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Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Can't Afford to Let Negroponte Fail
Later this week, the U.S. Senate is expected to confirm John Negroponte, President George W. Bush’s nominee for the newly created position of director of national intelligence. In this new position, Negroponte will be responsible for managing the 15 agencies comprising the U.S. intelligence community. Despite having served both as
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Articles & Testimony
Gaza:
Moving Forward by Pulling Back
This Foreign Affairs article is based on David Makovsky's Engagement through Disengagement: Gaza and the Potential for Renewed Israeli-Palestinian Peacemaking (The Washington Institute, 2005). View a detailed map of the Gaza Strip, including Israeli settlements, Palestinian communities, IDF security zones, Egypt-Israel border buffer zone, checkpoints, and roads. After four and
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
An Elusive Opportunity
With upcoming visits by Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas to see President Bush, it is a good time to take stock of the Israeli-Palestinian situation. If my recent discussions in Jerusalem, Ramallah, and Gaza are any indication, the current trends are not encouraging. While Sharon
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Upcoming Bush-Sharon Summit:
Clarifying Ambiguity
One way to judge the success of the upcoming Bush-Sharon summit in Crawford is by examining whether it leads to a meeting of the minds and greater clarity on four pivotal Israeli-Palestinian issues: the terms of the current ceasefire; West Bank settlement activity; the timing of, and eligibility rules for
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
France, America, and the Middle East
The fast and steady deterioration of the French-U.S. relationship has recently entered an equally swift upturn. The Bush administration, reelected by a majority vote in 2004, has not changed the substance of its foreign policy. Given a similarly unvarying stance by France, no shift of policy by either nation has
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Jean-David Levitte
Articles & Testimony
Allergic Partners:
Can U.S.-Turkish Relations Be Saved?
When Turkey's Parliament on March 1, 2003 failed to approve the Bush Administration's request for a “northern front” against Iraq, it became clear that the Iraq War would prove a watershed in U.S. - Turkish strategic partnership. Left unanswered at the time were fundamental questions of how relations would develop
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Articles & Testimony
King Abdullah II:
'Iraq is the Battleground—The West against Iran'
King Abdullah II bin Al Hussein, decendant of the Prophet Muhammad, is the fourth ruler of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan and the great-grandson of his namesake, the kingdom’s founder. Born on January 30, 1962, to King Hussein’s second wife, the British-born Princess Muna, he is the eldest of Hussein’s
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Brief Analysis
Good Relations between Azerbaijan and Israel:
A Model for Other Muslim States in Eurasia?
Next to the Middle East lies another region with a large Muslim population and some acute problems with Islamist radicalism: the Caucasus. Aware of the danger that instability in the Caucasus (particularly since the dissolution of the Soviet Union) could spill over into the Middle East, Israel has actively sought
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Hizballah Conundrum
President George W. Bush’s March 15 statement expressing hope that Hizballah would prove not to be a terrorist organization, “laying down arms and not threatening peace,” suggests a conundrum for policymakers: how do you treat a chameleonic body that is simultaneously an important political party and an armed terror group
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Syrian Strategy in Lebanon
As Syrian troops continue to withdraw from parts of Lebanon, three bomb attacks have occurred within eight days in predominantly Christian areas: a March 19 car bomb wrecked the front of a building in New Jdeideh, wounding nine; a March 22 bomb ripped through an elite shopping center in Kaslik
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Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
Memo to: Karen P. Hughes<br>
Re: The Mission of Public Diplomacy
Congratulations on your nomination as undersecretary of state for public diplomacy. Though this is a third-level State Department appointment, with an office about a half-mile away from your former prime spot in the West Wing of the White House, it is actually one of the most important jobs in the
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Brief Analysis
Assessing the Iraqi Insurgency (Part II):
Devising Appropriate Analytical Measures
In countering insurgencies—wars without fronts, against often-elusive enemies—there is a temptation to rely on quantitative measures to gauge success. Although tracking and assessing trends in, for example, the number of insurgents and attacks is fundamental to any tactical or operational appreciation of the Sunni Arab insurgency in Iraq, a strategic
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Iraqi Insurgency (Part I):
Problems and Approaches
Two years after the beginning of the war in Iraq, much uncertainty and confusion remain regarding the status and direction of the insurgency. This fact has hindered clear discourse about progress, or the lack thereof, in Iraq. For example, much public attention has focused on the number of remaining insurgents
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The Role of International Monitors and Observers in the Lebanese Elections
President George W. Bush recently stated, “The elections in Lebanon must be fully and carefully monitored by international observers.” Already, Lebanese prime minister Omar Karami has issued a de facto invitation to former president Jimmy Carter to fulfill that role. Some skepticism is warranted, particularly with regard to the notion
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Patrick Clawson
Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
Thinking the Unthinkable
What do Georgia, Ukraine, and Lebanon have in common? Their publics have said no to fear. They would not be silenced or intimidated as they rejected the fraudulent elections and corrupt governments imposed on them. Iraqi Shiites and, to a lesser extent, the Kurds could be added to this list
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
From Beirut to Algiers:
The Arab League’s Role in the Lebanon Crisis
Arab leaders meet in Algiers on March 22 for an Arab League summit, at a moment of high tension within Lebanon over the pace and extent of Syria’s military withdrawal and the future domestic political map. Despite the important roles many of the summiteers have played in urging Damascus to
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Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
New Hope for the Holy Land
After years of terror and violence, the recent changes in the Palestinian leadership and a new Israeli policy supported by a broad parliamentary coalition suggest a window of opportunity to make progress between Israelis and Palestinians in 2005. Diplomatic engagement on a defined agenda could in the short term restore
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Needs Longer-Term Plan on Terror
We are now 3½ years into the war on terror, with no end in sight. It is time for the U.S. government to acknowledge that fact by thinking longer-term as it combats terrorism. While not necessarily reducing the focus on the day-to-day efforts to prevent a recurrence of 9-11, the
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Brief Analysis
Assessing the Bush Administration's Policy of 'Constructive Instability' (Part II):
Regional Dynamics
In Lebanon, the Bush Administration's regional policy of "constructive instability" is approaching a critical juncture, with important decisions looming about how the further implementation of UN Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 1559 relates to other U.S. strategic interests. More generally, the policy is having an effect throughout the region, from the
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Arrest of Saudi Reformers One Year On
A year ago, on March 16, 2004, the Saudi authorities arrested thirteen reformist intellectuals, including one university academic who was reportedly taken away in handcuffs in front of his class. Three days later the arrests were an issue taken up by then Secretary of State Colin Powell when he arrived
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Simon Henderson
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