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إسرائيل

Policy Analysis on إسرائيل

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Brief Analysis
Demographics in the Israeli-Palestinian Dispute
Beyond the current violence and terrorism lies a demographic reality in the Arab-Israeli dispute which might in the future transform the politics, economics, and geography of the region. The demographics may affect U.S. foreign policy vis-à-vis the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. In the next twenty years, the population of Israel (including all
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Brief Analysis
Hizballah's Vision of the Lebanon-Israel Border
On February 28, Hizballah fired 57mm antiaircraft missiles at Israeli planes flying over the Shebaa Farms area. According to Hizballah information officer Hassan Azzedin, "the current line of Israeli withdrawal ('blue line') is not consistent with the international boundary and not recognized by the Lebanese government. That's why we're pursuing
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  • Avi Jorisch
Articles & Testimony
Iran and the Palestinian War against Israel:
Implications of the <em>Karine-A</em> Affair
The seizure by Israel of a ship carrying 50 tons of sophisticated weaponry bound for the Palestinian Authority from Iran in early January should send a wake-up call to American policymakers. The threat of terror and war in the Middle East has never been higher. The United States defeated the
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Articles & Testimony
If Not Peace, Set the Stage for Possibility
Critics may be right in dismissing the possibility that Yasser Arafat and Ariel Sharon can conclude a final peace agreement with one another. Each, however, has a unique opportunity and responsibility to break taboos and set principles that will facilitate peacemaking by his successor. There is ample evidence to believe
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Sharon and Buffer Zones
Recriminations between Israelis and Palestinians on whether Israel sufficiently eased restrictions yesterday on the movement of Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasir Arafat within Ramallah (in return for the arrest of three Palestinians involved in the killing of an Israeli cabinet minister) have overshadowed Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's declaration on Thursday to
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Deterioration along the Israel-Lebanon Border
In the past month there have been no less than six incidents in which Hizballah's antiaircraft batteries opened fire against Israeli civilian and military aircraft flying in Israel's northern airspace. This in addition to its repeated and unprovoked attacks on Israeli outposts in the Mount Dov region, next to the
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Brief Analysis
Israeli Defense Policy:
Responding to Challenges Near and Far
"In the new world reality that emerged after September 11, it is easier for everyone to understand that there are no good terrorists and bad terrorists; it is not true that one man's terrorist—as some try to tell us—is another man's 'freedom fighter.' One man's terrorist is everyone's terrorist.
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Brief Analysis
Palestinian-Israeli Dynamics and the Future of Palestine
No matter what the outcome of the present crisis, the relationship between the Palestinians and Israelis will continue to be determined by various long-term trends and dynamic forces. Palestinian Political and Social Development The parameters and structure of Palestinian society and polity have not yet been clearly defined or recognized
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America and the Middle East:
Expanding Threat, Broadening Response
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Brief Analysis
The <em>Karine-A</em> Affair:
A Strategic Watershed in the Middle East?
The Palestinian defense budget spending—relative to national income—is higher than that of any Arab country or Iran. This calculation is based on official data that exclude an important part of a state's defense budget—namely, procurement of weapons. The Oslo agreements prohibit the Palestinian Authority (PA) from procuring arms, yet they
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Brief Analysis
The Future of the Multinational Force and Observers in Sinai
Growing U.S. military involvement in new locations such as Afghanistan, Uzbekistan, and the Philippines has raised concerns in the Pentagon about overstretching the military and has prompted a call to reassess the future of America's long-standing contribution to peacekeeping missions worldwide. One of the missions at risk of being curtailed
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Brief Analysis
The Seizure of Gaza-Bound Arms (Part II):
Military Implications
Alongside the diplomatic efforts to reach a ceasefire with Israel, the Palestinian Authority (PA) has been involved—since the beginning of the second intifada—in the indigenous production of weapons and ammunition and in repeated attempts to smuggle arms on a massive scale into the territories under its control. To thwart these
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Brief Analysis
The Seizure of Gaza-Bound Arms (Part I):
Political Implications
Israeli naval commandos seized the Gaza-bound freighter Karine-A in the Red Sea last Thursday, exposing a cargo hold containing fifty tons of munitions. The seizure took place in international waters some 300 miles off of Israel's southern coast, between Sudan and Saudi Arabia. The ship's captain, Omar Akkawi, later participated
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The Other Iraq
In the safe haven of Iraqi Kurdistan, the Jews and Israel are remembered fondly, if increasingly vaguely. "They call that lack of restraint?" the former Iraqi army officer exclaimed, while watching the BBC's coverage of the Al-Aqsa Intifada on satellite TV last winter. "If this demonstration were held in Baghdad
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Brief Analysis
Deterioration on the Israeli-Palestinian Front:
Assessing Options
The decision by Israel's security cabinet last night to sever contact with Palestinian Authority (PA) Chairman Yasir Arafat, declaring him "irrelevant" in halting current Hamas suicide bombings and attacks, marks a new nadir in Israeli-Palestinian relations since the 1993 Oslo accords. Israel is frustrated by how little the PA has
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Fighting a 'Terror-Supporting Entity':
What Next for the Israel Defense Forces?
The Israeli cabinet's December 4 decision to treat the Palestinian Authority (PA) as a "terror-supporting entity," and the Tanzim militia and PA chairman Yasir Arafat's elite unit Force 17 as terrorist organizations, has seemingly expanded the range of military options for the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) in its war against
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Brief Analysis
The War against Terror:
A View from Inside Israel's National Unity Government
The events of September 11 have underscored the connection between two parallel wars: one pits the United States against terrorism, while the other is the battle between Israel and its terrorist foes. No one is more interested in the success of America's new war than Israel. Israel has no intention
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Brief Analysis
Israel, the Peace Process, and the War against Terrorism
Despite the current tense situation, there has been no change in the fundamentals of the Israel-U.S. relationship. Israel understands the unique character of the relationship and will do what it can to accommodate vital U.S. needs. If post-September 11, the United States needs Israel to maintain a lower profile, so
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Brief Analysis
Ze'evi Assassination and Its Possible Aftermath
The assassination of Israeli cabinet minister Rehavam Ze'evi today outside his hotel room in Jerusalem is unprecedented. With the Palestinian Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP) taking responsibility, it marks the first time that an Israeli cabinet minister has been assassinated by a Palestinian since Israel was established. According
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Israel's Not the Issue; Pass It On
As U.S. and British forces readied for battle Sunday, President Bush telephoned a handful of world leaders to give them warning. Prominent among them: Israel. Why? The answer should be clear, given the democratic values we share and the common enemies we face. Based on its size and population, no
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  • Robert Satloff

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