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In-Depth Reports
Extending the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty:
The Middle East Debate
Extending the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty: The Middle East Debate Executive Summary The debate in the Middle East over the possible extension of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) at the April 1995 review conference has emerged as one of the key determinants of whether the treaty will be extended. Egypt ratified
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Brief Analysis
Prospects for Arab-Israeli Peace -- 1995:
A Trip Report
On December 13, 1994, four participants of The Washington Institute's study group to the Middle East addressed a Policy Forum on the prospects for the peace process in the coming year: Dr. Joseph Sisco, former undersecretary of state; Dr. Graeme Bannerman, former staff director of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Future of the Oslo Accords:
A Palestinian Assessment
On November 23, 1994, Faisal Husseini, member of the Palestinian Authority and head of the Palestinian delegation to the bilateral peace talks, addressed The Washington Institute's policy forum on the implementation of the Oslo Accords. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his off-the-record remarks. Islamic Fundamentalism and the Oslo
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Brief Analysis
Terrorism against Peace:
The International Dimension
On November 29, 1994, Oliver "Buck" Revell, former associate deputy-director-investigations, Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI); Kenneth Katzman, Middle East analyst at the Congressional Research Service; and Steven Emerson, freelance journalist and executive producer of the PBS documentary Jihad in America, addressed a session of The Washington Institute's Policy Forum. The
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Brief Analysis
Chernomyrdin in the Gulf and Russia's Emerging Policy
As Israeli Prime Minister Rabin visits Washington, Russian Prime Minister Victor Chernomyrdin is in the Persian Gulf on a visit to several Arab Gulf states. Chernomyrdin's trip is the latest in a series of diplomatic visits, initiatives and high level statements which cumulatively signal that Russian policy toward the Gulf
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Brief Analysis
Tansu Ciller in Israel:
Pursuing Turkish-Israeli Partnership
Prime Minister Tansu Ciller begins the first ever Turkish head of government visit to Israel today, underscoring her personal commitment to developing Turkish-Israeli ties that were virtually dormant as recently as two years ago. In so doing, she is taking Turkey for the first time into an energetic role in
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Alan Makovsky
In-Depth Reports
Supporting Peace:
America's Role in an Israel-Syria Peace Agreement
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Brief Analysis
Russian and French Policy Toward Iraq:
Emerging Differences with the United States
President Clinton's visit to Kuwait and Saudi Arabia tomorrow provides an opportunity to reflect upon the impact of Saddam Hussein's decision to deploy some 70,000 troops to the Iraqi-Kuwaiti border. Two results among several stand out: Strong, forceful U.S. action will deter the Iraqi dictator. The stronger, more forceful and
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Brief Analysis
Iraq's Military Capabilities:
An Assessment
The crisis along the Iraq-Kuwait border underscores Saddam Hussein's ability to reconstruct a formidable military force despite Iraq's crushing military defeat in Desert Storm and four years of sanctions. Nevertheless, Iraq's military is much smaller and less powerful than the force the U.S. faced in 1991. Iraqi capabilities Today, Iraq
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
UN Sanctions and Iraq's Saber-Rattling
Through inflammatory rhetoric and troop movements in southern Iraq near the Kuwaiti border, Saddam Hussein is once again provoking crisis and possible confrontation in the Persian Gulf. Using some of the strongest language since the Gulf War, Baghdad has warned that "every party will bear the consequences" if the United
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Brief Analysis
Tunisian Foreign Minister Habib ben Yahia
On October 6, 1994, Tunisian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Habib Ben Yahia, addressed The Washington Institute's Policy Forum on Tunisia's role in the Arab-Israeli peace process and the regional implications of developments in Algeria. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his off the record remarks. Tunisia's Role in the
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In-Depth Reports
Between the Old and New Middle East:
Security Challenges in an Era of Arab-Israeli Peacemaking
Keynote addresses by James Woolsey, Uri Savir, and Crown Prince Hassan bin Talal. With Martin Kramer, Hilal Khashan, Stephen Grummon, George Nader, Daniel Pipes, Shai Feldman, Abdullah Toukan, and John Moore.
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In-Depth Reports
Challenges to Peace in the Middle East
During the struggle to establish the State of Israel, David Ben Gurion once told his colleagues, "Five years are nothing next to eternity, but not all years in history are alike, and in the next five years the fate of our generation may be decided, if not the fate of
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Brief Analysis
Algerian Politics:
Outlook and Regional Implications
On September 14, 1994, Amb. Mary Ann Casey, who just finished a tour as U.S. ambassador to Algeria, and Dr. Gideon Gera, the Meyerhoff Fellow at The Washington Institute, addressed The Institute's Policy Forum on the prospects and implications of a potential Islamic takeover in Algeria. The following is a
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In-Depth Reports
After King Fahd:
Succession in Saudi Arabia (2nd ed.)
The ruling family of Saudi Arabia, one of the United States' most important allies in the Middle East, is heading for a crisis of leadership. Despite its modern infrastructure, paid for by huge revenues from oil exports, the kingdom's political system remains rooted in tribal structures that have scarcely evolved
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Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Approaching Peace:
U.S. Interests in Israeli-Palestinian Final Status Talks
Preface Since the founding of The Washington Institute a decade ago, our work has been dedicated to assisting U.S. policymakers in their efforts to promote American interests in the Middle East, especially the pursuit of Arab-Israeli peace. When we began, comprehensive peace was a distant fixture on the horizon. Our
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Nuclear Proliferation in the Middle East:
Five Minutes to Midnight
Recent incidents in Germany involving the attempted smuggling of fissile material from the former Soviet Union have heightened concerns that the proliferation of nuclear weapons in the Middle East could occur much sooner than previously expected. The emergence of potential new sources for fissile material and weapons -- in the
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Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
The Economy of Saudi Arabia:
Troubled Present, Grim Future
The kingdom of Saudi Arabia faces a grim economic future. Contrary to predictions in the late 1970s and early 1980s of rising prices for Middle Eastern oil, world oil demands and prices have followed a downward trend since 1981, resulting in a reduction in Saudi oil revenues. Since 1983 Saudi
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Brief Analysis
A Saudi Disaster Story:
Yemen's Unity by Force
The capture last week of the port city of Aden by forces loyal to President Ali Abdullah Saleh of Yemen marked the end of the short-lived rebellion by secessionist supporters of Vice President Ali Salem al-Beidh. The outcome is a shock to the balance of power in the Arabian peninsula
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
King Hussein's Peace Moves in Historical Perspective
For Jordan, July 1994 may be recorded as the month of breaking down historic barriers. Last week, King Hussein announced to a televised session of parliament his willingness to meet publicly with Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin. Next week -- on the very anniversary of the murder of Hussein's grandfather
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Robert Satloff
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