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Policy Analysis
All Policy Analysis by Robert Satloff
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Brief Analysis
Prospects for an Election in Israel:
An Early Look
Barring some last minute parliamentary leger demain by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, today almost surely marks the beginning of an election campaign in Israel, with the actual vote probably to be held in April 1999. Although prognostications are premature, the campaign is likely to witness an explosion of candidates for
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Israel, West Bank/Gaza, Jordan, and Kuwait:
A Middle East Trip Report
ROBERT SATLOFF The Peace Process: President Clinton's visit is generating Palestinian euphoria and Israeli ambivalence. The huge strategic gain for the Palestinians -- de facto U.S. recognition of the legitimacy of their aspirations to statehood -- is the product of a studied campaign by PA Chairman Yasir Arafat to do
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Undone Deal:
The Perils of Peacemaking
After years of running from the legacy of the last Southern Democrat to serve in the White House, Bill Clinton follows in Jimmy Carter's footsteps this week by hosting the first Middle East peace summit in the United States in 20 years. As at Camp David in 1978, the outcome
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The United States and the Wye Memorandum:
Expanding the Definition of a Full Partner
On October 26, 1998, Washington Institute executive director Robert Satloff addressed the Institute's Special Policy Forum, along with Zeev Schiff and Abbas Kelidar. The following is an expanded version of his remarks. Read a summary of Mr. Schiff and Mr. Kelidar's remarks. History will judge the Wye River Memorandum by
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Why, Oh Wye, Americanize Mideast Conflict?
Is the Wye River Memorandum mediated by President Clinton another Camp David -- a historic breakthrough toward Middle East peace -- or a technical accord tying up the loose ends of previous unimplemented agreements? The answer is "both." The rustic plantation site and the near-constant involvement of the president offered
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Success, Like the Devil, Is in the Details
One needn't be clairvoyant to know that a weary Bill Clinton, Benjamin Netanyahu and Yasser Arafat will emerge from the confines of Maryland's Eastern Shore to declare their Middle East peace summit a success. After all, presidential summits have to be successes; the alternative is too unpalatable to contemplate. But
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
U.S., Israel Still Need Each Other
After two years of back-stabbing and finger-pointing, this week's Mideast "peace summit" at Wye Plantation, Md., has the potential for a real breakthrough between America and Israel. Given the common challenges these two allies face, this rapprochement may come just in the nick of time. Ever since Benjamin Netanyahu's narrow
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Run-Up to the Wye Plantation Peace Summit
ROBERT SATLOFF Background on the U.S. Role in the Peace Process. The October Wye Plantation conference underscores the shift in the character of U.S. involvement since the September 1996 clashes that followed the opening of the Hasmonean Tunnel in the Old City of Jerusalem. After this incident, the U.S. role
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Robert Satloff
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
New Nuances
Though it has escaped the attention of the media, the Clinton Administration seems to have decided on a Middle East policy that does not rule out U.S. recognition of a unilateral declaration of Palestinian statehood. The articulation of this policy has come subtly, emerging not from the direct comments of
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
U.S. Military Aid to Egypt:
Assessment and Recommendations
This is the second in a two-part series on the topic "U.S. Aid to Egypt: Building a Partnership for the 21st Century." Read Part I. The question of U.S. military aid to Egypt poses an unusual policy dilemma: should it go up or down? On one hand, Egypt's strategic location
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Robert Satloff
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
U.S. Economic Aid to Egypt:
Designing a New, Pro-Growth Package
This is the first in a two-part series on the topic "U.S. Aid to Egypt: Building a Partnership for the 21st Century." Read Part II. For the first time in nearly twenty years, the United States will soon revamp foreign aid to Israel and Egypt. Given the centrality of these
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Robert Satloff
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Shifting Sands
Just days after America's two most powerful men -- the President and the Vice President -- celebrated Israel's fiftieth anniversary in special ceremonies in Washington and Jerusalem, America's two most powerful women -- the First Lady and the Secretary of State -- offered a very different coda to Israel's jubilee
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Key to Peace Is Fidelity to the Oslo Accords
The Israeli-Palestinian peace process, Secretary of State Madeleine Albright says, is "in grave danger." Why? There are two main reasons. The first should be obvious: The Oslo accords have yet to produce very much peace. More Israelis have died in the 4 1/2 years since Oslo than did during the
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Irish Pact Is Mixed Model for Mideast
What do Middle Easterners have to learn from the Northern Ireland peace accord? Other than the common legacy of terrorism and the shedding of innocent blood, the two conflicts are fundamentally different and the solutions reached at Stormont last week and in Oslo in 1993 are very different, too. But
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Conundrum of 'Further Redeployments':
Does Oslo Offer Its Own Solution?
The peace process, says the State Department spokesman, is in "dire straits." That is the assessment following Special Middle East Coordinator Dennis Ross's trip to the Middle East, in which no solution was reached for a key element of the current impasse: the question of the second and third redeployments
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Developments in the Middle East
Testimony before the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, Subcommittee on Near East and South Asian Affairs Mr. Chairman, It is an honor to participate in this timely and important hearing on a subject of vital national interest. I thank you for the opportunity to present my views to this Committee
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Oslo Stalemate:
Problems and Solutions
Two Problems: "There are two main reasons why the peace process has stalemated. The first is obvious - Oslo has yet to produce very much peace. Here, one needs to go to basics. In absolute terms, more Israelis have died in the four years since Oslo than did during the
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Messrs. Netanyahu and Arafat Come to Town:
Peace Process Prospects, 1998
The Oslo accord is designed to divide the Israeli-Palestinian peace process into as many sub-phases as possible. Based on former Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin's concept of incrementalism, this cautious approach includes a review of the other side's compliance with past obligations before moving to the next sub-phase. Consequently, Israeli Prime
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The King is Back, and 'Final-Status Talks' May Be Just Around the Corner
While the Tehran Islamic summit and the new Israeli spy scandal have garnered the Middle East headlines this week, important developments have taken place in Jordan that both suggest the Israeli-Palestinian peace process may be poised for progress and point to the re-engagement of a critical player—King Hussein. Diplomatic context
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Iraq Outcome:
A Hollow Victory for U.S. Policy
To the Clinton Administration, the Iraq crisis appears headed toward a satisfactory outcome. As a result of the UN Security Council's unanimous condemnation of Iraq and imposition of additional (if modest) new sanctions, Saddam seems to have succumbed to the will of the international community, with UNSCOM inspectors soon returning
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Robert Satloff
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