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In-Depth Reports
The Hamas-Israel War: An Early Assessment
Despite rhetoric to the contrary, neither side can claim a decisive win, and an uneasy status quo could persist as long as Trump, the ceasefire guarantors, and Israeli leaders keep a lid on their frustrations.
Dec 23, 2025
◆
Robert Satloff
Video
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Outlook on Sovereignty, Disarmament, and Peace
A Discussion with Foreign Minister Youssef Raggi
Watch a special conversation with His Excellence Youssef Raggi, Minister of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants of the Republic of Lebanon.
Dec 23, 2025
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Youssef Raggi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What One LPG Tanker Reveals About the Reliability of AIS Data in Hot Spots
The vessel's tracked activities and suspicious data transmissions should be investigated for potential illicit transactions with Iran and the former Assad regime.
Dec 23, 2025
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Noam Raydan
◆
Maritime Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Peace in the Middle East—A Major Challenge for the United States
Barring sustained U.S. efforts, Gaza’s de facto division into Hamas and Israeli zones will likely persist, and the ceasefire will be remembered as just the prelude to the next conflict.
December 2025
◆
Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Yemen’s Seismic Shift Has Consequences Beyond Its Borders
U.S. allies Saudi Arabia and the UAE are on a collision course in Yemen, as local forces threaten to reopen a war that could boost the Houthis, deepen Red Sea instability, and otherwise undermine the Trump administration’s Middle East goals.
Dec 22, 2025
◆
April Longley Alley
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East’s Most Overlooked Threat
The Houthis, STC, and other players are making moves that could spark a new civil war in Yemen, potentially upending the perceived balance of power ushered in by the Gaza truce.
Dec 18, 2025
◆
April Longley Alley
Articles & Testimony
How to Stop Hamas from Derailing the Israeli-Palestinian Peace Deal
Given the group's hostile long-term goals, the Trump administration needs an empowered envoy to lead several projects in parallel, from developing a capable Palestinian security force and replacing the PA’s leadership to curtailing Israeli fringe elements and resuming Arab normalization talks.
Dec 18, 2025
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Tunisia’s Growing Protests Open a Door for Low-Cost U.S. Initiatives
Amid mounting domestic pressure on President Saied, the Trump administration should take modest but useful and forward-looking steps like lifting tariffs, supporting less-politicized trade projects, and otherwise backing the people’s vision for a more prosperous future.
Dec 17, 2025
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Sabina Henneberg
Articles & Testimony
Burhan Is Using Sudan-Israel Normalization to Secure His Power
The process has become less about peace and more about political survival for those spearheading Sudan’s catastrophic war.
Dec 17, 2025
◆
Areig Elhag
Brief Analysis
Closing the Regulatory Gap in Trump’s Middle East Strategy
The success of the administration’s new approach hinges on updating U.S. government tools and structures needed to fuel its ambitions and manage the associated strategic risks.
Dec 16, 2025
◆
Elizabeth Dent
Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Restoring Direction: Iraq’s Renewed Political Path
To prevent hawkish actors from once again seizing the initiative, Kurdish, Sunni Arab, and moderate Shia factions need to come together during the post-election period and work on fundamental tasks like implementing the constitution and strengthening institutions.
Dec 15, 2025
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Hajar Bashir Sadoon
Mohammed Tatarkhan
Articles & Testimony
Cutting Off Hamas’s European Fundraising Spigot
Some European governments have been aggressive in prosecuting the group’s continental financiers, but not aggressive enough, while others have yet to take any substantive action.
Dec 14, 2025
◆
Michael Jacobson
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Egypt-Israel Summit: A Springboard to Progress on Gaza?
If Netanyahu and Sisi meet this month, Washington should press both leaders to treat the summit as the beginning of a structured trilateral process on Gaza, not a one-off symbolic encounter.
Dec 12, 2025
◆
Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
Getting to Phase 2 in Gaza: Red Lines and Recommendations
Washington Institute experts and former officials lay out the urgent need for clarity on vital questions related to U.S. oversight, the stalled International Stabilization Force, Israel’s red lines, Hamas opposition to multilateral proposals, the contours of the PA’s role, and more.
Dec 12, 2025
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Dennis Ross
Neomi Neumann
Michael Jacobson
Ghaith al-Omari
Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
The U.S.-French Mechanism 2.0: Preventing Escalation Between Lebanon and Israel
Strong outside supervision over Lebanon’s implementation of the Hezbollah disarmament plan could help forestall looming Israeli military escalation and protect recent diplomatic milestones on the road toward an eventual peace treaty.
Dec 11, 2025
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Souhire Medini
Articles & Testimony
Christians in the New Syria: Accepted, But At-Risk
Although some Christians have been targeted post-Assad, these incidents are hardly an attempted "genocide," but rather part of the broader internal security challenge affecting all communities in Syria, including the majority population.
Dec 9, 2025
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
The New Syria, Year Two: Rebuilding Institutions and Governance
A former U.S. envoy to Syria joins an expert on President Sharaa’s ruling faction to discuss how Damascus should approach governance issues one year after the fall of Assad.
Dec 5, 2025
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
James Jeffrey
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Oil from Northern Iraq Arrives in the United States After Pipeline Reopens
In addition to providing discounted crude of a quality desired by American refiners, the resumption of oil flows via the ITP is already showing promise of furthering U.S. policy toward partners and adversaries alike.
Dec 5, 2025
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Noam Raydan
James Jeffrey
In-Depth Reports
Institutions and Governance in the New Syria:
Continuity and Change from the Idlib Model
The transitional leadership can claim several successes, but a shadow government, opaque economic practices, and uneven accountability for former regime crimes could undermine progress.
Dec 4, 2025
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Israelis and Palestinians Must Confront Their Own Spoilers
For the Gaza ceasefire to survive, each side will need to address the persistent challenges of West Bank settler violence and Hamas weapons.
Dec 3, 2025
◆
David Makovsky
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