer zone or safe haven inside Syria to defend the civilian population and contain the
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Coskun Unal
Articles & Testimony
Turkey, Israel: Potential for a Fresh Start?
Thursday marks the two-year anniversary of the 2010 flotilla incident, a crisis on the high seas that triggered a tailspin in Turkish-Israeli relations. In the aftermath of the incident, Turkey recalled its ambassador and demanded an apology from Israel as well as reparations for the nine slain activists. Ankara even
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Tyler Evans
Articles & Testimony
What Drives Turkey's New Syria Stance? A Fear of Two Kurdistans
When the Syrian uprising began last spring, Turkey initially stayed behind Washington. It shied away from criticizing the regime of Bashar al-Assad, instead asking al-Assad to reform. When Damascus refused, however, Ankara moved ahead of Washington, taking an aggressive posture against al-Assad and suggesting it was ready to take action
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Arab Spring Heats Up Kurdish Issue
Middle Eastern states have shifted alliances over the Kurdish question in the wake of the Arab Spring and the withdrawal of U.S. military forces from Iraq.
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Flooding Out Terror? Turkey's Ilisu Dam Project
The Ilisu Dam project could enter the annals of counterterrorism as history's first "hydro-victory."
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Altay Otun
Articles & Testimony
Kemalism Is Dead, but Not Ataturk
Kemalism may be dead, but Ataturk's way of doing business appears to be alive and kicking in Turkey.
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Does the New Turkey Think?
Turkey has changed so drastically in the past decade that it has become largely unrecognizable. For starters, the country has experienced a sort of economic miracle, nearly tripling its economic output in the past decade and subsequently joining the ranks of the elite G-20 club. Politically, too, Turkey has undergone
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Arab AKPs in the Making?
Can Turkey's experience in the past decade under the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government -- blending democracy, close ties with the West, a "Muslim" foreign policy, capitalism and Islamism -- be copied by Arabs, as many claim? Probably not -- except for Tunisia. Although rooted in Turkey's Islamist movement
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  • David Pollock
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Are Syrian Alawites and Turkish Alevis the Same?
Could Turkey really go to war against Syria? If it were to do so, Ankara would need to find a way to deal with the increasingly sectarian nature of the conflict in Syria and its potential ramifications inside Turkey. The regime of Bashar al-Assad has enjoyed overwhelming support among Syria's
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Will Syria's Sectarian Divisions Spill Over into Turkey?
Should the conflict in Syria turn Sunni on Alawite, Turkish Alevis may find themselves actively opposing any intervention organized by their own government. Observers of the growing humanitarian crisis in Syria are increasingly worried that the conflict will turn into sectarian struggle, and with good reason: the Assad regime has
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Iran and Turkey See Each Other
Welcome to the new Middle East, which increasingly looks too small to accommodate both Turkey and Iran. Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan is visiting Riyadh on Friday. The Syrian crisis will dominate the agenda in Riyadh, and Iran will scrutinize every statement made by Erdogan and his Saudi hosts
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Alex Vatanka
Brief Analysis
Changed Prospects for Turkish Military Intervention in Syria
Several recent developments have put the possibility of military action in Syria on Turkey's agenda. On April 9, Syrian forces opened fire at a refugee camp on the Turkish side of the border, killing two Syrian refugees and wounding two Turks. The number of such refugees crossing into Turkey has
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
A Piece of Turkey Lies in the Middle of the Syrian Desert
A little-known Turkish exclave, Caber Kalesi (Qal'at Ja'bar in Arabic), is a sliver of sovereign Turkish territory that sits smack in the middle of Syria.
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Syria and Turkey: The PKK Dimension
Among Syrian opposition groups, the belief is widespread that Damascus has been allowing the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) -- a group on the State Department's Foreign Terrorist Organizations list -- to operate once again in Syria. Back in 1998, the Syrian regime curbed PKK activity on its soil and cut
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Ottomania All the Rage in Turkey
"Fetih 1453" ( The Conquest 1453), a Turkish spring blockbuster that glorifies the Ottomans and their conquest of Istanbul, is breaking viewership records in Turkey these days. Over 5 million Turks have already seen the movie, making it the country's most popular film of all time. The film's popularity sheds
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Suna Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Dateline Middle East: Trip Reports from around the Region
On March 27, 2012, Robert Satloff, Andrew J. Tabler, and Simon Henderson addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Dr. Satloff, the Institute's executive director and Howard P. Berkowitz chair in U.S. Middle East policy, had just returned from Israel and Jordan. Mr. Tabler, the Institute's Next Generation fellow
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  • Robert Satloff
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Human Rights Crisis in Syria
Testimony prepared for the Tom Lantos Human Rights Commission, U.S. House of Representatives Mr. Chairman, thank you for the opportunity to testify on the Assad regime's brutal year-long crackdown on Syria's pro-democracy protestors. Throughout years as a journalist and analyst based in Damascus, I followed Tom Lantos's often-critical words on
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Don't Expect Turkey to Invade Syria
A Turkish intervention in Syria could boomerang, ratcheting up PKK attacks and eroding the soft power Turkey has painstakingly built in the Middle East over the past decade.
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Foreign Policy Pivot
What made Ankara do an about-face and re-embrace the West? Recognition of what gives it power in the Middle East.
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Why Turkey Hasn't Intervened in Syria
Turkey's Syria policy seems to be mirroring its Libya strategy: speaking out against a tyrant, gathering international support for political action against him, but staying in the background when it comes to military action.
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  • Soner Cagaptay

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