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العراق

Policy Analysis on العراق

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Brief Analysis
After Elections:
What Next for Iraq and U.S. Policy?
Freedom As a Strategic Concept Since the September 11 attacks, the Bush administration has radically altered U.S. Middle East policy. Broadly defined, the administration’s view is that democracy and freedom in the region is the central strategic concept offering a serious, long-term alternative to jihadi terrorism. This policy shift marks
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Brief Analysis
Security, Reform, and Peace:
The Three Pillars of U.S. Strategy in the Middle East
The United States is facing an extraordinary moment of challenge in the Middle East, one that demands an integrated U.S. strategy built on a set of three pillars: security, reform, and peace. The security agenda is the most pressing, but it alone is not sufficient. If the United States wants
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Brief Analysis
In the Wake of the Iraqi Elections:
Political and Security Implications
The surprisingly high turnout in the Iraqi elections is a positive development, but it is only one milestone in the road ahead. Beyond the elections, reconciliation becomes the fundamental issue. Sunni Arabs, who represent the overwhelming majority of insurgents, are demographically and politically isolated. As they have long been politically
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  • Michael Knights
  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Northern Iraq Faces Increased Instability in 2005
The Sunni insurgency and the forthcoming constitutional debate in Iraq will start to overlap during 2005, providing an impetus and raison d'etre for continued resistance by militant Sunni groups. Though capable of destabilising and intimidating large tracts of central Iraq, the multi-faceted Sunni resistance does not currently boast the strong
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Brief Analysis
The Elections and the Insurgency
Iraq's elections will mean many things to many people over time. Nevertheless important results of the historic elections are already clear, or mostly so. The fact that Iraqis in general went to the polls in large numbers is encouraging. But paradoxically the elections may also boost the insurgency's claim to
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Lessons from Mosul
The northern Iraqi city of Mosul and its province Nineveh have become the predominant hub of Sunni Arab insurgent activity, making them one of the areas least likely to be able to host effective polling for the January 30 elections. In the lead-up to the elections, the Multinational Forces (MNF)
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Resistance Strategy in the Trans-Election Period (Part II):
Opportunities, Effects, and Implications
The Sunni insurgents in Iraq aim to establish the resistance as the primary political and military expression of the Sunni Arab community. The upcoming elections give them an opportunity to inflict a substantial defeat on the Iraqi government and the United States. Unlike November’s Falluja battle, the insurgents are fighting
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Resistance Strategy in the Trans-Election Period (Part I):
Concepts, Operations, and Capabilities
The approach of the January 30 elections in Iraq has focused attention on Sunni resistance activity aimed at disrupting the electoral process. Yet, the increasingly well-organized and more capable Sunni insurgent elements are implementing a broad strategy aimed at establishing themselves as the dominant military and political force in the
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Elections:
What, How, and Who
Iraq’s elections are ready to go forward, but conditions are “far from ideal” in Kofi Annan’s words, due to the growing insurgency, disagreements within the Shiite community, and the logistical difficulties of Iraq’s first ever-free elections. The soon-to-be-elected Transitional National Assembly will play a vital role in Iraq’s transitional process
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Articles & Testimony
Iraq:
Outlook for National Elections and Governance
Iraq’s political transition accelerated in 2004 and will experience even more significant advances during 2005. The Iraqi elections represent the next major milestone in the transition, and the winners will fundamentally define Iraq’s future political system. Yet Iraq’s lack of experience with representative government makes forecasts of electoral outcomes difficult
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Brief Analysis
Can the U.S. Win Turkey Over in 2005?
Understanding EU Dynamics and Confidence Building in Iraq
On January 3, Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage visited Ankara to discuss with Turkish officials Iraq-related issues straining U.S.-Turkish relations, including unforthcoming Turkish support for U.S. operations in Iraq and the fight against the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), a terrorist group with 5,500- 5,800 members in northern Iraq. Armitage's
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Challenges Facing the Iraqi Economy
As Iraqi elections rapidly approach despite an entrenched and violent insurgency, the country's economic challenges are extensive. The government is faced with the momentous task of transforming a war torn, state-dominated economy into a transparent, investment-friendly institution, all during the course of daily political violence. Problems Inherited from the Former
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Brief Analysis
The Assault on the Iraqi Police
Attacks by insurgents on Iraqi police officers and facilities have become a major feature of this stage of the insurgency in Iraq. Hundreds of police personnel have been killed, the police in some areas have been routed by insurgent forces, and police have been penetrated and subverted by the insurgents
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  • Jeffrey White
Operation Iraqi Freedom: Clearing Sewage in Falluja
Navy Seabee clears flooding in Falluja.
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Brief Analysis
From Falluja to Elections:
A View from Iraq
The forces at play in Iraqi politics have changed over the past seventeen months. There is a glaring absence of moderate Iraqis throughout the political scene, within all three major ethno-religious groups -- Shiites, Sunni Arabs, and Kurds. The interim government has perpetuated the dominance of the same seven prominent
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  • Ghassan al-Atiyyah
Brief Analysis
Faces of Battle:
The Insurgents in Falluja
The military outcome of the long-anticipated coalition operation to break the insurgents' control of the city of Falluja was never in doubt. Only the speed of the operation and the casualties inflicted and taken were in question. Ultimately, of course, it remains to be seen if Iraqi and coalition forces
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The Iraq Conference in Egypt:
Aims, Risks, and Approaches
On November 22-23, officials from several countries will hold a conference in Sharm al-Sheikh, Egypt, regarding Iraq's future. The meeting will represent the first major international event focused on Iraq since the reelection of President George W. Bush and the resignation of U.S. secretary of state Colin Powell. Though organized
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  • Michael Knights
U.S. Army soldiers double-check a map
U.S. Army soldiers double-check a map for their sector and routes in Ad Dwr, Iraq, Nov. 16, 2004. The soldiers are assigned to the 1st Infantry Division's Troop C, 1st Battalion, 4th Cavalry Regiment. They are taking part in a combined information operation conducted with the Iraqi National Guard to
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Brief Analysis
Judgment Day:
The Second Battle of Falluja
Coalition and Iraqi government forces are moving to retake Falluja from insurgents who have held the city since April 2004. On the evening of November 8, U.S. troops with large-scale air support began to penetrate at several points, encountering some resistance. The coalition and the Iraqi government are gambling that
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The Iraqi Security Forces (Part II):
Challenges and Concerns
The U.S.-led coalition and the Iraqi Interim Government (IIG) have had to confront both bureaucratic red tape and insurgent terrorism in their effort to recruit, train, and equip the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF). Nevertheless, progress is being made. Equipment is arriving, ISF personnel are being trained, and the flow of
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  • Michael Eisenstadt

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