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Brief Analysis
Assessing Israel-U.S. Alignment on the Gaza Framework
Prime Minister Netanyahu will likely accentuate the positive in his response to President Trump’s initiative to end the war, but key details—let alone Hamas’s response—could decide whether the plan ultimately succeeds or falls prey to another “yes but” cycle.
Sep 29, 2025
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David Makovsky
With Israel-Jordan Relations at an All-Time Low, the Countries Aren't Likely to Cooperate in the West Bank
Amman and Jerusalem need to worry about maintaining peace, not new arrangements in the West Bank.
Sep 29, 2025
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Trump Holds the Levers to Move Gaza Toward Peace
The 21-point U.S. plan offers an alternative to Hamas governance, but the president will have to ensure an interim administration meets its disarmament commitments—and support Israeli responses if Hamas reemerges.
Sep 28, 2025
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Thank You, President Trump, for Vetoing Israeli Annexation in the West Bank
Annexation would transform Israel’s legitimate military occupation of the West Bank into an illegitimate land grab, while dismantling the entire edifice of Middle East diplomacy for no discernible strategic benefit.
Sep 27, 2025
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Israel Is Pushing Arab Peace Partners to Their Limits
Although regional peace agreements have survived the Gaza war and other recent crises, the increasingly explicit red lines being laid down by Arab capitals need to be taken seriously in Jerusalem and Washington.
Sep 25, 2025
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Time to Pull the Plug on MINURSO? Not Quite
Despite Morocco’s growing diplomatic momentum and recent U.S. cuts to the UN peacekeeping budget, prematurely ending the Western Sahara mission would be a mistake given the important practical role it plays in maintaining the de facto ceasefire.
Sep 24, 2025
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Souhire Medini
Sabina Henneberg
Brief Analysis
After Operation Inherent Resolve: The Future of U.S.-Iraq Security Relations
Whether Washington opts for complete withdrawal, a smaller, Kurdistan-based presence, or a 180-degree shift to business and energy initiatives, it needs to be mindful of the risks and keep the focus on America’s paramount strategic interests.
Sep 24, 2025
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James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Sharaa Goes to the United Nations
After meeting with Sharaa and returning from an extensive research trip in Syria, a Washington Institute expert sheds light on the president’s UN speech, near-term plans, and views on the U.S. role.
Sep 23, 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Erdogan vs. the CHP: What’s Next in Turkey’s Political Battle?
The Turkish president has shown he will use harsh tactics to suppress the popular opposition party, but his future decisions could still be swayed by domestic protests, economic factors, and geopolitics.
Sep 22, 2025
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Palestine Recognition Boosts the PA, Not Hamas
Far from rewarding terrorism, France’s recognition is an attempt to salvage the two-state solution before it’s too late.
Sep 21, 2025
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Souhire Medini
Brief Analysis
Will Saudi Arabia’s New Defense Agreement with Pakistan Have Proliferation Consequences?
The deal seems mostly symbolic given that Riyadh is a major trading partner with India—Pakistan’s main adversary—but the implications may nevertheless be significant for regional proliferation concerns, nuclear energy ambitions, and related U.S. diplomacy.
Sep 19, 2025
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Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Recognizing “Palestine”: Rationale, Expectations, Implications
An Israeli legal expert, a Palestinian political activist, and a French journalist explore the many shortcomings of recognition, including its failure to address Israeli fears and promote reform in the PA.
Sep 19, 2025
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Tal Becker
Samer Sinijlawi
Isabelle Lasserre
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Facing Fiscal Pressures: Iraq’s Struggle for Reform Ahead of the 2025 Election
Baghdad’s oil dependency is a risk for long-term stability, but making the necessary changes will mean confronting political elites who benefit from the status quo.
Sep 18, 2025
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Mohammed Hussein
Brief Analysis
Toward a More Comprehensive (and Effective) U.S. Policy on Yemen
The Houthis pose even more of a risk to U.S. and Gulf interests than they did before the Gaza war, so Washington and its regional partners need to develop an approach that is more fit for purpose.
Sep 18, 2025
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April Longley Alley
Articles & Testimony
How Washington’s Drone Policy Is Catching Up to Reality
To balance competition and global responsibility, the Trump administration should combine its welcome reinterpretation of the MTCR with updated nonproliferation standards and robust safeguards.
Sep 16, 2025
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Elizabeth Dent
Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
As the Renaissance Dam Comes Online, the U.S. Mediation Role Needs Clarity
Ethiopia, Egypt, and Sudan were unable to agree on crucial water-sharing rights in the fraught years leading up to the GERD’s inauguration, raising the specter of escalating tensions unless the Trump administration engages more actively.
Sep 17, 2025
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Areig Elhag
Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
After Snapback, Washington Needs to Prepare for Iranian Escalation in the Gulf
Given Tehran’s long record of using maritime provocations to counter increased international pressure, the United States and its partners must be ready to respond swiftly and forcefully against ship seizures, mine warfare, suicide drones, and more.
Sep 16, 2025
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Farzin Nadimi
Video
Brief Analysis
The Abraham Accords at Five Years: Resilience and Roadblocks
A panel of former ambassadors and decorated journalists discuss the impact of the landmark normalization agreement and what its future holds given ongoing hostilities in Gaza and growing Arab-Israeli diplomatic turmoil.
Sep 16, 2025
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David Makovsky
Yael Lempert
Amir Hayek
Victoria Coates
Ahdeya al-Sayed
Brief Analysis
A Snapshot of Israel’s Deepening Diplomatic Isolation: Comparing Key UNGA Votes, 2017-2025
The voting patterns highlight Israel’s worsening international isolation, with even some of its longtime defenders leaving the fold.
Sep 15, 2025
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Robert Satloff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Freeing Libya’s Locked-Up Oil Reserves
Restoring the oil-for-fuel program would avert a near-term crisis and potentially provide a platform for more ambitious reform—though it is unlikely to succeed without greater transparency, international monitoring, and subsidy changes.
Sep 14, 2025
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Joseph Hammond
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