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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Energy Challenges Amid the Hormuz Crisis
The recent rebound in crude exports is welcome but only partial, and officials have yet to find answers for the wider fiscal, management, and security problems impeding Iraq’s energy sector.
Oct 21, 2026
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Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
One Year After the Gaza Ceasefire (Part 5): The View from Jerusalem
Although any new Israeli government will have more flexibility to work with the Trump administration on implementing the Gaza plan after this month’s election, the deep concerns Jerusalem has expressed about the “roadmap” will persist, requiring concerted, high-level diplomacy with the Board of Peace.
Oct 9, 2026
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Michael Herzog
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One Year After the Gaza Ceasefire
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Helping the Gulf and Ukraine Build Their Counter-Drone Partnership
Ukrainian cooperation with Gulf states on drone and counter-drone technologies is expanding as they contend with similar threats and concerns, so Washington should do whatever it can to enable and coordinate this growth.
Aug 28, 2026
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Elizabeth Dent
Matthew Tavares
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Why Economic Reform Failed in Tunisia:
Assessing Four Donors and a Country in Transition
International actors, while expressing confidence in the country’s political progress, struggled to adapt to economic resistance from the national labor union, the destabilizing effects of terrorism, and interference from outside actors.
Aug 19, 2026
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Sabina Henneberg
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Five Years of Taliban Diplomacy: Recognition Without Concessions
The Taliban has learned that it can reap substantial international rewards without budging on key security and human rights issues, but Washington can still exert pressure on crucial soft spots such as UN credentialing, Treasury Department licensing, and Central Asian project financing.
Aug 18, 2026
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Reaching Viable Management Arrangements in the Strait of Hormuz
Any postwar system must preserve the “transit passage” regime, enable ships to safely resume use of the original IMO route, and reject mandatory fees, veto rights, or other Iranian tactics for exerting permanent control over one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints.
Aug 5, 2026
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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran Is Still Intent on Preventing a Return to the Old Navigational Order
Constricted traffic patterns, escalating warnings, uncertain mine threats, and a new drone attack all suggest that Tehran has no intention of willingly going back to business as usual in the Strait of Hormuz, regardless of diplomatic breakthroughs.
Jun 26, 2026
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Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Tracking the Islamic State: Activity Trends, African Shifts, and U.S. Dormancy
As a landmark tool for monitoring the group’s activity hits another sobering milestone, U.S. officials cannot let regional crises completely overshadow important shifts in jihadist threats around the world.
Jun 11, 2026
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Pipeline Dream Meets Hard Realities
Asian market realities and the ongoing risks to energy investments inside Syria may put a damper on any large-scale infrastructure plans, though Damascus can better its prospects through further stabilization and reform efforts.
Jun 10, 2026
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Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Why Iran’s Navigational Order Will Be Difficult to Overturn
Tehran has upended traditional maritime arrangements in the Strait of Hormuz and remains in the driver’s seat despite U.S. pressure, so authorities cannot expect to reverse this shift quickly even if the war ends soon.
May 1, 2026
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Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Force Multiplier: Tracking the War’s Maritime and Energy Effects
If Washington wants to calm the markets and reach its other energy objectives more quickly, it will have to find a way of de-escalating a shipping crisis that Tehran is clearly taking advantage of in the Strait of Hormuz and beyond.
Mar 23, 2026
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Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Deterrence and Escalation Dynamics with Iran:
Insights from Four Decades of Conflict and a Twelve-Day War
The conflict in June 2025 laid bare longstanding misconceptions about escalation management with the regime and could hold lessons as the United States contemplates further military action.
Feb 20, 2026
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Michael Eisenstadt
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
After Ukraine:
Prospects for a Russian Resurgence in the Middle East
Moscow has cultivated ties with U.S. adversaries and allies alike, and Washington must respond by advancing a holistic policy that empowers Ukrainian commercial interests and addresses deficits in sanctions policy.
Jan 23, 2026
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Matthew Tavares
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran-Linked Tanker Delivers Russian Crude to Syria: Assessing the Risks
The incident points to the myriad ways that U.S. adversaries might exploit Moscow’s efforts to claim a permanent stake in Syria’s needy postwar energy sector.
Jan 9, 2026
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Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What One LPG Tanker Reveals About the Reliability of AIS Data in Hot Spots
The vessel's tracked activities and suspicious data transmissions should be investigated for potential illicit transactions with Iran and the former Assad regime.
Dec 23, 2025
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Noam Raydan
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Maritime Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Yemen’s Seismic Shift Has Consequences Beyond Its Borders
U.S. allies Saudi Arabia and the UAE are on a collision course in Yemen, as local forces threaten to reopen a war that could boost the Houthis, deepen Red Sea instability, and otherwise undermine the Trump administration’s Middle East goals.
Dec 22, 2025
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April Longley Alley
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Oil from Northern Iraq Arrives in the United States After Pipeline Reopens
In addition to providing discounted crude of a quality desired by American refiners, the resumption of oil flows via the ITP is already showing promise of furthering U.S. policy toward partners and adversaries alike.
Dec 5, 2025
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Noam Raydan
James Jeffrey
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Houthi Maritime Threats and the Gaza Truce: Why Disrupting Supply Chains Is Indispensable
Despite the recent (and likely temporary) pause in ship attacks, various factors point to an enduring threat that will not dissipate until wider action is taken against the group’s far-reaching procurement networks.
Nov 12, 2025
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Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
A Roadmap for Israel-Lebanon Peace
Pursuing even incremental steps will be difficult in a country long dominated by Iran’s chief regional proxy, but the two countries’ leaders have cracked the door open for future diplomacy.
Oct 28, 2025
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Hanin Ghaddar
Robert Satloff
Ehud Yaari
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How Renewed Oil Flows from the ITP Could Benefit U.S.-Iraq-Turkey Relations
The potential economic and strategic benefits of reopening the northern Iraqi pipeline are clear, but the agreement still faces bureaucratic, political, and security challenges before exports can resume in earnest.
Oct 7, 2025
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Noam Raydan
Soner Cagaptay
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