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Brief Analysis
The U.S.-Iran Confrontation:
Dissecting Tehran's Strategy
This week's announcement of the cancellation of Iran's participation in the Azerbaijan oil consortium -- partly as a result of U.S. pressure on both Azerbaijan and U.S. oil companies -- is the latest result of U.S. efforts to strengthen the "containment" of Iran's Islamic regime. So far, Iran has responded
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Brief Analysis
Turkey's Northern Iraq Dilemma
Turkish Foreign Minister Erdal Inonu arrives tonight as part of a tour of major Allied capitals to explain Turkey's military operation in northern Iraq. In Washington--far more sympathetic to the Turkish action than European capitals, yet nevertheless insistent that it be "limited in duration and scope"--Inonu probably hopes to focus
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Alan Makovsky
In-Depth Reports
Keynote Address
It is truly my honor to be here with you on this occasion. It is hard to believe that The Washington Institute is already ten years old. It does not seem like that long ago that it was created. But it has been a splendid decade not only for the
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Brief Analysis
President Mubarak's Visit and the Middle East Nuclear Debate
As Egypt's President Hosni Mubarak opens his talks in Washington, his government's approach to the extension of the 1968 Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) is likely to be high on the agenda. Egypt's position is that it will not support the NPT's indefinite extension if Israel does not sign the treaty
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In-Depth Reports
America and the Middle East:
An Enduring Role in a Changing World
Keynote addresses by Al Gore, Yitzhak Rabin, Martin Gilbert, Osama El-Baz, Nabil Sha'ath, Fayiz Tarawneh, and Uri Savir. Eminent Persons Roundtable with Ralph Begleiter, Richard Cheney, Leslie Gelb, Charles Krauthammer, Joseph Lieberman, and Samuel Lewis.
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In-Depth Reports
Intelligence and the Middle East:
What Do We Need To Know?
Preface In the post-Cold War era and with the emergence of new security challenges to U.S. interests around the globe, the U.S. intelligence community has come under intense scrutiny. Indeed, the principal mission of the newly-established Presidential Commission on Roles and Capabilities of the U.S. Intelligence Community -- whose ranks
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Ellen Laipson
Brief Analysis
Nuclear Politics in the Middle East
On Thursday, March 23, 1995, Institute Senior Fellow Michael Eisenstadt and Visiting Fellow Shai Feldman delivered Policy Forum presentations on developments in nuclear proliferation and nuclear arms control efforts in the Middle East. The following is a rapporteur's report of their comments. Michael Eisenstadt Nuclear arms control is likely to
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Estimating the Effects of Comprehensive U.S. Sanctions on Iran
Secretary of Defense Perry's statements in Bahrain today highlighting the "potential threat" of Iran's deployment of "8,000 military personnel . . . anti-ship missiles, air-defense missiles and chemical weapons" on disputed Persian Gulf islands will renew debate over imposing comprehensive economic sanctions on Iran. A key element of that debate
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Naval Buildup in the Gulf:
An Assessment
While Iran's recent nuclear deal with Russia has attracted world attention, Tehran has in the past few months bolstered its military presence on the strategic Persian Gulf island of Abu Musa, raising new questions about its intentions and heightening concerns about Iranian policy in the Gulf. Iran's Naval Buildup Since
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
The Situation in Northern Iraq:
Problems and Prospects
On February 8, 1995, David Litt, country director for Northern Gulf Affairs at the State Department, addressed a session of The Washington Institute's Policy Forum concerning the situation in northern Iraq and the prospects for peace and cooperation among the Kurdish factions there. The following is a rapporteur's summary of
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In-Depth Reports
Extending the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty:
The Middle East Debate
Extending the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty: The Middle East Debate Executive Summary The debate in the Middle East over the possible extension of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) at the April 1995 review conference has emerged as one of the key determinants of whether the treaty will be extended. Egypt ratified
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Brief Analysis
Prospects for Arab-Israeli Peace -- 1995:
A Trip Report
On December 13, 1994, four participants of The Washington Institute's study group to the Middle East addressed a Policy Forum on the prospects for the peace process in the coming year: Dr. Joseph Sisco, former undersecretary of state; Dr. Graeme Bannerman, former staff director of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Future of the Oslo Accords:
A Palestinian Assessment
On November 23, 1994, Faisal Husseini, member of the Palestinian Authority and head of the Palestinian delegation to the bilateral peace talks, addressed The Washington Institute's policy forum on the implementation of the Oslo Accords. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his off-the-record remarks. Islamic Fundamentalism and the Oslo
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Brief Analysis
Terrorism against Peace:
The International Dimension
On November 29, 1994, Oliver "Buck" Revell, former associate deputy-director-investigations, Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI); Kenneth Katzman, Middle East analyst at the Congressional Research Service; and Steven Emerson, freelance journalist and executive producer of the PBS documentary Jihad in America, addressed a session of The Washington Institute's Policy Forum. The
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Brief Analysis
Chernomyrdin in the Gulf and Russia's Emerging Policy
As Israeli Prime Minister Rabin visits Washington, Russian Prime Minister Victor Chernomyrdin is in the Persian Gulf on a visit to several Arab Gulf states. Chernomyrdin's trip is the latest in a series of diplomatic visits, initiatives and high level statements which cumulatively signal that Russian policy toward the Gulf
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Brief Analysis
Tansu Ciller in Israel:
Pursuing Turkish-Israeli Partnership
Prime Minister Tansu Ciller begins the first ever Turkish head of government visit to Israel today, underscoring her personal commitment to developing Turkish-Israeli ties that were virtually dormant as recently as two years ago. In so doing, she is taking Turkey for the first time into an energetic role in
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Alan Makovsky
In-Depth Reports
Supporting Peace:
America's Role in an Israel-Syria Peace Agreement
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Brief Analysis
Russian and French Policy Toward Iraq:
Emerging Differences with the United States
President Clinton's visit to Kuwait and Saudi Arabia tomorrow provides an opportunity to reflect upon the impact of Saddam Hussein's decision to deploy some 70,000 troops to the Iraqi-Kuwaiti border. Two results among several stand out: Strong, forceful U.S. action will deter the Iraqi dictator. The stronger, more forceful and
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Brief Analysis
Iraq's Military Capabilities:
An Assessment
The crisis along the Iraq-Kuwait border underscores Saddam Hussein's ability to reconstruct a formidable military force despite Iraq's crushing military defeat in Desert Storm and four years of sanctions. Nevertheless, Iraq's military is much smaller and less powerful than the force the U.S. faced in 1991. Iraqi capabilities Today, Iraq
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
UN Sanctions and Iraq's Saber-Rattling
Through inflammatory rhetoric and troop movements in southern Iraq near the Kuwaiti border, Saddam Hussein is once again provoking crisis and possible confrontation in the Persian Gulf. Using some of the strongest language since the Gulf War, Baghdad has warned that "every party will bear the consequences" if the United
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