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Video
Brief Analysis
A Postwar Middle East? The U.S.-Iran Negotiations and the Region’s Future
Watch expert conversation on the contents and implications of the new U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding.
Jun 18, 2026
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Dennis Ross
Richard Nephew
Holly Dagres
Articles & Testimony
This Is Not a Grand Bargain With Iran. Good.
Although the United States and the world needed shipping to resume through the Strait of Hormuz, negotiating a nuclear agreement is not a postwar priority.
Jun 18, 2026
◆
Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Middle East in Crisis, NATO in Disarray: The Stakes for the Ankara Summit
Join us for an expert preview of next month's NATO summit in Ankara as the alliance deals with lingering tensions from Ukraine, Iran, and other crises. Watch live starting at 10:00 a.m. EDT (1400 GMT) on Monday, June 22, 2026.
June 22, 2026, starting at 10:00 a.m. EDT (1400 GMT)
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Levent Gumrukcu
Julianne Smith
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East Power Paradox: How the Iran War Will Transform America’s Military Role
Although the U.S. military approach to the region has delivered many operational successes, the Iran war has exposed its serious shortcomings and created new challenges.
Jun 16, 2026
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Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Don’t Mistake Friction for a Broken Alliance with Israel
Presidential spats with Israeli prime ministers are nothing new, and scapegoating America’s most capable ally in the Middle East would mean more work for U.S. forces, not less.
Jun 16, 2026
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Trump Told Iranians to Keep Protesting. Then He Abandoned Their Cause.
With the regime still in place, the war has left ordinary Iranians worse off, and U.S. policy has compounded their sense of abandonment.
Jun 16, 2026
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Holly Dagres
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Should Not Encourage Syria to Enter Lebanon
A young government working to secure its own territory is poorly positioned to open new fronts outside its borders, and Hezbollah would quickly exploit such a move to its advantage.
Jun 12, 2026
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Andrew J. Tabler
Video
Brief Analysis
Back to Bombs or Driving to a Deal? Assessing the U.S.-Iran State of Play
Three experts discuss the fallout from the latest military strikes, along with the potential contours and implications of a newly announced agreement to halt the fighting and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Jun 12, 2026
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Dana Stroul
Robert Satloff
Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Tracking the Islamic State: Activity Trends, African Shifts, and U.S. Dormancy
As a landmark tool for monitoring the group’s activity hits another sobering milestone, U.S. officials cannot let regional crises completely overshadow important shifts in jihadist threats around the world.
Jun 11, 2026
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Pipeline Dream Meets Hard Realities
Asian market realities and the ongoing risks to energy investments inside Syria may put a damper on any large-scale infrastructure plans, though Damascus can better its prospects through further stabilization and reform efforts.
Jun 10, 2026
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Andrew J. Tabler
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Iran War's Pressure on the Egyptian Pound: Fragile Stability and Expected Shocks
The Egyptian pound is weathering significant challenges to its stability as the Iran war continues to impact oil markets and Egypt's revenue streams, raising concerns about the longterm impact of continued conflict.
Jun 10, 2026
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Heba El Koudsy
Articles & Testimony
How the Looming Houthi Threat Could Turn the Iran War
Whether the U.S. truce with Iran breaks down or winds up rewarding the regime, the previously restrained Houthis may take it as a signal to resume their own aggression.
Jun 9, 2026
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April Longley Alley
Brief Analysis
Rethinking Foreign Assistance Cuts That Endanger U.S. Interests
Despite President Trump’s transformative goals in the Middle East and the ongoing need for American help in weathering multiple regional crises, the new budget request doubles down on a range of problematic funding cuts.
Jun 8, 2026
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Alina Romanowski
Ben Fishman
Michael Jacobson
Articles & Testimony
A Deal Could Leave Iran Fatally Weakened
The Trump administration won’t achieve all of its war goals, but it could still notch a strategic win with time.
Jun 8, 2026
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Next Internet Blackout Is Inevitable
Flipping the kill switch is a potent exercise of authoritarian control, but expediting countermeasures like D2C can help prevent regimes from using this tactic in the future.
Jun 5, 2026
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Holly Dagres
Brief Analysis
Countering Iran’s Latest “Smart Control” Gambit in the Strait of Hormuz
Tehran is hoping that its Persian Gulf Strait Authority will establish “facts on the ground” and give it leverage at the negotiating table, so Washington and its partners need to respond right away with a suite of military, economic, and diplomatic countermeasures.
Jun 3, 2026
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Protest Wave: A Governance Stress Test
Washington should treat the recent public discontent not as a sign that Syria’s transition is failing, but as an opportunity to help ensure that Damascus does not repeat the mistakes of previous governments.
Jun 3, 2026
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Beyond Disarmament: How the IRGC Keeps Hezbollah in Power Despite Its Military Losses
Although disarming the group is still crucial, negotiators need to realize that they will never really break Hezbollah’s hold on Lebanon so long as it retains Iranian support and key political allies and government posts in Beirut.
May 29, 2026
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Hanin Ghaddar
Video
Brief Analysis
Israel-Lebanon Talks, Round 4: The Pentagon Takes a Seat
U.S. and Israeli experts discuss the potential obstacles to progress in upcoming rounds of negotiations, and explain why keeping the Lebanon track separate from the Iran talks would be wise.
May 29, 2026
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David Schenker
Assaf Orion
Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Tempering U.S. Expectations About Iraq’s New Government
Tehran seems just as enthusiastic about the new prime minister as Washington—a telling sign that the militia-dominated status quo in Baghdad will be difficult and slow to change, if it changes at all.
May 28, 2026
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David Schenker
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