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العراق

Policy Analysis on العراق

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Brief Analysis
Iraq's Sunnis Play the Election Card
December 15 parliamentary elections will mark a major step in Iraq's political transformation, establishing the basis for the first permanent government since the fall of the Saddam regime and propelling the country deeper into the current critical "tipping period." A key, perhaps the key, aspect of the election will be
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
'Clear, Hold, and Build':
The Way ahead in Iraq
On December 1, 2005, Ambassador James Jeffrey and Jeffrey White addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum to mark the publication of The Washington Institute's Policy Focus, Assessing Iraq's Sunni Arab Insurgency, by Jeffrey White and Michael Eisenstadt. Ambassador Jeffrey, the senior advisor to the secretary of state and coordinator
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  • James Jeffrey
  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Zarqawi's 'Total War' on Iraqi Shiites Exposes a Divide among Sunni Jihadists
On November 2, Iraq's Defense Ministry appealed to junior officers from Saddam Hussein's disbanded army to return to service. The decision to include these soldiers is part of an ongoing strategy to minimize support for terrorism by reintegrating Sunnis into the political fabric of the new Iraq. This latest effort
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  • Emily Hunt
Articles & Testimony
Slow and Steady, Bush's Mideast Race
The Bush administration has many problems to keep it preoccupied in its remaining three years, including the challenges of post-Katrina reconstruction and a massive budget deficit. Plus the president and the Republicans in Congress have been weighed down by allegations of misconduct. So it is hardly surprising that some worry
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
A Bedouin on a Camel?
Saudi Foreign Policy and the Insurgency in Iraq
Iraq's interior minister, Bayan Jabr, lashed out at Saudi diplomacy while speaking to journalists in Amman on October 2. Referring to Prince Saud al-Faisal, the Saudi foreign minister, Jabr said Iraq would not be lectured by "some Bedouin riding a camel." Broadening his remarks to the Saudi ruling family, the
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Understanding Saddam
The recent reports of the Senate Intelligence Committee, the Iraq Survey Group, and the Presidential WMD Commission regarding intelligence and weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in Iraq offer many useful insights into Iraq's weapons program and the challenges that the intelligence community faced in assessing them. But the reports offer
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Articles & Testimony
Pay Role
Back in 2003, Senator Robert Byrd voiced a common view among liberals about reconstruction: that it would be expensive and that America would have to pay for it. "[B]efore the war," he said, "the president's policy advisers assured the American people that Iraq would largely be able to finance its
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Brief Analysis
Entering the 'Tipping Period' in Iraq
Though armed insurgencies can last for a decade or more, they also can have decisive periods in which their paths are set, even if those paths do not become apparent for some time. Iraq appears to be entering just such a period of decision. Starting Conditions The process of political
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The Sunni Arab Insurgency:
A Spent or Rising Force?
Warnings by Sunni politicians of even greater violence if Sunni Arab concerns are not addressed in the draft Iraqi constitution raise the question: could the insurgency get worse? The answer can be found by examining the insurgency's demographic dimension. The Insurgency's Recruitment Base Sufficiently detailed demographic data exist to allow
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Insurgency and Counterinsurgency in Iraq:
A Progress Report
Daily images of carnage from Iraq and uncertainty over how to measure coalition progress continue to stoke debate in the United States. How does one assess the status of the insurgency? How are the efforts to recruit and train Iraq's security forces proceeding? What are America's options in Iraq? JACK
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  • John M. 'Jack' Keane
  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
The Role Played by Funding in the Iraq Insurgency
Controversy continues to surround the murky role played by financing in Iraq's insurgency since Operation Iraqi Freedom began two years ago. Lieutenant-General John Vines, the Multinational Force commander in Iraq, stated on 21 June 2005: "These insurgents do not have an ideology except violence and power. They have nothing to
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Brief Analysis
The Three-Way Game:
Iran, Iraq, and the United States
The July 16–18 visit to Tehran by Iraqi prime minister Ibrahim Jafari and ten other members of his council of ministers has been hailed by some as the beginning of a new era in Iran-Iraq relations. In fact, the pattern of near-term relations was set during Iraqi defense minister Saadoun
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  • Michael Knights
Occupied Iraq:
One Country, Many Wars
On June 17, 2005, Jeffrey White participated in a forum titled "Occupied Iraq: One Country, Many Wars," the fortieth installment of the Middle East Policy Council's Capitol Hill Conference Series. The following is an unedited transcript of the entire forum. See video footage of the event. Speakers Ivan Eland Senior
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  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Battle for Iraq Lies in the South
While conventional wisdom has identified the Sunni triangle as the most conflict-prone part of Iraq, the decisive battlefield for the country's political future is instead likely to take place in the Shia south. This region is already the scene of low-profile and longstanding struggles for political and theocratic authority. In
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  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Twentieth Anniversary Soref Symposium:
Overcoming Challenges in the New Iraq
On May 19, 2005, Barham Salih addressed The Washington Institute's Soref Symposium. Barham Salih is minister of planning and development in the new Iraqi government. Previously, he served as Iraq's deputy prime minister. An engineer and computer scientist by training, he served as prime minister of the Sulaymaniya-based Kurdistan Regional
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In-Depth Reports
Shaping the Plan for Operation Iraqi Freedom:
The Role of Military Intelligence Assessments
The aftermath of the war in Iraq has generated a great deal of second-guessing about Washington's prewar planning and intelligence efforts. Largely missing from this debate has been a thorough examination of the actual military intelligence efforts conducted by professional analysts and war planners outside Washington. In The Washington Institute's
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Articles & Testimony
Iraq and After:
Taking the Right Lessons for Combating Weapons of Mass Destruction
The following paper was originally published by the National Defense University's Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction, appearing as Occasional Paper no. 2. For more on the center, visit its website. Recent proliferation surprises in the Middle East—the failure to find weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in
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Brief Analysis
Assessing the Iraqi Insurgency (Part II):
Devising Appropriate Analytical Measures
In countering insurgencies—wars without fronts, against often-elusive enemies—there is a temptation to rely on quantitative measures to gauge success. Although tracking and assessing trends in, for example, the number of insurgents and attacks is fundamental to any tactical or operational appreciation of the Sunni Arab insurgency in Iraq, a strategic
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Iraqi Insurgency (Part I):
Problems and Approaches
Two years after the beginning of the war in Iraq, much uncertainty and confusion remain regarding the status and direction of the insurgency. This fact has hindered clear discourse about progress, or the lack thereof, in Iraq. For example, much public attention has focused on the number of remaining insurgents
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  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Iraq Elections Set Conditions for Summer of Discontent
Although the elections in Iraq did not produce the nightmare scenarios predicted by many analysts, they have set in motion a process of intense political dialogue and violent brinksmanship that is likely to last throughout 2005....
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  • Michael Knights

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