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إيران

Policy Analysis on إيران

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Should We Fear Mideast Nuclear Proliferation?
If Iran gets nuclear weapons, will other Middle East states want them too? In a bloggingheads.tv conversation, Matt Duss and Michael Singh explore the issues.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Bahrain on the Brink Jeopardizes U.S. Interests in the Gulf
The ethnic strife between majority Shiites and the ruling Sunni al-Khalifa family in Bahrain is worsening, with a growing risk that the U.S. naval base there could become contentious.
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Challenge of Containing Iran's Enrichment Activities
With talks between the P5+1 (the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France, and Germany) and Iran set to resume in Istanbul on April 13, officials are discussing possible compromises that might persuade Tehran to give up any ambition of developing nuclear weapons. Apparently, one of the principal components of these
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Olli Heinonen
Brief Analysis
What Iran Might Gain from a Nuclear Deal
If Iran decides to seriously negotiate during upcoming nuclear talks -- currently scheduled to begin this weekend in Istanbul -- what might it expect to gain from the resultant deal? Probably not much, because even a comprehensive agreement on nuclear issues would not close the profound geostrategic split between Washington
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  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Squandered Leverage over Iran
If Washington does not maintain pressure on Iran, it will validate the regime's strategy of defiance, provocation, and delay.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
What Could Diplomacy with Iran Produce?
There can be little doubt that the United States, France, Britain, Germany, Russia, and China would all prefer a diplomatic outcome to the impasse over Iran's nuclear ambitions. Collectively, they make up the P5+1 mechanism that will soon resume negotiations with Iranian representatives. Talks were discontinued last year because Tehran's
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Future of the Marjayia
The current form of religious leadership over the Shi'ite community, marjayia, was founded in the 1830s when Mohammed Hassan Najafi became the first transnational Shi'ite religious authority (marja) in Najaf, Iraq. Najafi created a universal patronage network through which he received religious taxes and endowment incomes, and appointed religious representatives
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Can Meet Israel Halfway on Iran
There is no daylight between the United States and Israel on the objective and the preferred means for dealing with Iranian nuclear ambitions. Much has been written about possible differences, but the recent meeting between President Obama and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu highlighted key points of convergence: Both agree that
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  • Dennis Ross
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Dateline Middle East: Trip Reports from around the Region
On March 27, 2012, Robert Satloff, Andrew J. Tabler, and Simon Henderson addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Dr. Satloff, the Institute's executive director and Howard P. Berkowitz chair in U.S. Middle East policy, had just returned from Israel and Jordan. Mr. Tabler, the Institute's Next Generation fellow
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  • Robert Satloff
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Danger Zone
Reporting from the USS Abraham Lincoln in waters near Iran, Simon Henderson describes why the carrier strike groups in the Persian Gulf are an awesome reminder of U.S. military might. View a slideshow of photos from his time aboard the supercarrier. U.S. President Barack Obama recently said that "all elements
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran, Hizballah, and the Threat to the U.S. Homeland
Should Hizballah decide to carry out attacks on U.S. soil in the event of a military confrontation with Iran, it has the capacity to do so.
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran Keeps Compromise Option Open
Whether by choice or through the military's influence, Ayatollah Khamenei has decided to keep a formerly marginalized regime figure -- and, by extension, the possibility of nuclear compromise -- in play.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
To Keep the Peace with Iran, Threaten to Strike
Washington must clearly articulate what its red lines are in terms of Iranian behavior and credibly threaten the regime with military action should it cross them.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Washington and Israel on Iran: Unresolved Differences
Notwithstanding their differing perspectives on the subject, the less daylight seen between Washington and Israel regarding Iran, the better.
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  • Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
To Retaliate or Not: Hizballah's Calculus Following a Strike on Iran
Hizballah's response to military action against Iran could be shaped by rational cost-benefit analysis, a perceived spiritual obligation to defend its Shiite patron in Tehran, or both.
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Khamenei's Strength Could Be a Vulnerability
By weakening the Islamic Republic's institutions and strengthening his own authority, Ayatollah Khamenei may make himself more vulnerable in a time of crisis.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
No Nuclear Compromise
The Iranian regime will not be able to survive existing sanctions, which are targeting the banking system and oil industry like never before.
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Avoiding a Bad Nuclear Deal with Iran
As the confrontation with Iran enters a new, more dangerous phase, Washington must avoid the temptation of redefining its red lines in a manner that endangers national security.
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
President Obama on Iran: Assessing Key Passages in the AIPAC Speech
Although the president's AIPAC speech offered reassurances that he is committed to the full logic of a "prevention" strategy in dealing with the Iranian nuclear challenge, including potential military action, it also implied a clear preference for Israel to hold back and let the noose of international sanctions tighten.
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Need for Consistent U.S. and Israeli Public Messaging on Iran
Washington and Israel need to address their public messaging on Iran, which has undermined mutual trust and efforts to achieve their common objective: a diplomatic solution to the nuclear crisis.
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • David Makovsky

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