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Articles & Testimony
Should Turkey Be Afraid of the Syrian Kurds?
Given the situation along the border and the risk of a Kurdish insurgency, a unilateral Turkish foray into Syria would be extremely risky for Ankara.
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Assad's Final Warning
Since the beginning of the Syrian uprising, Washington has repeatedly demanded that President Bashar al-Assad desist from employing the most brutal tactics against his own people -- only to see the Syrian regime use them anyway. With the assassination of at least three senior Assad regime members coming only days
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Who Is Jabhat al-Islah?
The legalization and participation of Salafi parties in the democratic process is one of the recent trends to emerge from the Arab uprisings. Like Egypt, which legalized three Salafi parties for its elections, and Yemen, which recently legalized its own Salafi party, Tunisia licensed the Tunisian Islamic Reform Front (Hizb
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
After the Damascus Assassinations: A New Phase for U.S. Syria Policy
The United States should take advantage of the latest blow to Assad's inner circle, hastening his demise while preventing worst-case follow-on events.
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Did Hezbollah Do It?
This article originally appeared at the Daily Beast 's Open Zion blog as " Did Hezbollah Do It?" Read all Daily Beast articles by Matthew Levitt. Earlier today, on the 18th anniversary of the Hezbollah bombing of the AMIA Jewish community center in Buenos Aires, a busload of Israeli tourists
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Dealing with Syria's Chemical Weapons: Military Options
Given the complexities of military action, Washington and its partners should pursue a policy of deterrence, assistance, containment, and elimination to prevent the use or diversion of Syria's chemical arsenal.
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Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Should Iran Have a Role in Syrian Peace Talks?
As the crisis in Syria heats up, so too has talk of a possible Iranian role in resolving it. Visiting Tehran last week, U.N. envoy Kofi Annan asserted that "Iran could play a positive role" in Syria. Two weeks earlier, Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov lobbied for Iran to be
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
The Other Threat to Oil Supplies:
Shiite Tensions in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain
Violence in eastern Saudi Arabia and continuing tension in Bahrain are reminders that Gulf oil exports face other threats besides potential Iranian closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Can It Get Worse in Syria? It Just Did
Syria's descent into ever-greater violence steepened yesterday. Driven by the regime's desperate attempt to stay in power, an already ugly conflict took an ominous turn with the reported movement of chemical munitions and what appears to be the worst massacre of civilians yet. CHEMICAL WEAPONS MOVEMENT Although details are lacking
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Annan's Latest Syria Plan Is a Bad Deal
UN envoy Kofi Annan's latest plan to end the violence in Syria -- perhaps better labeled the Annan-Assad plan -- is a bad one. It extends yet another lifeline to the regime, undercuts the armed opposition's growing effectiveness, and substitutes diplomatic bustle for progress toward ousting Bashar al-Assad. Like Annan's
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
How to Advance Transition to a Post-Assad Future
In this paper, the former chief of staff to Israel's minister of defense argues that, in addition to the moral imperative to help the Syrian people, there are also strong strategic reasons for the West and various regional states to be more proactive in bringing about the end of the
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Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
What's Going On in Egyptian Politics? Don't Ask Egyptians
One of the more charming aspects of post-Mubarak Egypt is the frequency with which political debate erupts spontaneously between ordinary pedestrians, who are then quickly surrounded by dozens of on-listeners eager to hear competing points and, more often than not, interject their own. These deliberative blobs are the best indication
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Oil Sanctions against Iran Will Not Be Enough
Predictably, last week's "expert level" talks between Iran and world powers were no more fruitful than previous rounds, leaving little optimism for a negotiated resolution to the nuclear crisis anytime soon. Western policymakers, buoyed by their success in reducing Iran's oil exports, appear content to give sanctions more time to
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood's Long Game:
Egypt's Ruling Party Plots Its Path to Power
In the 18 months since the overthrow of Hosni Mubarak, the Muslim Brotherhood has risen swiftly from the cave to the castle. It founded the now-dominant Freedom and Justice Party last April, won a massive plurality in the winter parliamentary elections, and, last week, celebrated as its candidate, Mohamed Morsi
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Syria's Eastern Front: The Iraq Factor
The United States should use its close relations with Iraq's Sunni Arab tribes to reduce the risk of spillover from Syria.
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
What The Tlass Defection Means to Assad
Thursday came news that General Manaf Tlass, a senior commander of Syria's elite Republican Guard -- the troops most directly responsible for defending the embattled Bashar Assad regime -- had defected to Turkey. While the operational impact his departure on his particular unit may be inconsequential, the impact on the
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Senior Sunni Defections in Syria
The reported defection of a senior Sunni commander and friend of Assad, if true, would be a blow to the regime and an opportunity for Washington.
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Andrew J. Tabler
Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Blind in Baghdad
Something is stirring in Iraq. On July 3, car bombs ripped through mainly Shiite neighborhoods across the country, killing 36 people. It was the latest tragedy in a bloody month -- a prolonged political crisis has weakened the government in Baghdad, giving insurgent groups an opening to expand their operations
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Islamist Future
The struggle for supremacy between the Islamists and the military is second to a more important political battle: what kind of Islamic state Egypt will become.
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David Schenker
Eric Trager to «Al-Watan»: «Morsi’s» Hostile Statements on «Septemebr 11» Concerns Washington
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Eric Trager
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