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Articles & Testimony
Turkish Secularism Is Withering
This fall, I plan to teach a course on Turkish secularism at Georgetown University. The class was originally listed as current politics. But given the direction in which Turkey's headed, it could well become a history course instead. For after some 80 years, Turkish secularism is withering away. In late
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Brief Analysis
Better Late than Never:
Keeping USAID Funds out of Terrorist Hands
Foreign aid is an important and effective tool for buttressing allies, alleviating poverty and suffering, supporting key foreign policy objectives, and promoting the image and ideals of the United States abroad. Indeed, as its own website attests, the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) "plays a vital role in promoting
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Ein Tuch, das Trennt
In this op-ed, published in German, Soner Cagaptay discussed the growing political import of the headscarf controversy to the AKP's Islamist agenda and for the future of Turkey's history of republican secularism. Soner Cagaptay is a senior fellow at The Washington Institute and director of its Turkish Research Program.
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Brief Analysis
Hizballah's 'Big Surprise' and the Litani Line
On August 14, the anniversary of the end of last summer's Lebanon war, Hizballah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah warned Israel of a "big surprise" if it initiated a new conflict in the South. Analysts immediately began speculating over the nature of the promised surprise. But what is most important to note
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Andrew Exum
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Kurds and the Turkish-Iraqi Memorandum against the PKK
On August 7, Iraqi prime minister Nouri al-Maliki and Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) in Ankara against the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK). Although the PKK, based in northern Iraq, is on the U.S. State Department's list of Foreign Terrorist Organizations, lack of action
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Smarter Way to Target Iran
On August 15, the New York Times and Washington Post reported that the Bush administration was considering sanctioning Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) for its terrorist-related activities. This designation could have a significant impact, as Iranian leaders are vulnerable to the types of "smart sanctions" that would result. Finding
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Patrick Clawson
Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps, Inc.
Understanding the impact of Washington's expected designation of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a foreign terrorist organization requires knowing what role the Revolutionary Guards play in Iranian society. Apart from being a military force with naval, air, and ground components organized in parallel to the conventional Iranian military
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
United Nations Peacekeepers in Southern Lebanon:
One Year After the War
On August 14, 2007, in a speech marking the first anniversary of the ceasefire ending the 2006 summer war, Hizballah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah warned Israel of the consequences of further conflict. Addressing a mass rally in Beirut via a video link, he said: "Zionists, if you think of launching a
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Andrew Exum
Articles & Testimony
Picking Battles
Leverage is crucial for the effective conduct of statecraft. But it is not always easy to exercise it. Consider the case of Pakistan. One would think the Bush administration would hold some sway over President Pervez Musharraf, given the $10 billion in aid it has provided his government since 9/11
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Cabinet, President, Referendum:
Turkey's Complex Political Calendar
On August 9, the Turkish parliament elected Koksal Toptan, a deputy from the Justice and Development Party (AKP) as its speaker. The AKP, which won 46 percent of the vote in July 22 parliamentary elections, controls 341 seats in the 550-member Turkish parliament. Thus has Turkey begun a very busy
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Brief Analysis
Undercutting a Culture of Militancy:
Designating Hamas Charities
Yesterday, the U.S. Treasury Department designated as a terrorist organization one of the largest Hamas charities in Gaza, the al-Salah Society, along with its director, Ahmed al-Kurd, a well-known Hamas activist. The organization was outlawed by Israel in 2002 and temporarily shut down by Palestinian security services in 2003. The
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Islamist Boycott of Jordanian Municipal Elections:
A Victory of Public Relations or Politics?
On July 31, in a contest widely seen as a tune-up for November's parliamentary balloting, Jordanians went to the polls for municipal elections. Amman had hoped these would showcase Jordan's relatively advanced style of representative democracy in the Middle East. Instead, in a surprise development, the Islamic Action Front (IAF)
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David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
Training the Iraqi Air Force:
Lessons from a U.S. C-130 Advisory Mission
Among the many initiatives for training the Iraqi military, one little-publicized but crucial effort has been the U.S. Air Force's ongoing series of comprehensive advisory missions. Central Command's latest plan to develop Iraqi airpower calls for dramatic increases in the number of Iraqi Air Force personnel and aircraft, as well
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Michael Bauer
Brief Analysis
Coping with Terrorism:
Lessons from the British and Israeli Experiences
On July 15, 2007, Leonard Cole and Toby Harnden addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute to mark the release of Dr. Cole's book Terror: How Israel Has Coped and What America Can Learn. An adjunct professor of political science at Rutgers University, Dr. Cole is an expert on
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Articles & Testimony
Talk to Me
As someone who believes it is essential to restore statecraft to the conduct of American foreign policy, I find it reassuring, not troubling, that a debate should emerge between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama over the circumstances in which to meet or engage the leaders of rogue states. Don't
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Dangerous Partners:
Targeting the Iran-Hizballah Alliance
July 18 marked the thirteenth anniversary of Argentina's deadliest terrorist attack: a 1994 car bombing carried out by Hizballah at Iran's behest. The attack targeted the Asociacion Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA), a Jewish community organization, killing 85 and wounding more than 200. Last week also saw the release of a
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Matthew Levitt
In-Depth Reports
Deterring the Ayatollahs:
Complications in Applying Cold War Strategy to Iran
AGENDA: IRAN A new series addressing the most difficult but vital questions for U.S. policymakers confronting the Iranian nuclear challenge. FORTHCOMING 2007 TITLES * Salvation by Aggression? Apocalyptic Visions and Iran's Security Policy By Mehdi Khalaji * The Last Resort: Potential Iranian Responses to Preventive Military Action By Patrick Clawson
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Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Jordanian Islamists and Municipal Elections:
Confirmation of a Problematic Trend?
Jordanians go to the polls tomorrow to elect nearly 1,000 local representatives and 92 mayors. On their own, these elections are of minimal interest to Washington: municipalities have small budgets, limited responsibilities, and scant independence from the central government. But the voting comes just a month after the Hamas takeover
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
What to Do about Teheran's Money-Laundering
As the US presses for a stronger UN Security Council resolution on Iran, the Treasury Department continues its international outreach to highlight Iran's illicit financial activity. While the Treasury-led campaign has achieved considerable success, this initiative would be far more effective if the US was not the only voice decrying
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Articles & Testimony
Turkish Troubles
This op-ed also ran under the title "Liberal Turkey?" in the Wall Street Journal's European edition on July 30, 2007. Turkey's ruling Justice and Development Party, the AKP, emerged victorious in the July 22 parliamentary elections with a solid 47 percent of the vote. Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, in
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