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تركيا

Policy Analysis on تركيا

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Brief Analysis
Turkey Goes to the Polls:
A Post-Mortem
On November 3, Turkey went to polls, and a party with an Islamist pedigree -- the Justice and Development Party (AKP) -- won a clear majority with 34 percent of the vote and 363 of the 550 seats in the parliament. The social-democratic Republican People's Party (CHP) was the only
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Mark Parris
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Will Find a Balance between Secularists and Islamists
The Justice and Development Party, or AKP, a party with roots in Islamist opposition, on Sunday won 363 of the 550 seats in the Turkish parliament. Predicting a potential failure of Turkish democracy, some analysts say the Turkish military will step in to take away this Islamist victory and preserve
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Must Address Turkey's War Fears
Turkey, though partners with the United States in the war on terror, is worried about the negative impact that unseating Saddam Hussein could have in the volatile Kurdish areas of northern Iraq. Washington must give a high priority to addressing this concern to ensure full Turkish participation in a coming
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Upcoming Turkish Elections:
Likely Winners and Implications for Foreign Policy
On November 3, the Turks will go to the polls to elect their new government. The elections could usher in a major realignment of the Turkish political landscape, perhaps bringing a party with Islamist pedigree -- the Justice and Development Party (AKP) -- to power. Should Washington worry about the
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Heads Up on Turkey
It is not yet clear that the United States will use force to remove Saddam Hussein from power. But in discussion of that possibility to date one proposition has never been challenged: You can't do it without Turkey. The conventional wisdom here in America is that, much as the Turks
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  • Mark Parris
Brief Analysis
Enhancing the Turkish-American Alliance:
The Campaign for Iraq and Other Possibilities
Assistant Secretary of State Elizabeth Jones was in Ankara Monday to discuss foreign policy issues including Iraq with her Turkish counterparts. Interestingly, Iraq's vice premier Tariq Aziz visited Ankara yesterday for the same purpose. These trips come at a crucial time as Washington prepares for a confrontation with Saddam Husayn
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
November Elections in Turkey:
Assessing the Ban on Justice and Development Party Leader Tayyip Erdogan
As the United States considers a possible military campaign in Iraq, Turkey is preoccupied with its upcoming elections. Although a party with roots in Islamism will be a major contender in the November 3 elections, it is unlikely that Turkey's approach to the Iraq issue will change much, regardless of
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Turkish Interests:
Convergence and Divergence
The U.S.-Turkish security relationship is becoming increasingly important to the stability of the Middle East. The two countries have long enjoyed a friendship based on mutual economic and military interests. Many perceive this to be an ideal relationship between the West and the Islamic world. Americans certainly have an interest
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Brief Analysis
Turkish Election Preview:
Fragmentation of the Center
The people of Turkey go to the polls on November 3, 2002, amid a great deal of political and economic uncertainty. Possible outcomes range from a coherent pro-European Union (EU) coalition to a dramatic change following an outright electoral victory by a party attractive to Islamist voters. In Turkey, the
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Middle East:
A Turkish Perspective
The November 3, 2002, Turkish parliamentary elections are unlikely to produce any significant change in Turkish foreign policy, upon which there is a national consensus. The statements of all the political parties support Turkey's European orientation, and they also share a similar stance on Iraq. The new government may bring
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Brief Analysis
Sealing the U.S.-Turkish Strategic Partnership through Cooperation in Iraq?
A View from Ankara
Ever since talk of American intervention in Iraq began heating up, Turkish policy on cooperation has generally been as follows: keep a close eye on the situation and clearly express reluctance, but if Washington begins to display greater decisiveness, take part in the action. The primary reasons for such a
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Brief Analysis
Turkey's Quest to Join the European Union:
Implications for American Policy
In two long sessions recently, the Turkish parliament adopted a historic reform package. Many view the legislation as a milestone for several reasons. First, it fully liberalizes the country's political system. Second, it lifts the few remaining limits on freedom of press, association, and expression. Third, it abolishes capital punishment
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey and Regime Change in Iraq
Turkey's attitude will be critical in the event the United States seeks to remove Saddam Husayn through use of force. Simple geography demands that any military option include Turkey. What do Turks think about the prospect of direct U.S. military action to topple Saddam? The short answer is: they hate
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  • Mark Parris
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Crisis, Iraq's Future, and the Wolfowitz Visit
The speech delivered by Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz at the Turkish Economic and Social Studies Foundation (TESEV) in Istanbul on July 14 was a detailed, comprehensive statement of U.S. policy on Turkey. In the clearest expression of U.S. policy on Turkish-Iraqi relations to date, Wolfowitz observed that "it is
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Brief Analysis
Turkish Political Disarray:
Why Now? What Next?
Simmering political problems in Turkey reached a boil following the resignation of the deputy prime minister this week, throwing into doubt both the health of the Ecevit government and Turkey's critical negotiations with the European Union (EU). The current situation, which is fluid and unpredictable, will also have ramifications for
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Brief Analysis
Turkish-Syrian Rapprochement:
Causes and Consequences
Since October 1998, Turkey has moved from the brink of war with Syria to the brink of signing a military cooperation agreement: Syrian chief of staff Gen. Hassan al-Turkomani will pay an official visit to Turkey on June 19, the first such visit by a Syrian chief of staff. The
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Brief Analysis
Prospects for Economic Reform in Turkey
Turkey's recovery from the economic crisis of February 2001 has so far been very successful. Fundamental reforms have been undertaken and strict fiscal discipline has been implemented. Furthermore, this process is, to a large degree, irreversible. For the recovery to be truly successful, however, it is essential that Turkey's relations
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Brief Analysis
Fifth Annual Turgut Ozal Memorial Lecture
On March 13, 2002, Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz delivered The Washington Institute's Fifth Annual Turgut Ozal Memorial Lecture. The following are excerpts from his remarks. Read a full transcript. "It is the great good fortune of the United States to have in Turkey a friend and ally that
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Brief Analysis
Fifth Annual Turgut Ozal Memorial Lecture (full transcript)
On March 13, 2002, Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz delivered The Washington Institute's Fifth Annual Turgut Ozal Memorial Lecture. Following is a full transcript of his presentation, as delivered. Read a summary of his remarks. Rob [Satloff, Executive Director of the Washington Institute], I was all set to thank
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Brief Analysis
U.S.-Turkish Economic Partnership Commission:
Time to Take a Look at QIZs
The U.S.-Turkish military strategic relationship has been a strong one historically, based on the loyalty of Turkey -- a staunch NATO ally -- over the past half century. As a result of Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit's visit to Washington in January, business contacts between the United States and Turkey have
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