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Policy Analysis

Policy Focus 128

Syria's Military Opposition: How Effective, United, or Extremist?

Jeffrey White, Andrew J. Tabler, and Aaron Y. Zelin

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September 2013


Many options for direct military action in Syria have been on the table, ranging from token strikes with small numbers of weapons to much broader operations such as attacks on leadership targets or the imposition of no-fly and no-drive zones. In addition, the United States could respond indirectly by providing truly significant military assistance to the rebels. The recent chemical warfare attack, however, has rendered urgency to a considered U.S. response. Despite the Obama administration’s aversion to using military power in Syria and the difficulty of forging allied consensus on goals and methods, the Assad regime must be held accountable.

Nevertheless, the risk-benefit calculus for any decision depends, at the very least, on a thorough understanding of the disparate ideologies that drive the Syrian opposition, their military inadequacies, and their ability to create a unified political structure. To clarify these issues, Jeffrey White, Andrew J. Tabler, and Aaron Y. Zelin, all respected experts on Syria, present their findings in this Washington Institute Policy Focus, which has been updated to accommodate the most recent developments in this ongoing humanitarian crisis.

THE AUTHORS

Jeffrey White is a Defense Fellow at The Washington Institute and a former senior defense intelligence officer.

Andrew J. Tabler is a senior fellow in the Institute's Program on Arab Politics and author of In the Lion's Den: An Eyewitness Account of Washington’s Battle with Syria.

Aaron Y. Zelin, the Institute's Richard Borow Fellow, maintains the website Jihadology.net.