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الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية

Policy Analysis on الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية

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Articles & Testimony
Iran's Islamic Revolution: Lessons for the Arab Spring of 2011?
Does the behavior of Iran's armed forces during and after the 1979 revolution hold relevant lessons for current unrest in the Middle East?
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In-Depth Reports
Iran's Influence in Iraq:
Countering Tehran's Whole-of-Government Approach
Since the overthrow of Saddam Hussein's regime in 2003, Iran has tried to establish itself as the key external power broker in Iraq by exploiting ties with key parties, arming and training militias, and exerting economic, religious, and informational influence. Although these efforts have yielded mixed results thus far, the
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
  • Ahmed Ali
Brief Analysis
The Grinding War in Libya Favors Qadhafi
Despite appearances, the current state of the Libyan civil war is not a stalemate. Muammar Qadhafi's forces have adapted somewhat to NATO's control of the air and have continued offensive operations. And although rebel forces in the east are slowly improving their organizational, communications, and combat capabilities, they are far
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  • Jeffrey White
In-Depth Reports
The New Silk Road:
China's Energy Strategy in the Greater Middle East
China has arrived in the Greater Middle East and appears determined to stay awhile. Over the past decade, deeming energy security too important to be left to market forces alone, Beijing has prioritized the issue as a matter of national security. From new pipeline and infrastructure projects to increased naval
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  • Christina Lin
Brief Analysis
Odyssey Dawn Squeezes Qadhafi
Operation Odyssey Dawn is having telling effects on the military situation in Libya. Air operations by NATO and the coalition of countries opposing the Libyan government are degrading regime capabilities substantially and bolstering the rebels' ability to conduct both defensive and offensive operations. For the Qadhafi regime's part, its capacity
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Beyond a No-Fly Zone: How to Protect Civilians in Libya
Much has been achieved in the first few days of Operation Odyssey Dawn: in the east, the regime's advance on the opposition capital of Benghazi has been decisively checked, and conditions have been set for policing of a no-fly zone across Libya's coastal belt. But the zone is merely a
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Operation Odyssey Dawn and the Course of the Libyan War
The ongoing allied intervention in Libya, dubbed Operation Odyssey Dawn, represents a major change in the military situation, but perhaps not a decisive one. It has definitely been a blow to the regime and a boost for the rebels. Nevertheless, UN Security Council Resolution 1973 and its implementation to date
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Libyan Revolution Faces Defeat without External Military Intervention
For several days now, Muammar Qadhafi's forces have notched military successes against Libya's armed opposition, making an outright victory increasingly likely. The revolution is not yet finished, but its prospects are declining rapidly in the face of superior regime capabilities and its own lack of military resources. The regime seems
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Options for Military Intervention in Libya
Libya's internal conflict is entering its fourth week and shows no signs of coming to a rapid close. The fighting has reached a rough balance, with both sides possessing some strengths but neither able to achieve a decisive military advantage that could end the war. Depending on its scale and
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  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Obama Must Act on Libya No-Fly Zone
The Obama administration should move quickly to impose a no-fly zone and support Libyans seeking to drive the Qadhafi regime from power.
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Articles & Testimony
The Consequences of Inaction in Libya
To deal with the possibility that Qaddafi and his loyalists will use all the force at their disposal before giving in, with an escalation of violence in Libya, the United States and EU should seek UN Security Council authorization for the imposition of a no-fly zone in Libya.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
The Strategic Geography of the Libyan Civil War
In PolicyWatch #1768, Jeffrey White highlighted the possibility for a prolonged struggle in Libya's civil war due to the lack of offensive capability demonstrated by both sides. The following article explores the reasons why strategic geography in Libya reinforces the potential for stalemate and underlines the need for international intervention
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Fighting in Libya: The Military Balance
The uprising in Libya has evolved into a significant military struggle. The Qadhafi regime and, to a lesser extent, its opponents are employing substantial levels of violence, including the use of heavy weapons. Thousands have been killed and wounded. At the moment, the military balance lies somewhat in favor of
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Slippery Slope: Libya and the Lessons of Previous No-Fly Zones
In PolicyWatch #1763, Jason Hanover and Jeffrey White outlined the range of military options that the United States could employ to protect the Libyan population from the Qadhafi regime's military forces. The following article specifies the challenges posed by the enforcement of no-fly zones and related no-drive zones, drawing on
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
U.S.-NATO Intervention in Libya: Risks and Benefits
Muammar Qadhafi has vowed to fight to the bitter end, raising the prospect of a protracted and bloody conflict with opportunities for exploitation by radical Islamist elements. Although external military intervention could help prevent a very bad outcome, such action carries its own risks and potential complications. The United States
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  • Jason Hanover
  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Military in Power: Dynamics, Challenges, Prospects
Egypt is now effectively under military control and will likely remain so for some months. The Supreme Military Council (SMC) holds effective decisionmaking authority, although a civilian cabinet remains in place. The SMC has pledged to make a swift transition to a new civilian government, but to date it has
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Politics Threaten Iran's Mediterranean Naval Ambitions
The attempted passage through the Suez Canal of two Iranian warships en route to an unprecedented Mediterranean deployment demonstrates the potential constraints on Iranian efforts to realize its Great Power ambitions.
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Iran in Iraq: The Role of Muqtada al-Sadr
On January 5, radical Shiite leader Muqtada al-Sadr entered Iraq after a three-year self-imposed exile in Iran, but then returned to Iran fifteen days later. According to Saudi-owned media outlets, he fled because of threats from Asaib Ahl al-Haqq (AAH), a militant offshoot of his own Sadrist movement. Whatever the
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Foreign Service: On the Front Lines in Egypt
Michael Singh describes the function of the Foreign Service in protecting the well-being of U.S. citizens in Egypt.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
The Egyptian Military and the Fate of the Regime
The Egyptian Armed Forces (EAF) is perhaps the key actor in the current crisis. Although it has largely remained aloof from the struggle in the streets and has yet to show its hand regarding the fate of the regime, many are counting on it to act in the nation's interest
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  • Jeffrey White

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Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
مايكل آيزنشتات
مايكل آيزنشتات هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "كاهن" ومدير "برنامج الدراسات العسكرية والأمنية" في معهد واشنطن، وهو متخصص في شؤون الخليج العربي والشؤون الأمنية العربية - الإسرائيلية.
Michael Knights
مايكل نايتس
الدكتور مايكل نايتس هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "جيل وجاي برنشتاين" في معهد واشنطن، ومتخصص في الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية للعراق وإيران ودول الخليج العربي وهو أحد مؤسسي منصة "الأضواء الكاشفة للميليشيات"، التي تقدم تحليلاً متعمقاً للتطورات المتعلقة بالميليشيات المدعومة من إيران في العراق وسوريا. وقد شارك في تأليف دراسة المعهد لعام 2020 "التكريم من دون الاحتواء: مستقبل «الحشد الشعبي» في العراق".
Grant Rumley
غرانت روملي
غرانت روملي هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "ميزل غولدبرغر" في "برنامج مؤسسة دايين وغيلفورد غليزر حول منافسة القوى العظمى والشرق الأوسط" التابع لمعهد واشنطن، حيث يتخصص في الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية في الشرق الأوسط.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
إليزابيث دينت
إليزابيث دينت هي زميلة أقدم في معهد واشنطن لسياسة الشرق الأدنى، حيث تركز على السياسة الخارجية والدفاعية الأمريكية تجاه دول الخليج العربي والعراق وسوريا.
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