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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

سوريا

Policy Analysis on سوريا

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Articles & Testimony
What The Tlass Defection Means to Assad
Thursday came news that General Manaf Tlass, a senior commander of Syria's elite Republican Guard -- the troops most directly responsible for defending the embattled Bashar Assad regime -- had defected to Turkey. While the operational impact his departure on his particular unit may be inconsequential, the impact on the
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Syria's Eastern Front: The Iraq Factor
The United States should use its close relations with Iraq's Sunni Arab tribes to reduce the risk of spillover from Syria.
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Senior Sunni Defections in Syria
The reported defection of a senior Sunni commander and friend of Assad, if true, would be a blow to the regime and an opportunity for Washington.
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Mounting Pressure on the Syrian Army
Unless the army finds a way to relieve growing pressure on its capabilities and cohesion, it will likely collapse, sweeping away much of the regime in the process.
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  • Jeffrey White
Video
Issues in Syria
David Pollock discussed Saturday's emergency meeting in Geneva on the crisis in Syria on C-SPAN's Washington Journal.
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Fluid Alliances: The Syrian Government's Support for and Complicity in Terrorism
The Syrian government's fluid relationships with terrorist groups such as Hizballah and Hamas have been further complicated by the ongoing popular uprising against Bashar al-Assad. This article dissects several of these key relationships, documenting how they evolved before and during the uprising and forecasting how they might change upon Assad's
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Syria's Kurds in Play as Turkey Ponders Options
Yet another dimension of the Syrian imbroglio is the role of the Kurdish population.
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Annan's Syria Action Group a Hopeful Sign
UN special envoy Kofi Annan recently issued invitations for a June 30 meeting in Geneva to deal with the Syria crisis. The participants -- whom Annan dubbed an "action group" -- include the five permanent members of the Security Council, Turkey, and Arab League members Iraq, Kuwait, and Qatar. Annan's
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Syria Shoots Down Turkish Jet: Washington's Dilemma
The United States must strongly support Turkey even at the cost of diplomatic cooperation with Russia.
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
How America Can Help Its Friends Make Nice
It has been more than two years since the confrontation over a Gaza-bound flotilla plunged Israeli-Turkish relations into a deep crisis. Left to their own devices, Turks and Israelis have been unable to overcome mutual suspicion and domestic obstacles to bridge their differences. These days, there is a degree of
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  • Michael Herzog
  • Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum Interviews New Head of Syrian National Council
On June 15, 2012, the newly elected head of the Syrian National Council (SNC), Abdulbaset Sieda, gave Fikra Forum his first extended Western media interview since assuming the post on June 10. The interview was conducted by Skype, in Arabic, by Fikra Forum editor Lauren Emerson and contributors Maya Gebeily and Jehad Saleh. Key points include: 1. Sieda asserts that the SNC does not lead the FSA, and that this could lead to the "disorganized and haphazard use of weapons" and an "uncontrollable … security coup," as he says has occurred in Libya. 2. He says it would be fine to "coordinate" with the Kurdish opposition and others, rather than try and bring them back into the SNC. 3. He says there could be dialogue with regime elements "with no blood on their hands,” but only concerning "the timing and process of the fall of the regime." 4. He denies that the SNC should do anything to demonstrate its independence from the MB, which is "an essential faction of the Syrian opposition."
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Yoav Galant
Video
Brief Analysis
Israeli Security in a Changing Regional Environment
Watch the 2012 Zeev Schiff Memorial Lecture on Middle East Security with one of Israel's most experienced military leaders.
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  • Yoav Galant
◆ Zeev Schiff Memorial Lectures
Articles & Testimony
Will Turkey Force Obama's Hand on Syria?
Washington's ties with Ankara have improved significantly in recent years thanks to a personal relationship between President Obama and Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The two leaders have been in frequent contact, building a rapport that has translated into closer Turkish support for the U.S., including Ankara's 2011 decision
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Russia's Response to the Massacres in Syria
Although many Russian officials are unsure about who exactly committed the recent massacres, the incidents are nevertheless a serious stress test for Russian-Syrian relations.
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Foreign Fighters Trickle into the Syrian Rebellion
Foreign Islamists are beginning to play a role in the fight against Assad's forces, albeit a small one.
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Why a Syrian Civil War Would Be a Disaster For U.S. National Security
Speaking Thursday before the U.N. General Assembly, just one day after the latest massacre of civilians by government-affiliated forces, Kofi Annan warned that the crisis in Syria was on a disastrous course. “If things do not change, the future is likely to be one of brutal repression, massacres, sectarian violence
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
U.S. Options for Syria: Action vs. Inaction
The Obama administration should take actions to overcome the obstacles to, and mitigate the risks of, bolder international action in Syria.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Preserving UN Peacekeeping in the Levant
Violence in Syria and Lebanon coincides with diminished international commitment to UN forces monitoring the borders with Israel.
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Turkey-Syria Military Balance
After the number of Syrian refugees entering Turkey reached 25,000 in April, public statements by senior Turkish officials began raising the possibility of military action. Specifically, Ankara has hinted at the possibility of establishing a buffer zone or safe haven inside Syria to defend the civilian population and contain the
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Coskun Unal
Articles & Testimony
What Does the Syrian Opposition Believe?
There are increasing calls for international intervention in Syria after this weekend's massacre in Houla, where Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's forces murdered more than 100 civilians. Obstacles to intervention remain, however, especially concern that the opposition to Assad's regime is dominated by religious fundamentalists. Until recently, for example, the Syrian
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  • David Pollock

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