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Brief Analysis
Political Troubles between Turkey and Israel?
Implications of Booming Bilateral Trade for the Two Countries and the Middle East
Following Israel's recent raid in Rafah, Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan condemned Israel's actions as "state terrorism" while Foreign Minister Abdullah Gul hinted that strains had emerged in the Turkish-Israeli relationship. In general, Turkey's governing Justice and Development Party (AKP) has lately adopted an alarmingly critical attitude toward Israel
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Brief Analysis
Learning from Past Experience:
Sinai to Gaza
Amid anticipation that Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon will soon get his Gaza withdrawal plan back on track, it is important to examine the only other instance of Israeli settlement evacuation—namely, Israel's withdrawal from Sinai in the wake of the 1979 peace treaty with Egypt. How was evacuation handled at
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Brief Analysis
A Roadmap for Revived Palestinian Reform?
Any Israeli withdrawal from Gaza or evacuation of settlements would be a positive step. Yet, Palestinian prime minister Ahmed Qurei needs to develop a plan for dealing with Gaza immediately, rather than waiting until after Israel confirms its intention to withdraw from that territory. In particular, the Palestinian Authority (PA)
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Articles & Testimony
Now Who Is Brave Enough to Say 'We Must Finish the Job'?
The fiery death of the leader of Iraq's governing council in a car-bomb explosion in Baghdad was a ghastly reminder of the problems facing the country. It's dangerous. We don't know who is causing the violence. And we don't know much about the political leadership that the US occupation forces
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
NATO, Iraq, and the Greater Middle East:
Implications for the U.S.-Turkish Relationship
Cyprus For years, the Turkish Cypriots have been blamed for the Cyprus issue. Nevertheless, Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan personally convinced UN secretary general Kofi Annan to open the fourth round of negotiations, and Rauf Denktas, president of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, was much more productive in
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Brief Analysis
Security, Peace, and Israel's Strategy of Disengagement
The natural answer to this question is "a Palestinian state." Indeed, during the Oslo process, Israel operated under this very premise. Over the past three and a half years, however, considerable doubts have arisen about whether this is what the Palestinians really want. Of course, the leaders of Hamas explicitly
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Brief Analysis
Michael Stein Address on U.S. Middle East Policy:
Iraq—The Way Forward
You have heard President Bush talk about a forward strategy for freedom in the Middle East. The president's vision of the future for the Middle East is predicated on one clear principle: that the advance of freedom and democracy leads to peace and progress for all. As the president has
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Stephen Hadley
Brief Analysis
Relying on the Saudis:
The Challenge for U.S. Oil Policy
Over the past week, oil prices have exceeded $40 per barrel for the first time since the 1990 Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, and gasoline prices in parts of the United States are now more $2 per gallon. Contributing to this increase were heightened concerns about supply, particularly in the wake
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Greater Middle East Reform:
Building on Literacy
Over the past two weeks, the Bush administration has circulated a revised draft of its Greater Middle East Initiative, a plan designed to support political, economic, and social reform throughout the Arab and Muslim worlds. According to news reports, the new draft -- a version of which will be presented
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In-Depth Reports
Security, Peace, and Israel's Strategy of Disengagement
My initial intention was to give a lengthy presentation of the Israeli disengagement plan. The pace of changing circumstances, however, means that no one can guarantee the chances of the plan's being implemented in the near future. I can only say that Prime Minister Ariel Sharon is truly committed to
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In-Depth Reports
Disengagement and Diplomacy
Jonathan Davidson: The European approach to the Middle East peace process is conditioned by a multitude of factors. I will highlight three of them. First, Europe has a deep and longstanding historical relationship with the Middle East. Second, we are neighbors, particularly since the European Union (EU) expanded to twenty-five
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In-Depth Reports
Partition without Partnership?
Disengagement and the Future of the Peace Process (Part I)
For some time, we have all been preoccupied with Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon's unilateral withdrawal plan. The fate of the peace process today depends on the outcome of political maneuvers taking place in Israel. And, once again, we find ourselves in a vicious circle, even taking steps backward. Instead
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In-Depth Reports
Partition without Partnership?
Disengagement and the Future of the Peace Process (Part II)
Four basic assumptions have passed away. The first is the assumption that peace will bring security. Many believed that, once peace was achieved, the motivation behind attacks against Israel would vanish. If we could just reach a peace agreement, some argued, there would be no more terror. Peace, we believed
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Eival Giladu
In-Depth Reports
New Challenges, New Strategies:
Debating the Path to Peace and Security in the Middle East
Keynote addresses by Stephen Hadley and Maj. Gen. Giora Eiland. With David Frum, Jessica Tuchman Matthews, Brig. Gen. Eival Gilady, Nabil Amr, Jonathan Davidson, Dennis Ross, and David Satterfield.
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In-Depth Reports
Iraq:
The Way Forward
You have heard President Bush talk about a forward strategy for freedom in the Middle East. The president's vision of the future for the Middle East is predicated on one clear principle: that the advance of freedom and democracy leads to peace and progress for all. As the president has
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Stephen Hadley
In-Depth Reports
An Election Year Debate:
American Foreign Policy and the Middle East
Robert Satloff, The Washington Institute: Dr. Mathews, how would you define "success" in Iraq? Is it achievable, and, if so, what is required to ensure it? What would be the consequences of failure to achieve your definition of success? Jessica Tuchman Mathews: Let me first say that I speak only
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Brief Analysis
Combating Terror Financing in America
Terrorist Financing in the United States While individual terrorist attacks can be carried out at a relatively low cost, the need to recruit operatives and provide them with safe houses, training, and support requires significant funding. The United States has proven to be a good venue for fundraising by terrorist
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Articles & Testimony
Sending a Message to the Barber's Wife
April 25, 2004, was a great day for American foreign policy in the Middle East. A sea of protesters converged upon the nation's capital to support women's rights in one of the largest demonstrations for social justice and equality in the history of the United States. As Washington struggles to
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Brief Analysis
Patterns of Global Terrorism 2003:
Behind the Curve?
The State Department released the 2003 edition of Patterns of Global Terrorism last week in accordance with its congressional mandate to provide an accounting of international trends. With several spectacular terrorist attacks, the war in Iraq, and a series of counterterrorism victories, 2003 witnessed profound changes in the arena of
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Security and Politics
The current fighting in Iraq was almost inevitable. The new political process we are putting in place is based on elections, and those who know that they are going to lose them have every reason to disrupt that process. The Sunni radicals and the Shiite rebel leader Moqtada al-Sadr realize
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Patrick Clawson
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