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Brief Analysis
Fayad's Reform Plan:
Difficulties and Political Implications
A month after visiting Washington, Palestinian prime minister Salam Fayad continues to face significant political, economic, and security challenges to his reform plan. Fatah, the ruling political party in the West Bank, has resisted many aspects of his agenda and is critical of his cabinet's composition and performance. And although
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Mohammad Yaghi
Articles & Testimony
Globalized Jihad, Then (1993) and Now
Fifteen years from now, when classified documents produced today begin to be declassified, we will surely look back with some discomfort and see just how far off some of our judgments were when written in 2008. Such is the nature of intelligence assessments. What would be worse, however, would be
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Weapon of Terror:
Development and Impact of the Qassam Rocket
Qassam rockets -- unsophisticated weapons manufactured in garages and backroom laboratories -- have transformed the strategic equation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. These crude rockets give Palestinian terrorist organizations the capability to strike deep into Israeli territory, throwing the security assumptions behind future peace negotiations into doubt. Background Qassam rockets --
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Brief Analysis
Will the Damascus Arab Summit Be Convened?
In the Middle East, it is widely believed that Syria is obstructing the election of a new Lebanese president. Amid this crisis, many are beginning to doubt whether the next Arab League summit, scheduled to open in Damascus at month's end, will take place at all. Lebanon Crisis In key
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Hassan Barari
Brief Analysis
Iran and the Road Ahead
Recently, two important developments have broken months of gridlock on the Iranian nuclear issue: a third round of UN sanctions and a new warning by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF). Although both measures are positive, their ultimate impact will depend on how aggressively and effectively key governments implement them
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Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Who Represents the Iraqi Sunnis?
Since the fall of Saddam Hussein, Sunnis in Anbar and other western Iraqi provinces have struggled to develop a coherent and representative political leadership. The recently formed Iraqi Awakening Convention (IAC) -- a collective of so-called "Awakening council" leaders -- could represent the next step in that evolution and, if
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Nazar Janabi
Articles & Testimony
Gaza v. Annapolis
It is tempting to view the current violence in Gaza as just another symptom of the greater Israeli-Palestinian conflict. But it is not. The Hamas-sanctioned rockets and the Israeli retaliation are actually at the core of Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's inability to move the peace process even one inch
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
U.S. Financial Pressure on Terrorists and Rogue Regimes
How is the U.S. government applying its financial and economic tools to combat terrorism and rogue regimes?
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Patrick O'Brien
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
The 'Israel Lobby':
A Realistic Assessment
The following is an excerpt of this article. Read the full text (PDF). When John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt published a paper decrying the influence of the Israel lobby on American foreign policy in March 2006, they received a torrent of criticism from former policymakers, historians, politically-inclined academics, and several
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Reaches Out to Muslim Neighbours
Early indications from Turkey's Justice and Development Party (Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi: AKP), which assumed governance for the second time in July 2007, render it possible to make certain predictions about the future of Turkish foreign policy. The AKP will likely continue its hallmark policy of good ties with the
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Brief Analysis
Beyond Rhetoric:
Hizballah Threats after the Mughniyeh Assassination
In response to the February 12 assassination of chief of operations Imad Mughniyeh, Hizballah has ratcheted up its threats, warnings, and saber rattling. In turn, Israel has locked down its foreign missions, put its military on heightened alert, and deployed Patriot missiles near Haifa. And in Washington, the FBI issued
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Future Op-Ed Entry
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Articles & Testimony
Hamas in the Spotlight
This past week's news placed Hamas in the spotlight, with press coverage of key Hamas activity in the West Bank, Egypt and Jordan. While Hamas suffered significant setbacks at the hands of Israeli and Jordanian authorities, the group fared much better in Egypt. First the good news. Coming on the
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Articles & Testimony
The Exit Lever
Senator John McCain often attacks the two Democratic presidential front-runners for their soft stance on Iraq. "Senator Clinton and Senator Obama will withdraw our force from Iraq based on an arbitrary timetable designed for the sake of political expediency," he recently said, "which recklessly ignores the profound human calamity and
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
A Mutual Enemy:
U.S.-Turkish-Iraqi Cooperation against the PKK
On February 21, Turkish ground forces crossed the Iraqi border in an attempt to dismantle Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) terrorist camps, following weeks of periodic aerial bombardment that began in mid-December. The incursion was partly the product of a November 5 agreement between Turkey and the United States to share
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Abdulkadir Onay
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Timely Reminder of Iranian Support for Terrorism
Over the past several years, Iran's nuclear activities have commanded the attention of the international community. But the recent assassination of Hizballah foreign operations chief Imad Mughniyeh is a reminder that Iran has been -- and continues to be -- a key player in global terrorism, as its explicit sponsorship
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Matthew Levitt
Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
PKK Criminal Networks and Fronts in Europe
On February 13, Frank Urbancic, deputy counterterrorism coordinator at the State Department, told CNN-Turk, "The PKK [Kurdistan Workers Party] is like the mafia all over Europe." He added that in addition to its terrorist presence in Europe, the PKK has an "octopus-like structure carrying out criminal activity, including drug and
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Abdulkadir Onay
Brief Analysis
Headscarf Dilemma:
Implications for Turkey and the United States
On February 9, Turkey's ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) passed two constitutional amendments legalizing a specific women's headscarf on college campuses. The Turkish turban -- not to be confused with the South Asian male turban -- first emerged in the country in the 1980s and has long represented an
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Iran's Parliamentary Elections:
Assured Victory for the Supreme Leader
As Iran's March 14 parliamentary elections approach, the prospects for the reformist/technocratic coalition are predictably bleak. Yet, President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad is expected to lose ground as well. Although his conservative critics are likely to pick up a significant number of seats, the big winner will be Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei
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Mehdi Khalaji
PKK Enclaves in Northern Iraq (JPG)
PKK enclaves in Northern Iraq, including access to border areas with Turkey and Iran not controlled by Iraqi border police. Copyright 2008 The Washington Institute
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