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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية

Policy Analysis on الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية

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Brief Analysis
UN Sanctions and Iraq's Saber-Rattling
Through inflammatory rhetoric and troop movements in southern Iraq near the Kuwaiti border, Saddam Hussein is once again provoking crisis and possible confrontation in the Persian Gulf. Using some of the strongest language since the Gulf War, Baghdad has warned that "every party will bear the consequences" if the United
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Brief Analysis
Nuclear Proliferation in the Middle East:
Five Minutes to Midnight
Recent incidents in Germany involving the attempted smuggling of fissile material from the former Soviet Union have heightened concerns that the proliferation of nuclear weapons in the Middle East could occur much sooner than previously expected. The emergence of potential new sources for fissile material and weapons -- in the
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Lessons from the Helm of Central Command (CENTCOM)
On July 6, 1994, General Joseph P. Hoar, CENTCOM commander-in-chief, addressed a session of The Washington Institute's Policy Forum. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks. Introduction When General Hoar became chief-of-staff in 1988, Central Command's focus was on the Soviet Union. Operations and contingencies were planned to
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Brief Analysis
The Crisis with North Korea:
Implications for the Middle East
With the opening of new negotiations between the United States and North Korea, it is important to underscore one of the major concerns driving the current crisis: fear that a nuclear North Korea would export nuclear arms and technology to rogue states in the Middle East in order to earn
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Deja Vu All Over Again? An Assessment of Iran's Military Buildup
In 1989, following a costly eight-year war with Iraq, Iran initiated a major military buildup intended to transform it into a regional power and rebuild its ravaged armed forces. Iran's buildup, coupled with indications of increased activism in its foreign policy -- including efforts to undermine the Arab-Israeli peace process
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Brief Analysis
Gulf Security:
The Qatari View
On January 25, 1994, His Excellency Sheikh bin Jassim bin Jabr al-Thani, foreign minister of Qatar, addressed an off the record session of The Washington Institute's Policy Forum on regional security in the Persian Gulf. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks. Security Arrangements in the Gulf and
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In-Depth Reports
Russian Arms Sales Policy Toward the Middle East
The collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 dealt Middle East rejectionists a crippling blow. For four decades, Moscow supplied "rogue" regimes throughout the region with massive quantities of arms with which to pursue their goals: fighting Israel, sponsoring terrorism, and attacking Western interests. Usually, these weapons were provided on
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In-Depth Reports
Iraq: Options for U.S. Policy
The Clinton administration inherited a flawed Iraq policy from the Bush administration, but, in formulating a new policy, it has failed to accurately define those flaws. Its emphasis on "depersonalizing" the conflict with Iraq by shifting the focus from Saddam Hussein to Baghdad's compliance with relevant UN resolutions may mean
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In-Depth Reports
Radical Middle East States and U.S. Policy
The challenge posed to the United States by the radical regimes in the Middle East -- Libya, Iraq, Iran, and Syria -- is one of the most important foreign policy issues facing Washington today. These regimes, although weakened by the demise of the USSR, have by no means been disabled
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  • Barry Rubin
In-Depth Reports
Like a Phoenix from the Ashes?
The Future of Iraqi Military Power
Despite its crushing defeat during the Gulf War, Iraq remains a potential regional power and the foremost long-term threat to U.S. interests in the Middle East. President Saddam Hussein remains committed to acquiring nuclear weapons, despite serious international sanctions and UN weapons inspections in Iraq. As a first step toward
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Peace with Security:
Israel's Minimal Security Requirements in Negotiations with Syria
Although the uncertain status of the Palestinians lies at the heart of the Arab-Israeli conflict, without Syria there simply can be no progress in the peace process. In the past, Syria was satisfied with the status quo and saw little need to establish peaceful relations with Israel. With the collapse
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  • Zeev Schiff
In-Depth Reports
Water and the Peace Process:
Two Perspectives
Arabs and Israelis alike recognize the critical importance of water to the peace process and the future of regional economic cooperation. It is estimated that between 100 and 150 million cubic meters of the Yarmuk River waters flow to the Jordan River and are lost, unused in the Dead Sea
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In-Depth Reports
Arming for Peace?
Syria's Elusive Quest for 'Strategic Parity'
Under the leadership of President Hafez al-Assad, Syria has emerged as the leading Arab military power. With Egypt at peace with Israel and Iraq weakened and isolated, Syria remains the only Arab state which currently poses a military threat to Israel. Future decisions concerning war or peace in the region
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
The Economic Consequences of the Persian Gulf War:
Accelerating OPEC's Demise
Of the many strategic interests that United States and its allies have in the Middle East, surely one of the most crucial is securing energy supplies from the region. The Gulf War of 1991 demonstrated the importance of Middle East oil in the international community’s strategic calculus. Since the oil
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In-Depth Reports
Baghdad between Shi'a and Kurds
Executive Summary Since the formation of Iraq in 1920, the Sunni minority has held power and played the Shi'a and Kurdish minorities against each other. Aside from their shared enmity towards the Baghdad government, the Shi'a and the Kurds have nothing in common. The Iraqi opposition is structurally weak and
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  • Ofra Bengio
In-Depth Reports
Toward Middle East Peace Negotiations:
Israeli Postwar Political-Military Options in an Era of Accelerated Change
Executive Summary Israel enters a new peace process at a time of considerable short-term safety and long-term uncertainty. The social and demographic consequences of the Gulf War have not fully expressed themselves on the politics of the region, while the military role of Iraq in the future is hard to
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  • Dore Gold
In-Depth Reports
The Arrow Next Time?
Israel's Missile Defense Program for the 1990s
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In-Depth Reports
The Future of Iraq
68 pages
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In-Depth Reports
After the Storm:
Challenges for America's Middle East Policy
Executive Summary The defeat of Saddam Hussein and the elimination of Iraq's offensive capabilities have reestablished a favorable balance of power in the Middle East. But the Gulf War has left in its wake serious challenges to American efforts to establish a more stable regional order. This report focuses on
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GulfWatch
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Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
مايكل آيزنشتات
مايكل آيزنشتات هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "كاهن" ومدير "برنامج الدراسات العسكرية والأمنية" في معهد واشنطن، وهو متخصص في شؤون الخليج العربي والشؤون الأمنية العربية - الإسرائيلية.
Michael Knights
مايكل نايتس
الدكتور مايكل نايتس هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "جيل وجاي برنشتاين" في معهد واشنطن، ومتخصص في الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية للعراق وإيران ودول الخليج العربي وهو أحد مؤسسي منصة "الأضواء الكاشفة للميليشيات"، التي تقدم تحليلاً متعمقاً للتطورات المتعلقة بالميليشيات المدعومة من إيران في العراق وسوريا. وقد شارك في تأليف دراسة المعهد لعام 2020 "التكريم من دون الاحتواء: مستقبل «الحشد الشعبي» في العراق".
Grant Rumley
غرانت روملي
غرانت روملي هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "ميزل غولدبرغر" في "برنامج مؤسسة دايين وغيلفورد غليزر حول منافسة القوى العظمى والشرق الأوسط" التابع لمعهد واشنطن، حيث يتخصص في الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية في الشرق الأوسط.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
إليزابيث دينت
إليزابيث دينت هي زميلة أقدم في معهد واشنطن لسياسة الشرق الأدنى، حيث تركز على السياسة الخارجية والدفاعية الأمريكية تجاه دول الخليج العربي والعراق وسوريا.
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