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الفلسطينيون

Policy Analysis on الفلسطينيون

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Articles & Testimony
Dealing with Arafat:
Mideast Needs a Soft Landing
When Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat meets with President Clinton tomorrow, his message will be, "The Oslo accords are dead long live the Arab-Israeli peace process!" For Clinton, the priority should be to reject a new form of "peace process" that could make a bad situation even worse. That Oslo is
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Arafat's Strategy:
Impose an Intifada, Spillover to the Arab World
A New Intifada? The events of the past five weeks are not a repeat of the Palestinian Intifada of 1987–1990, a spontaneous uprising that caught both Chairman Yasir Arafat and Israel equally by surprise. Rather, the current uprising is a confrontation imposed by Arafat on the Palestinian street. Three major
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  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Between Terrorism and Truce:
Developments in Middle East Violence
Bombing and Truce The truce reached today should be interpreted very cautiously, given both today’s terror bombing in Jerusalem, which killed two Israeli civilians, and the two previous failed ceasefires recently brokered by the United States in Paris and Sharm el-Sheikh, respectively. Palestinian Authority (PA) leader Yasir Arafat was due
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Diplomacy or Descent into Disaster:
The Decision is Arafat's
By Saturday, Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat will determine whether the Middle East inches closer to, or further from, the brink of regional conflict.This time period is critical because it comes between the two major summit meetings hosted in Egypt this week. On Tuesday, President Clinton announced an Israeli-Palestinian cease-fire after
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Inside the Fatah Tanzim:
A Primer
As violence continues to flare in parts of Jerusalem, the West Bank and Gaza, attention is increasingly focused on the Palestinian group responsible for much of the rioting and confrontation--the Fatah Tanzim. Just yesterday, the leader of the Tanzim, Marwan Barghouthi, ridiculed the ceasefire reached in Paris as useless. That
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The 'Battle for Jerusalem':
Assessing Strategy and Tactics
Uneven press coverage and shocking television footage have skewed analysis of the ongoing "Battle for Jerusalem"--the week-old explosion of violence that has swept from the Temple Mount/Haram al-Sharif, to the West Bank, Gaza and Arab population centers in Israel. Seen in political and historical context, current events actually highlight a
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Ending the Conflict:
A Palestinian View
The wishes of the Palestinian and Israeli peoples and the situation in which they find themselves mandate a resolution to the conflict. The fact that all three parties--Americans, Palestinians and Israelis--are motivated to reach a deal quickly makes this goal more readily attainable. However, in spite of the wish to
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In-Depth Reports
Prospects for Ending the Conflict:
A Palestinian View
It gives me great pleasure, and I am indeed honored, to be invited to this very important function at this very crucial time. Although it is quite risky to talk about current negotiations, I will try not to be trite and historical. I will try my best to reveal as
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In-Depth Reports
Peace on Three Fronts
Israelis have to make three different sorts of peace. The first, surprisingly, is with ourselves; the second is with our neighbors; and the third is with the age in which we live. The three cannot be separated. The Arab reaction and that of the press have nothing to do with
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  • Shimon Peres
Brief Analysis
Statehood, Final Status, and the Future Role of the PLO:
Will the Conflict End with Independence?
Last Sunday, the world breathed a sigh of relief as the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) Central Council voted to postpone a declaration of statehood until at least November 15, 2000. Less noticed, however, has been the internal battle over what is perhaps the second most important political issue on the
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Arab 'Yellow Light' on a Palestinian Unilateral Declaration of Independence
President Clinton will again meet his two Camp David partners--though not yet in scheduled three-way talks during this week's Millennium Summit, six weeks after the conclusion of their inconclusive Camp David negotiations. In the August interval, each side sent leaders and diplomats jetting about Europe, Asia, and the Middle East
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Brief Analysis
A Second Camp David Summit?
Assessment and Prospects
A decision whether to revive the Israeli-Palestinian peace talks at a reconvened Camp David Summit may be made next Wednesday, but as it stands now, the prospects seem very uncertain. President Bill Clinton is scheduled to hold separate meetings with Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak and Palestinian Authority chairman Yasir
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Camp David II Aftermath:
Options for the Next Ninety Days
In the aftermath of Camp David II and with the start of the Knesset summer recess yesterday, there appears to be a 40-90 day "window" for Israelis and the Palestinians to determine whether a diplomatic breakthrough is still possible or whether the parties will move in alternative directions. Political Standing
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Camp David Collapse:
A Behind-the-Scenes Assessment by a Participant
Achievements Although the failure of the Camp David II summit to reach a final status agreement between Israel and the Palestinians is certainly sad, it is important to emphasize that this two-week meeting was not a waste of time. For the first time, Israelis and Palestinians sat together in an
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Articles & Testimony
Arafat:
A Leader Who Did Not Lead
The seeds of failure at Camp David were planted before the summit began. Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat was not willing to make the concessions necessary for an agreement, and the reason he was unwilling was that he had not adequately prepared his public. Indeed, the collapse of the summit
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Status of the Palestinian Refugees
Among the issues being discussed at Camp David between Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak, Palestinian Authority chairman Yasir Arafat, and President Clinton is one matter that directly affects several other states in the region not represented at the talks, namely, the situation of the Palestinian refugees, especially those in Lebanon
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Brief Analysis
Camp David II:
The End of the Palestinian-Israeli Conflict?
There have been at least seven agreements between Israel and the Palestinians in the past seven years. Negotiations with intermittent spurts of violence have been a way of life. Any new agreement will not be about an end to the conflict: The original 1993 agreement specified such an end, with
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Arafat's Resistance to a Summit
U.S. secretary of state Madeleine Albright completed her round of talks with both Israel and the Palestinian Authority (PA) today, failing to announce the immediate convening of a U.S. summit. At the end of her discussions, she said she would report to U.S. president Bill Clinton on Thursday, and that
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Back to the Palestinian Track:
Prospects for the Clinton-Arafat Meeting
Palestinian Authority (PA) president Yasir Arafat meets President Bill Clinton today strengthened by the death of Syria’s Hafiz al-Asad, whose funeral Arafat attended Tuesday. An Arafat buoyed and more confident by the death of his longtime nemesis adds a new wrinkle to an already complex game of brinkmanship that constitutes
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  • David Schenker
  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Hamas's Lessons from Lebanon
Israel's quick withdrawal from Lebanon and the collapse of the South Lebanon Army (SLA) is certain to be studied by Hamas, the main Palestinian Islamist organization. To understand what lessons Hamas may draw, it is useful to look at two recent developments: discussion inside Hamas about "Lebanonizing" the Palestinian territories
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