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الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية

Policy Analysis on الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية

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Brief Analysis
Iranian Nuclear Weapons (Part II):
Operational Challenges
Counterproliferation strikes on nuclear sites are uncommon but by no means unprecedented. Germany's embryonic nuclear program was attacked during World War II, Iraq's Osiraq nuclear plant was bombed by Iran in 1980 and by Israel in 1981, and Iran's Bushehr reactor site was attacked by Iraq throughout 1984-1988. During the
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iranian Nuclear Weapons (Part I):
The Challenges of U.S. Preventive Action
Having just fought a war to rid Iraq of weapons of mass destruction, and alarmed by fresh signs of dramatic progress by Tehran in the nuclear arena, the United States is pressing the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to declare Iran in violation of its commitments under the Treaty on
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
The Role of Broadcast Media in Influence Operations in Iraq
Successfully shaping Iraqi public perceptions is vitally important, particularly since other well-known means of influencing the public -- creating stability and reestablishing water, power, and other public welfare services -- are taking longer than expected. Yet, the coalition has arguably been slower to shape the Iraqi media environment than either
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The Emergence of Resistance in Iraq
Whatever the long-term prospects for a stable and democratic Iraq, the potential exists for the development of resistance to that goal. This potential is rooted in both historical factors (e.g., Iraq's political culture; Iraqi distrust of the United States; enduring images of colonialism) and immediate circumstances (e.g., the collapse of
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The Future Shape of Military Operations in Support of Postwar Stabilization in Iraq
Although military operations have passed the "tipping point" in Iraq, U.S. Central Command spokesmen continue to stress that their primary focus remains the completion of high-intensity operations against remaining pockets of resistance. Moreover, in contrast to previous statements that advocated allowing looting to burn itself out, recent statements suggest that
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Foreign Irregulars in Iraq:
The Next Jihad?
In light of the recent dramatic events in Baghdad, U.S. policymakers are eyeing the next phase of the war. U.S. forces will almost certainly encounter increased guerrilla fighting. Saddam Husayn's vice president, Taha Yassin Ramadan, recently stated that more than 6,000 Arab volunteer fighters are now in Iraq. With increasing
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  • Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
The End of Saddam's Regime
"Bloody thou art, bloody will be thy end" -- like Shakespeare's quintessential villain Richard III, Saddam Husayn is being toppled by a combination of forces he called into existence through his own evil actions. Unlike Richard, Saddam's final act will lack heroic qualities. Clearly, the regime's disintegration is accelerating; all
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  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
U.S. and Kurdish Forces Keep Iraqi Northern Front Stable
The northern front was supposed to have been occupied by tens of thousands of U.S. troops who would make up the second front of a pincer movement against Baghdad. But Turkey's refusal to allow American forces and heavy armor to cross the Turkish-Iraqi frontier means that only a few thousand
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Fighting the War to Win the Peace in a Post-Saddam Iraq
As the coalition prepares for the decisive phase of the war against Saddam Husayn's regime, it is crucial that combat operations set the conditions for achieving U.S. war aims and -- just as important -- winning the peace afterward. The principal war aims are: 1) eliminating Iraq's weapons of mass
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Jeffrey White
In-Depth Reports
U.S. Policy in Post-Saddam Iraq:
Lessons from the British Experience
INTRODUCTION In launching Operation Iraqi Freedom, the United States embarks on a major undertaking, one that may well involve the creation of a new Iraqi government and a significant, long-term commitment of resources and personnel. This endeavor bears similarities to the British experience in Iraq during the first half of
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Basing Restrictions Shape Concept and Conduct of War
With Saudi Arabian, Turkish, and Jordanian host-nation restrictions limiting coalition ground and air operations, the United States has begun to develop a range of Iraqi airfields as forward operating bases for combat aircraft. This is ironic considering that successive U.S. governments spent billions of dollars to develop an unparalleled basing
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
War in Iraq:
A Preliminary Assessment
Saddam Husayn's regime is under relentless attack, and its days are numbered. Exactly when or how the end will come is unclear but not in doubt. After a week of major combat, it is reasonable to assess the progress of this war: accomplishments by both sides, surprising -- and not
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Strategy and the Battle for Baghdad
Over the past two days, U.S. forces have battled elements of the four Republican Guard (RG) divisions that form the outer ring of Baghdad's defenses, initiating what may be the decisive phase of the coalition's invasion of Iraq. The possibility of urban combat in Baghdad is a daunting one, entailing
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Iraq Fights Its War 'Outside-In'
Iraqi forces have been countering the U.S.-led Operation Iraqi Freedom with a form of "outside-in" strategy, defending their country from the periphery to the center. Although the coalition is winning every significant engagement and has penetrated to the heart of the country, Saddam Husayn's regime is not giving ground easily
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The Long View of No-Fly and No-Augmentation Zones
Coalition ground forces entered Iraq on the first day of Operation Iraqi Freedom, in contrast to Operation Desert Storm in 1991, when the ground assault followed forty-three days of air strikes involving an average of 2,500 sorties per day. This difference was due in large part to the fact that
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The Complexities of a Military Coup against Saddam
There has been much speculation that under certain circumstances -- either just before a war or in the early stages of a coalition operation -- some elements of the Iraqi military would move against Saddam Husayn and his regime. A coup against Saddam would in fact be a highly complex
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  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Infrastructure Targeting and Postwar Iraq
Using new operational concepts in concert with rapidly maturing strike technologies, the U.S. military will attempt to seamlessly dovetail the destructive process of warfare with the reconstructive effort of nation building in any future air operations against Iraq. Lessons learned from air campaigns conducted in Iraq during the 1990s have
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iraq's Nascent Nuclear Doctrine:
Insights from a Captured Document
During Operation Desert Storm, U.S. forces captured several million Iraqi military documents. Among these was one titled "The Operational Use of Weapons of Mass Destruction; Volume 2; Part 2; Foundations for the Use of Nuclear Weapons in War." The manual was published in July 1988 by the Ministry of Defense
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Brief Analysis
Fighting With or Without Turkey?
Lessons and Implications
It is unclear clear whether the Turkish parliament will re-vote or approve the deployment of U.S. troops in Turkey in preparation for an attack on Iraq. Turkish military cooperation -- or its absence -- may either facilitate or, respectively, complicate an American military operation. Even if the Turkish parliament were
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Brief Analysis
What Kind of Defense Might Iraq Mount?
If the United States and the "coalition of the willing" go to war, the result will be a comprehensive defeat of the Iraqi regime and its military and security forces. What is not so clear is how smoothly the military campaign will proceed. Many commentators seem to assume that any
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  • Jeffrey White

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Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
مايكل آيزنشتات
مايكل آيزنشتات هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "كاهن" ومدير "برنامج الدراسات العسكرية والأمنية" في معهد واشنطن، وهو متخصص في شؤون الخليج العربي والشؤون الأمنية العربية - الإسرائيلية.
Michael Knights
مايكل نايتس
الدكتور مايكل نايتس هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "جيل وجاي برنشتاين" في معهد واشنطن، ومتخصص في الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية للعراق وإيران ودول الخليج العربي وهو أحد مؤسسي منصة "الأضواء الكاشفة للميليشيات"، التي تقدم تحليلاً متعمقاً للتطورات المتعلقة بالميليشيات المدعومة من إيران في العراق وسوريا. وقد شارك في تأليف دراسة المعهد لعام 2020 "التكريم من دون الاحتواء: مستقبل «الحشد الشعبي» في العراق".
Grant Rumley
غرانت روملي
غرانت روملي هو زميل أقدم في برنامج الزمالة "ميزل غولدبرغر" في "برنامج مؤسسة دايين وغيلفورد غليزر حول منافسة القوى العظمى والشرق الأوسط" التابع لمعهد واشنطن، حيث يتخصص في الشؤون العسكرية والأمنية في الشرق الأوسط.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
إليزابيث دينت
إليزابيث دينت هي زميلة أقدم في معهد واشنطن لسياسة الشرق الأدنى، حيث تركز على السياسة الخارجية والدفاعية الأمريكية تجاه دول الخليج العربي والعراق وسوريا.
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