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11811
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Brief Analysis
Saudi Family Council Suggests Transition Is Imminent
The surprise announcement on June 4 of the establishment and first meeting of a Saudi royal family council indicates that the kingdom is preparing itself for a shift in full authority from the ailing King Fahd to his deputy, Crown Prince Abdullah. The change should bring to an end the
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Defection of a Terror Suspect:
Window into Iranian State Terrorism?
An Iranian asylum seeker in Turkey claims to be Ahmad Beladi-Behbahani, a high-ranking intelligence official in Iran. If true, this is quite a coup, because Behbahani is one of the most important figures in the Iranian terror apparatus, and his revelations could re-ignite debate about a U.S. response to Iran-backed
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Brief Analysis
East vs. West:
King Abdullah and the Future of Jordan's Economic Orientation
Tonight, Jordan's King Abdullah arrives in Washington for a two-day visit that will include discussions with President Bill Clinton and appointments with chief executive officers of top U.S. technology firms. In a departure from the usual emphasis with the peace process, this visit will focus on Jordanian domestic issues, specifically
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Hizballah in Lebanon:
What Next?
Having driven the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and its proxy South Lebanon Army (SLA) out of Lebanon, Hizballah faces the momentous decision of what to do next. As the most capable guerrilla group operating in Lebanon, Hizballah’s decision will have profound effects on the security environment not only on the
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Articles & Testimony
Can the United States Influence the WMD Policies of Iraq and Iran?
Iraq and Iran are likely to pose some of the most difficult long-term proliferation challenges for the United States in the coming years. Both countries remain actively committed to developing weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in spite of obstacles created by export controls and sanctions, and even though they are
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Articles & Testimony
U.S. Diplomatic Action Needed in Lebanon
Without U.S. diplomatic intervention, the most likely outcome of last week's Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon is that some radical group — acting under Syrian and Iranian pressure — will launch cross-border attacks on Israel. This could lead Israel to respond with intense artillery fire and air strikes, possibly against Syrian
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Lockerbie Trial, Round One
The much-anticipated trial of two Libyans accused of downing Pan Am Flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland, has now been in session for two weeks. In this brief period, important developments have already taken place both inside and outside the courtroom. Although prior to the trial, there was much speculation on
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Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Hamas's Lessons from Lebanon
Israel's quick withdrawal from Lebanon and the collapse of the South Lebanon Army (SLA) is certain to be studied by Hamas, the main Palestinian Islamist organization. To understand what lessons Hamas may draw, it is useful to look at two recent developments: discussion inside Hamas about "Lebanonizing" the Palestinian territories
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Brief Analysis
Syria-Lebanon-Israel Triangle:
The End of the Status Quo?
On May 19, 2000, Patrick Seale, biographer of Hafiz al-Asad; Daniel Pipes, editor of Middle East Quarterly; Uri Lubrani, Israel's coordinator of activities in southern Lebanon; and Raghida Dergham, senior diplomatic correspondent for al-Hayat, jointly addressed The Washington Institute's Fifteenth Annual Soref Symposium. The discussion took place just days before
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Brief Analysis
UNIFIL's Strategy of Risk Aversion
In the wake of the hasty withdrawal from southern Lebanon by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and the collapse of the South Lebanon Army (SLA), the role of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) in trying to restore peace to the border area is far from certain. The
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Brief Analysis
The Middle East in U.S. Global Strategy
On May 19, 2000, Leon Fuerth, national security adviser to Vice President Al Gore, and Robert Zoellick, a foreign policy adviser to Texas governor George W. Bush, jointly addressed The Washington Institute's annual Soref Symposium. Following are excerpts from their discussion. Read an edited transcript. LEON FUERTH "If you ask
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Brief Analysis
Palestinian Refugees in Lebanon:
New Source of Cross-Border Tension?
While Hizballah still mulls over its options in the wake of Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon–terrorism, political activism, or both–there remains in Lebanon one other sizable community that could be the source of renewed tension and violence: the 350,000 Palestinian refugees. This group has a long and tortured history in Lebanon
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In-Depth Reports
The Middle East in U.S. Global Strategy
On May 19, 2000, Leon Fuerth, national security adviser to Vice President Al Gore, and Robert Zoellick, a foreign policy adviser to Texas governor George W. Bush, jointly addressed The Washington Institute's annual Soref Symposium. The following is an edited transcript of their discussion. Read the full, unedited transcript or
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In-Depth Reports
Syria-Lebanon-Israel Triangle:
The End of the Status Quo? (full transcript)
*Mr. Lubrani's remarks represent his own views and not those of the government of Israel ROBERT SATLOFF: Let me simply open by putting the cards on the table. Mr. Seale, you wrote an obituary for the Syria-Israel peace. Is, indeed, this track dead? If so, why? And if not, why
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In-Depth Reports
The Middle East in U.S. Global Strategy (full transcript)
On May 19, 2000, Leon Fuerth, national security adviser to Vice President Al Gore, and Robert Zoellick, a foreign policy adviser to Texas governor George W. Bush, jointly addressed The Washington Institute's annual Soref Symposium. The following is a full transcript of their discussion. Read an edited transcript or a
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In-Depth Reports
The Middle East in 2000:
A Year of Critical Decisions
Keynote discussion between Dan Meridor and Ziyad Abu Zayyad; and roundtable discussions with Patrick Seale, Uri Lubrani, Raghida Dergham, and Daniel Pipes; and between Leon Fuerth and Robert Zoellick.
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In-Depth Reports
Syria-Lebanon-Israel Triangle:
The End of the Status Quo?
*Mr. Lubrani's remarks represent his own views and not those of the government of Israel. Robert Satloff, The Washington Institute: Mr. Seale, you wrote an obituary for the Syria-Israel peace track. Is this track indeed dead? If so, why? And if not, why not? Patrick Seale: First, I would like
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In-Depth Reports
The Palestinian-Israeli Conflict:
Is the End in Sight?
Robert Satloff, The Washington Institute: We have asked our two guests this evening to engage in a conversation rather than to deliver extended formal remarks. Dan, Ziyad, please begin by giving us a sense of where you think the peace process is today, where it is going over the next
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Brief Analysis
Barak's Kaleidescope Coalition and the Knesset Challenge
As violence rocked the West Bank and Gaza, Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak was scoring a significant parliamentary victory Monday. By a 56-48 margin, the Knesset approved transfer of three Palestinian villages on the outskirts of Jerusalem, including Abu Dis, from partial to full control by the Palestinian Authority (PA)
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Ritual of Violence:
Israeli-Palestinian Clashes
The May 15 clashes between Israeli troops and Palestinian civilians and policemen on the occasion of the Nakbah ("catastrophe"), a Palestinian memorial day protesting the establishment of Israel, were the most violent since the September 1996 opening of the tunnel entrance in Jerusalem's Old City. Five Palestinians were killed and
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