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Targeting the Dematerialized Caliphate
Despite losing access to massive oil income, Islamic State operatives keep finding ways to finance their activities, especially low-cost plots by lone wolves and small cells.
Dec 6, 2018
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Russian Romancing, Saudi Intrigue Precede OPEC Meeting
The cartel’s uncertain future may be shaped by any number of economic and diplomatic wildcards, including Russian outreach, Qatari gas exports, and U.S. turmoil over the Khashoggi murder.
Dec 5, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Burden of History in the Middle East Peace Process
Roy Kays, from the Israeli channel KAN 11 TV, wasn't the first Israeli journalist to contact me about Middle Eastern politics. However, he was the first to use a Twitter account to do so. After several exchanges of "How are you?" and "I'm fine Roy Kays, how are you?" it
Dec 4, 2018
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Abdulla Aljunaid
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Challenges Facing Egypt’s Female Migrant Workers
Safiya, 30, wakes up to the sound of her mother yelling, "Get up now or the car will leave without you." A new morning brings with it the same misery: Safiya is one of thousands of migrant workers in rural Egypt who, driven by poverty to pick grapes during the
Dec 4, 2018
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Eman Elwarraky
Brief Analysis
Counter-Drone Capabilities in the Middle East and Beyond: A Primer
Despite growing interest and investment, countering unmanned aircraft remains a significant challenge given the nature of the threat, the rapid evolution of drone technology, and the dynamic nature of modern warfare.
Dec 3, 2018
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Arthur Holland Michel
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
For a State, Palestinians Would Cede "Right of Return"—and More
Two surveys conducted by different Palestinian pollsters in October show unexpected popular flexibility on core issues of an eventual peace deal with Israel, despite widespread skepticism among Palestinians about current prospects. These findings suggest that American, Israeli, and Arab policymakers should all pay more attention to what the Palestinian people
Dec 3, 2018
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Customary Reconciliation Sessions Hurt its Christian Minority
Marqos Ghabrial and his family gathered the what remained of their lives scattered around their old hometown in the Qena governorate of southern Egypt. The Ghabrial family was forced to leave in the middle of the night after news of Marqos’ romantic relationship with a Muslim girl from the same
Nov 30, 2018
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Viola Fahmy
Articles & Testimony
There’s No Reason Congress and Trump Can’t Achieve Their Goals for Saudi Arabia
The two branches have several means of imposing consequences and altering objectionable Saudi policies without demolishing the entire strategic relationship.
Nov 29, 2018
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Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Tunisian Foreign Fighters in Iraq and Syria
Over the past few years, the influx of Tunisian fighters to Iraq and Syria has rendered Tunisia practically synonymous with a phenomenon that is still not well understood. This new Policy Note by jihadism expert Aaron Y. Zelin seeks to remedy this gap by quantifying the flow of Tunisian fighters
Nov 28, 2018
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Palestinian Political Trends 2014-2018: New Data and Prevailing Attitudes
At the beginning of October, the polling data from fieldwork conducted in Gaza, East Jerusalem, and West Bank under the supervision of the Washington Institute’s David Pollock highlighted old political fissures and an increasing disenchantment with politics in Palestine. While results indicate a shared lack of enthusiasm towards the Palestinian
Nov 28, 2018
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Cecilia Panella
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Qatar’s Soft Power Is Alive and Well
More than a year after the quartet blockade of Qatar, it appears that the collective American establishments of the State and Defense Departments have minimized the strong early statements of President Donald Trump on the issue. Despite implied U.S. support for the blockade last year, regional observers have noted a
Nov 28, 2018
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Ali Fadli
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hezbollah's New Cabinet Push
In spite of the attempted deal to form a cabinet in the Lebanese parliament in late October, Hezbollah has now ramped up demands for the representation of its Sunni allies in the new cabinet. This new condition has led to a renewed political deadlock in the formation of the Lebanese
Nov 27, 2018
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Mona Alami
Brief Analysis
The Sectarian Significance of Bahrain’s Elections
The imminent polls will not alter the power structure of the strategically positioned Gulf state, but they could affect its simmering Shia unrest and wider regional politics.
Nov 21, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
In Israel, a Coalition of the Barely Willing
Netanyahu outmaneuvers rivals, heads off early election.
Nov 20, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Why Has Netanyahu Reversed Course on Early Elections?
He seems to have calculated that keeping his coalition together is the best way to rebuild public support for the Gaza ceasefire policy, but his political margins are narrowing.
Nov 20, 2018
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Flare-Up in Gaza (Part 2): Gently Undoing a Gordian Knot
Israel and Hamas cannot advance their current strategic goals through intensified fighting, but the Cairo dialogue could enable important short-term gains in Gaza.
Nov 20, 2018
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Ghaith al-Omari
Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
CIA’s Report Complicates U.S. Response to Khashoggi Murder
The resultant congressional furor could throw a wrench in arms sales and other important bilateral policy matters.
Nov 19, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Egypt’s Economy Rising, Rights Declining
Cairo has made progress on returning to its pre-revolution economic levels, but censorship, surveillance, and other humanitarian abuses continue to accelerate.
Nov 19, 2018
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Barak Barfi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Kurdish Referendum and Kirkuk: Lessons for U.S. Policymakers
Looking back one year on, the September 25, 2017 Kurdistan independence referendum and the October 16, 2017 Iraqi overrun of Kirkuk were disastrous setbacks for U.S. national security interests. With Iraq and the Kurdistan Region—America’s key allies in the counter-Islamic State campaign—having fought each other on the battlefield, these partners
Nov 19, 2018
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Flare-Up in Gaza (Part 1): Israeli Political Implications
Netanyahu’s government has splintered following a new round of violence, raising questions about the utility of escalation versus reinstating the ceasefire with incremental infrastructure improvements in Gaza.
Nov 16, 2018
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David Makovsky
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