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TWI English
TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

سوريا

Policy Analysis on سوريا

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Brief Analysis
Syria's Kurds in Play as Turkey Ponders Options
Yet another dimension of the Syrian imbroglio is the role of the Kurdish population.
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Annan's Syria Action Group a Hopeful Sign
UN special envoy Kofi Annan recently issued invitations for a June 30 meeting in Geneva to deal with the Syria crisis. The participants -- whom Annan dubbed an "action group" -- include the five permanent members of the Security Council, Turkey, and Arab League members Iraq, Kuwait, and Qatar. Annan's
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Syria Shoots Down Turkish Jet: Washington's Dilemma
The United States must strongly support Turkey even at the cost of diplomatic cooperation with Russia.
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
How America Can Help Its Friends Make Nice
It has been more than two years since the confrontation over a Gaza-bound flotilla plunged Israeli-Turkish relations into a deep crisis. Left to their own devices, Turks and Israelis have been unable to overcome mutual suspicion and domestic obstacles to bridge their differences. These days, there is a degree of
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  • Michael Herzog
  • Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum Interviews New Head of Syrian National Council
On June 15, 2012, the newly elected head of the Syrian National Council (SNC), Abdulbaset Sieda, gave Fikra Forum his first extended Western media interview since assuming the post on June 10. The interview was conducted by Skype, in Arabic, by Fikra Forum editor Lauren Emerson and contributors Maya Gebeily and Jehad Saleh. Key points include: 1. Sieda asserts that the SNC does not lead the FSA, and that this could lead to the "disorganized and haphazard use of weapons" and an "uncontrollable … security coup," as he says has occurred in Libya. 2. He says it would be fine to "coordinate" with the Kurdish opposition and others, rather than try and bring them back into the SNC. 3. He says there could be dialogue with regime elements "with no blood on their hands,” but only concerning "the timing and process of the fall of the regime." 4. He denies that the SNC should do anything to demonstrate its independence from the MB, which is "an essential faction of the Syrian opposition."
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Yoav Galant
Video
Brief Analysis
Israeli Security in a Changing Regional Environment
Watch the 2012 Zeev Schiff Memorial Lecture on Middle East Security with one of Israel's most experienced military leaders.
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  • Yoav Galant
◆ Zeev Schiff Memorial Lectures
Articles & Testimony
Will Turkey Force Obama's Hand on Syria?
Washington's ties with Ankara have improved significantly in recent years thanks to a personal relationship between President Obama and Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The two leaders have been in frequent contact, building a rapport that has translated into closer Turkish support for the U.S., including Ankara's 2011 decision
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Russia's Response to the Massacres in Syria
Although many Russian officials are unsure about who exactly committed the recent massacres, the incidents are nevertheless a serious stress test for Russian-Syrian relations.
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Foreign Fighters Trickle into the Syrian Rebellion
Foreign Islamists are beginning to play a role in the fight against Assad's forces, albeit a small one.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Why a Syrian Civil War Would Be a Disaster For U.S. National Security
Speaking Thursday before the U.N. General Assembly, just one day after the latest massacre of civilians by government-affiliated forces, Kofi Annan warned that the crisis in Syria was on a disastrous course. “If things do not change, the future is likely to be one of brutal repression, massacres, sectarian violence
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
U.S. Options for Syria: Action vs. Inaction
The Obama administration should take actions to overcome the obstacles to, and mitigate the risks of, bolder international action in Syria.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Preserving UN Peacekeeping in the Levant
Violence in Syria and Lebanon coincides with diminished international commitment to UN forces monitoring the borders with Israel.
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Turkey-Syria Military Balance
After the number of Syrian refugees entering Turkey reached 25,000 in April, public statements by senior Turkish officials began raising the possibility of military action. Specifically, Ankara has hinted at the possibility of establishing a buffer zone or safe haven inside Syria to defend the civilian population and contain the
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Coskun Unal
Articles & Testimony
What Does the Syrian Opposition Believe?
There are increasing calls for international intervention in Syria after this weekend's massacre in Houla, where Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's forces murdered more than 100 civilians. Obstacles to intervention remain, however, especially concern that the opposition to Assad's regime is dominated by religious fundamentalists. Until recently, for example, the Syrian
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Cut Off Assad's Lifelines
Last week's massacre in the Syrian village of al-Houla, in which more than 100 civilians lost their lives, has called into question the conventional wisdom in Washington that intervention would make things worse on the ground. President Bashar al-Assad's disregard for the U.N. deadlines in early April to withdraw forces
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Assad's Response to the Annan Plan: Violence as Usual
In light of the Houla tragedy and other indicators of growing violence, the UN observer mission in Syria will likely be withdrawn, spurring the regime to escalate its offensive operations even further.
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  • Jeffrey White
Dennis Ross: Political Solution Still Possible with Iran
As world powers make their way to Baghdad for another meeting with Iran in an attempt to resolve the nuclear standoff, former US negotiator Dennis Ross tells Al-Hayat that a political solution is still possible on the issue. Ross, who closely worked on the Iranian file in the last three
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  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Finding a Balance:
U.S. Security Interests and the Arab Awakening
The Arab Awakening—in which local youths accomplished through weeks of nonviolent action what al-Qaeda had failed to do through years of terrorism and bloodshed—has created significant opportunities to counter radical Islamist propaganda and leverage financial tools against violently repressive regimes. Yet it has also strained the intelligence community's resources, forcing
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
What Drives Turkey's New Syria Stance? A Fear of Two Kurdistans
When the Syrian uprising began last spring, Turkey initially stayed behind Washington. It shied away from criticizing the regime of Bashar al-Assad, instead asking al-Assad to reform. When Damascus refused, however, Ankara moved ahead of Washington, taking an aggressive posture against al-Assad and suggesting it was ready to take action
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Syria's Crisis Reaches Beirut
The latest clashes in Beirut show that as long as the Syrian conflict persists, Lebanon's internal security will be increasingly at risk.
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  • Andrew Engel

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