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Brief Analysis
New Saudi Rules on Succession:
Will They Fix the Problem?
On October 20, 2006, eighty-three-year-old King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia announced changes to the kingdom's "Basic Law" -- effectively its constitution -- that appear to formalize procedures for the selection of future kings. However, it is difficult to know how much the current system of succession will actually change. For
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Death in Iraq:
A Critical Examination of the <i>Lancet</i> Paper
Even the most optimistic observers have come to see Iraq as a violent place; the level of violence—and resulting death rate—has only increased. Estimates of the numbers killed since the overthrow of Saddam Hussein’s regime continue to rise. Incident levels, another important measure of violence, have also increased over the
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Beyond the Dust
Behind the clouds of dust stirred up by the political skirmishing now going on between Hamas and Fatah, some truths have been obscured, truths that will not go away even if and when a government of national unity arises in the Palestinian Authority. Such a government will, in the last
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Articles & Testimony
A Plan for Iraq
As a longtime negotiator in the Middle East, I learned that the most demanding requirement of peacemaking was just getting each side to adjust to reality. In Iraq today, 3 1/2 years after the United States went to war there, no one seems to be doing that. The Shiites, who
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Dennis Ross
Soner Cagaptay on CNN-Turk
Soner Cagaptay appeared on CNN-Turk's Burasi Washington, ("This Is Washington") on October 15. In an extended interview with CNN-Turk correspondent Yasemin Congar, Mr. Cagaptay discussed issues of critical importance to U.S.-Turkish relations. These included secularism in Turkey, terrorist activity by the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) in northern Iraq, and the
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Soner Cagaptay on CNN-Turk
Soner Cagaptay appeared on CNN-Turk's Burasi Washington, ("This Is Washington") on October 15. In an extended interview with CNN-Turk correspondent Yasemin Congar, Mr. Cagaptay discussed issues of critical importance to U.S.-Turkish relations. These included secularism in Turkey, terrorist activity by the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) in northern Iraq, and the
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey Gets Ready to Elect President under New Chief of Staff:
Implications for the United States
On September 1, 2006, Gen. Yasar Buyukanit became Turkey’s new chief of staff. Compared with his predecessor, Gen. Hilmi Ozkok, who came into office about the same time as the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government, General Buyukanit is a more vocal personality on many issues, including secularism. As Turkey
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Ending the Palestinian Political Stalemate:
Abbas's Electoral Option
Since the breakdown in talks over the formation of a unity government in mid-September, the Palestinian political environment has become more dangerous and dysfunctional. Paralyzed by ongoing international economic and political isolation, the Palestinian Authority (PA) has essentially ceased to function as tens of thousands of public sector employees continue
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Mohammad Yaghi
Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
The Holocaust's Arab Heroes
Virtually alone among peoples of the world, Arabs appear to have won a free pass when it comes to denying or minimizing the Holocaust. Hezbollah leader Hasan Nasrallah has declared to his supporters that “Jews invented the legend of the Holocaust.” Syrian President Bashar al-Assad recently told an interviewer that
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In-Depth Reports
Lessons and Implications of the Israel-Hizballah War:
A Preliminary Assessment
In the wake of Israel's inconclusive summer war with Hizballah, many unanswered questions remain about the conduct and implications of the conflict. For example, were Israel's military achievements worth the apparent costs, including a weakened overall deterrence posture and the shelving of further unilateral withdrawal from the West Bank? And
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David Makovsky
Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
'Admitting Turkey Will Be a Test of How Secular the EU Is'
Chancellor Angela Merkel, who opposes EU membership for Turkey, will pay her first state visit to Ankara Thursday. In an interview with DW-WORLD.DE, US-based expert Soner Cagaptay stressed that Turkey is part of Europe. Soner Cagaptay is the director of the Turkish Research Program at the Washington Institute for Near
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Articles & Testimony
Nasrallah's Malaise
Hassan Nasrallah is showing clear signs of “dejection, melancholy and depression,” according to the editors of the Lebanese daily al-Safir, who are counted among the most steadfast supporters of the leader of Hizballah. Alongside a tiresomely long interview with him, published on September 5, they note that the man radiates
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In-Depth Reports
Lebanon, Before and After the Israel-Hizballah War
On September 16, 2006, Jamil Mroue and Misbah al-Ahdab addressed The Washington Institute's annual Weinberg Founders Conference. Misbah al-Ahdab is a member of the Lebanese parliament, and Jamil Mroue is editor in chief of the Beirut Daily Star. The following is a brief summary of their remarks. JAMIL MROUE Between
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Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah's New Mission
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah made headlines last week when he claimed during a rally that Hezbollah still possessed 20,000 rockets and missiles after this past summer's war with Israel. The rally and the announcement were audacious: Some 350,000 supporters gathered in South Beirut to see Nasrallah appear publicly for the
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah's Global Reach
On September 28, 2006, Washington Institute senior fellow Christopher Hamilton testified before the House Committee on International Relations, Subcommittee on International Terrorism and Nonproliferation. Mr. Hamilton directs The Washington Institute's Terrorism Studies Program. The prepared text of his remarks follows. Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I have been
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Christopher Hamilton
In-Depth Reports
Dealing with Iran's Nuclear Ambitions, Post-Lebanon
On September 17, 2006, Shahram Chubin and Gary Samore addressed The Washington Institute's annual Weinberg Founders Conference. Dr. Chubin is director of studies and joint course director at the Geneva Centre for Security Policy and author of Iran's Nuclear Ambitions (2006). Dr. Samore is incoming director of studies for the
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Articles & Testimony
Who Are the Lumbrosos, Anyway? George Allen's Ancestors
Virginia Senator George Allen says he takes "great pride" in learning about the Jewish roots of his mother's family, the Lumbrosos of Tunisia. There's actually a lot for him to be proud of. After four years of research, I just completed a book on the history of the Holocaust's long
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Iran: The Complex Calculus of Preventive Military Action
Faltering diplomacy to suspend Iran's nuclear program -- highlighted by French president Jacques Chirac's September 18, 2006, call to temporarily suspend the threat of United Nations sanctions on Iran -- has revived speculation that the United States might undertake preventive action to thwart Iran's nuclear ambitions. U.S. policymakers considering prevention
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Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
The American Interest
The question of whether Israel is or is not an asset to the United States is one we rarely bother to ask ourselves. Time and again, we see prominent Americans -- presidents of the United States at the forefront -- emphasizing their special relationship with Israel. In polls of American
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Martin Kramer
Articles & Testimony
The Israeli-Islamist War
Who won the summer war between Israel and Hizbullah? Right after the ceasefire, Hizbullah and its Iranian patrons declared the war a "divine victory," and the Economist concurred, running this headline across its cover: "Nasrallah Wins the War." Israel sank into a funk of self-recrimination. But a few weeks later
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Martin Kramer
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