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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurdish Failures in Kirkuk
Less than a month after Iraq’s May 12 national election, which was marred by allegations of fraud, the Iraqi Parliament announced that authorities would be recounting ballots in several provinces. Among the provinces where the recount was to be held was the embattled Kirkuk, whose ownership is disputed and where
۲ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Mera Jasm Bakr
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Cyber Democracy Slowly but Surely Arrives to Morocco
At the height of the Arab Spring, King Mohammad VI revamped the constitution under indirect duress, giving up some of his extensive powers to the head of government. Moroccan people greeted this move with delight and saw in it a probable initiation of a real devolution of power and the
۱ اوت ۲۰۱۸
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Mohamed Chtatou
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Ramifications of Russia's Short-Term Syria Strategy
Israel’s downing of a Syrian plane this week has demonstrated that the Syria conflict, while stabilizing in some ways, is far from reaching a clear conclusion. Even as regime forces retake the Southern regions of Quneitra and Daraa, the issue of how to manage the Syrian-Israeli borders has prompted a
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Mona Alami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The New Reality in Syria Constitutes an Existential Threat to Lebanon
What would be the effect on the United States—politically, economically, socially—if the country accommodated 100 million refugees in the span of a few years? This is the situation that Lebanon now faces. At 4,000 square miles, tiny Lebanon has welcomed more Syrian refugees in absolute numbers than the entire European
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Southern Syria is in Desperate Need of Aid
Day after day, the Iranian and Russian occupation forces supporting the Syrian sectarian regime apply a brutal scorched earth policy, destroying areas of Syria not under regime control and displacing the civilians who have withstood the earlier attacks of the regime over the years. This most recent assault, which began
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Mousa Jinati
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt and Assad: Calculations, Pragmatism, and Morality
For the past seven years, Egypt, guided by domestic considerations and deterred by the presence of U.S., Iranian, Turkish, Russian, and other European forces, has largely kept clear of the conflict in Syria. Nonetheless, there are signs that Cairo, motivated by animosity towards Islamist groups and by fear that the
۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Mohamed Maher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Jordan Navigates Border Trade, Pressures from Syria
Of all the bilateral ties between Arab states, the Jordanian-Syrian relationship has been among the most intense. Various gradations of reciprocal unfriendliness and even open animosity have characterized the two countries’ ties since the 1970s, reflecting the rise of the Ba’ath party and Hafez al-Assad. However, recent economic instabilities pushed
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Shehab Al-Makahleh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran's Posturing on the Strait of Hormuz
The United States steadily continues to tighten the screws on Iran, prompting an upswing in Iranian rhetoric implying that closing the Strait of Hormuz is on the table as a military option in response to U.S. actions. While Iran’s naval capabilities are ill-equipped for a total closure, these threats from
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Opinion Survey Insights into the 2018 Iraqi Election
The results of the May 2018 Iraqi elections caught many by surprise, especially in the polling field. A series of public opinion surveys conducted between March and May predicted that the Nasr Coalition, led by Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, would win the highest number of seats in the Iraqi Parliament
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Fifth Presidential Term for Bouteflika?
With Algeria’s presidential elections scheduled in April 2019, calls are now being heard from within the Algerian regime for President Abdelaziz Bouteflika to run for a fifth term. This messaging has caused controversy and confusion among Algerians, who are wondering about the unexpressed reasons for regime figures to insist on
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Ahmed Marwane
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq Faces its Next Crisis: Water
While the very earliest civilizations in Iraq grew up around the gifts of the Tigris and Euphrates, millions of Iraqis from the North to the newly revived southern Marshes are at risk from the actions of Iraq’s northern and astern neighbors. Turkey and Iran’s increased limiting of water of the
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Yerevan Saeed
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Jordan’s Shift Back to the Sunni-Israeli Coalition
Despite recent tensions between Jordan and other stakeholders in the Middle East, shifting dynamics across the region have recently led to the formation of a tentative U.S.-backed cooperation between Israel and such Sunni Arab states as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and the Hashemite Kingdom. While this rapprochement
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Abdullah Sawalha
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
After the Match, Saudi Arabia Makes the Real Play
As the FIFA World Cup final approaches, a highlight this year was the four Middle Eastern countries participating for the first time in years. Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia, and Saudi Arabia each succeeded in qualifying, though their respective teams did not make it further than the first round of the Cup
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Danya Rubenstein-Markiewicz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Drawing on Past Lessons for Lasting Peace in Yemen
The Houthi militia’s track record of betrayal and broken promises shows that it only calls for negotiations and is willing to discuss compromises when the group is at a disadvantage. These negotiations allow the group’s fighters to catch their breath, reposition themselves, and launch a new round of violence. Thus
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Moammar Al-Eryani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
U.S.-Kurdish Relations in Syria after the Manbij Roadmap
In June, Turkey and the United States announced that they had agreed to implement a roadmap to promote peace in the Syrian city of Manbij, which has been under the control of the Syrian Democratic Forces since the 2016 expulsion of ISIS. The agreement came as part of U.S. efforts
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Abdel Raheem Said
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Future of the Syrian Refugee Crisis in Lebanon
On the streets of Beirut, the impact of the Syrian Civil War is more than palpable. According to recent reports, Syrian refugees make up approximately a fourth of Lebanon’s total population. Seeking to address rising acrimony and hostility between refugees and Lebanese, the country’s authorities have been searching for solutions
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Jiwan Soz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Algerian Press: On the Brink
After the outbreak of the so-called “oil and sugar” protest that began in Algeria concurrently with the Arab Spring, President Abdelaziz Bouteflika was quick to announce that he would promote far-reaching political reforms in an attempt to assuage public pressure. However, the state of journalism in the country has not
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
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Ahmed Marwane
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
To Counter Iran, Trump Must Rebuild a United Gulf
As international court hearings begin over Qatari allegations against the United Arab Emirates’ (UAE) actions during the Gulf crisis, it is worth examining the catalysts of this event, along with potential alternatives for settling the dispute. Despite relatively good relations with all sides, the Trump administration has played an ambivalent
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
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Mohammed Soliman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Could Assad and Russia Expel Iran from Syria?
Since the triple missile strike carried out by the United States in cooperation with France and Britain, Israel has escalated its attacks against Iranian military bases in Syria: airfields and Iranian bases in Damascus, the Syrian Air Force T-4 military airbase, and Hezbollah militia units in the Quneitra area have
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
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Omar Alradad
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
“Trump Triumphant”: The Middle East between Two Nuclear Deals
The June 12 image of U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean Leader Kim Jong-Un signing an “agreement on denuclearization” in Singapore has provided Arab political discourse’s two competing narratives new tools to push their diametrically opposed characterizations of the future awaiting the Middle East. One view hails the meeting
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
Hassan Mneimneh
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